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Match analysis

JapanJ1 League

Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this J1 League fixture.

Match Timeline

18'
T. NishimuraπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Y. Soma
46'
H. NakamuraπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ H. Mochizuki
55'
Y. HashimotoπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Y. Maejima
55'
WellingtonπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. Usui
67'
S. SatoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ K. Fujimoto
67'
S. NagoπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ K. Konno
79'
Na Sang-HoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ K. Kuwayama
79'
Oh Se-HunπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ S. Fujio
84'
M. YuzawaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Y. Iwasaki

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal0
2Shots off Goal4
8Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox4
3Shots outsidebox3
8Fouls7
2Corner Kicks1
1Offsides1
57Ball Possession43
0Goalkeeper Saves3
459Total passes343
381Passes accurate266
83Passes %78

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdogs Avispa Can Bite Back in Goal-Fest

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
50%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+10.0%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we're looking at a fascinating clash where the little puppies from Fukuoka travel to face Machida Zelvia. While the league table suggests a mismatch (6th vs 14th), I've sniffed out some hidden value that might surprise the big dogs!…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected When Machida Hosts Fukuoka

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
47%
Odds
2.35
Model EV
+10.4%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to deliver the goods, and this matchup has all the ingredients for an explosive encounter. Machida Zelvia, sitting pretty in 6th place, have been absolutely lethal at home this season, averaging a whopping 1.80 goals per game on their own…

Mr CertaintyLost

Machida Zelvia Set to Extend Home Dominance

The pickMachida Zelvia win

Chance
67%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+15.9%

This J1 League clash presents a clear opportunity for value betting, with Machida Zelvia holding significant advantages over struggling Avispa Fukuoka. The home side sits 6th in the table with 55 points, while their visitors languish in 14th place with just 40 points…

Mr SimpleLost

Machida Look Too Strong for Struggling Avispa

The pickMachida Zelvia win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Avispa Fukuoka. On paper, this looks like a home banker, but let's dig into the numbers and see what the story is. Machida are sitting pretty in 6th place with 55 points, while Avispa are…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Machida Zelvia

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

Avispa Fukuoka

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Machida Zelvia at home vs Avispa Fukuoka away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within J1 League

Overall edge
+111Machida Zelvia
Venue edge
+64Machida Zelvia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Machida Zelvia versus Avispa Fukuoka: long term Elo, before the match
Machida ZelviaHomeRatingAvispa FukuokaAway
Strength
1,604Overall1,493
1,560Match venue1,496
1,560At home1,518
1,583Away1,496
Attack & defence
1,548Attack1,405
1,608Defence1,577
1,527Home attack1,424
1,524Away attack1,391
1,584Home defence1,569
1,592Away defence1,593
Match profile
1,475Goal environment1,265
1,502Home goals1,407
1,473Away goals1,358
1,482Possession1,496
Specialist ratings
1,511Set-piece attack1,496
1,511Set-piece defence1,497
1,553Close games1,524
1,623Winning margin1,490

Match venue compares Machida Zelvia at home with Avispa Fukuoka away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1:1

Starting XI

1K. TaniG
19Y. NakayamaD
26K. HayashiM
10Na Sang-HoF
90Oh Se-HunF
3G. ShojiD
18H. ShimodaM
20T. NishimuraF
5I. DresevicD
16H. MaeM
88H. NakamuraM

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1:1

Starting XI

24Y. ObataG
20T. AndoD
47Y. HashimotoM
50S. SatoF
17WellingtonF
37M. TashiroD
11T. MikiM
14S. NagoF
3T. NaraD
88D. MatsuokaM
2M. YuzawaM