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Match analysis

JapanJ1 League

Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this J1 League fixture.

Match Timeline

9'
Kanji Okunuki⚽
Goal cancelled
40'
Deniz Hümmet🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Shuto Abe🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Deniz Hümmet🔄
Substitution 1 → Ryotaro Meshino
53'
Tomoya Miki🟨
Yellow Card
55'
Daiki Matsuoka⚽
Normal Goal → Yota Maejima
72'
Shosei Usui🔄
Substitution 1 → Wellington
72'
Kazuki Fujimoto🔄
Substitution 2 → Masato Yuzawa
79'
Masato Shigemi🔄
Substitution 3 → Kazuya Konno
79'
Shintaro Nago🔄
Substitution 4 → Yuji Kitajima
79'
Rin Mito🔄
Substitution 2 → Gaku Nawata
88'
Yuma Obata🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Yu Hashimoto🔄
Substitution 5 → Takumi Kamijima

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal1
11Shots off Goal5
18Total Shots8
1Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox4
9Shots outsidebox4
17Fouls9
4Corner Kicks4
1Offsides3
31Ball Possession69
2Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
244Total passes570
176Passes accurate470
72Passes %82

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyLost

Gamba Osaka Value on the Road

The pickGamba Osaka win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+10.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Gamba Osaka arrive in Fukuoka with a statistical advantage that the odds compilers have underestimated. Their recent form tells a clear story: 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10 matches, averaging…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Avispa Fukuoka

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Gamba Osaka

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Avispa Fukuoka at home vs Gamba Osaka away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within J1 League

Overall edge
+85Gamba Osaka
Venue edge
+6Avispa Fukuoka
Rating period
Match snapshot
Avispa Fukuoka versus Gamba Osaka: long term Elo, before the match
Avispa FukuokaHomeRatingGamba OsakaAway
Strength
1,508Overall1,593
1,528Match venue1,522
1,528At home1,586
1,500Away1,522
Attack & defence
1,388Attack1,511
1,604Defence1,539
1,421Home attack1,531
1,376Away attack1,439
1,577Home defence1,548
1,613Away defence1,542
Match profile
1,243Goal environment1,755
1,402Home goals1,602
1,342Away goals1,653
1,496Possession1,516
Specialist ratings
1,489Set-piece attack1,508
1,490Set-piece defence1,508
1,535Close games1,592
1,505Winning margin1,587

Match venue compares Avispa Fukuoka at home with Gamba Osaka away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1:1

Starting XI

24Y. ObataG
29Y. MaejimaD
11T. MikiM
22K. FujimotoM
27S. Usui5:1
20T. AndoD
88D. MatsuokaM
14S. NagoM
3T. NaraD
6M. ShigemiM
47Y. HashimotoD

Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1:1

Starting XI

22J. IchimoriG
4K. KurokawaD
27R. MitoM
44K. OkunukiM
23D. HummetF
2S. FukuokaD
13S. AbeM
51M. MitsutaM
20S. NakataniD
17R. YamashitaM
3R. HandaD