Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 22:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

7'
Jonathan Osorio
Normal Goal → José Cifuentes
32'
Adrián Marín🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Đorđe Mihailović
Normal Goal
46'
Derrick Etienne Junior🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Adrián Marín🔄
Substitution 1 → Tyrese Spicer
48'
Đorđe Mihailović
Normal Goal → Theo Corbeanu
49'
Theo Corbeanu🟨
Yellow Card
54'
David Brekalo
Normal Goal → Marco Pašalić
56'
Richie Laryea🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Deandre Kerr
Normal Goal → Derrick Etienne Junior
62'
Deandre Kerr🔄
Substitution 1 → Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
63'
Kobe Franklin🔄
Substitution 2 → Raoul Petretta
63'
Marco Pašalić🔄
Substitution 2 → Luis Muriel
63'
Iván Angulo🔄
Substitution 3 → César Araújo
70'
Derrick Etienne Junior🔄
Substitution 3 → Malik Henry
78'
Kyle Smith🔄
Substitution 4 → Dagur Dan Þórhallsson
84'
Theo Corbeanu🔄
Substitution 4 → Markus Cimermancic
85'
Sigurd Rosted🔄
Substitution 5 → Lazar Stefanovic
87'
Eduard Atuesta🔄
Substitution 5 → Colin Guske
90'
Malik Henry🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Duncan McGuire
Normal Goal → Alexander Freeman
90+5'
Duncan McGuire🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal9
12Total Shots31
3Blocked Shots12
7Shots insidebox23
5Shots outsidebox8
12Fouls31
2Corner Kicks8
2Offsides3
39Ball Possession61
4Yellow Cards2
8Goalkeeper Saves2
340Total passes532
276Passes accurate458
81Passes %86
1.63expected_goals2.43
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Toronto FCToronto FC1:1

Starting XI

1Sean JohnsonG
22Richie LaryeaD
21Jonathan OsorioM
11Derrick Etienne JuniorM
29Deandre KerrF
6Kosi ThompsonD
8José CifuentesM
10Đorđe MihailovićM
17Sigurd RostedD
7Theo CorbeanuM
19Kobe FranklinD

Orlando City SCOrlando City SC1:1

Starting XI

1Pedro GalleseG
21Adrián MarínD
77Iván AnguloM
10Martín OjedaF
15Rodrigo SchlegelD
24Kyle SmithM
13Duncan McGuireF
4David BrekaloD
20Eduard AtuestaM
30Alexander FreemanD
87Marco PašalićM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
Form: L-D-D-D-D
Orlando City SC
Orlando City SC
Form: D-D-D-W-D
Record
0 W
8 D
2 L
2 W
5 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
0.8
Scored
vs
1.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:0.7
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.3
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1400
Average
1546
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1388
↓ Momentum (-12)
1562
↑ Momentum (+16)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
27%
Draw
51%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1412
Attack
1553
1543
Defence
1544
Recent Form
1381
Attack
1578
1585
Defence
1525
Post-Match Changes
+19
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Draw Special: Toronto's Home Deadlock Continues
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.70
Expected Value:+40.6%
Confidence:65

Ag man, this one's like watching a braai that never gets going! Toronto FC are stuck at the bottom of the table with only 29 points, but they've become the draw kings of MLS lately. Eight draws in their last ten games - that's some serious consistency in mediocrity! At home, it's been three straight draws, including 1-1 stalemates against top teams like Inter Miami and Columbus Crew. Orlando City SC sit comfortably mid-table with 53 points, but their away form has been shocking - zero wins in their last six road trips. They've been drawing more than losing though, with three draws in those six away games. The head-to-head tells a different story though - Orlando has owned this matchup historically, winning 7 of 9 meetings and never losing to Toronto at home. Looking at the recent form, Toronto just can't win but are hard to beat, while Orlando can't win away but are decent at getting draws. Toronto's scoring just 0.8 goals per game shows their attack is as weak as a vegetarian's argument for BBQ, but they're also conceding only 1.2 per game. The stats paint a picture of two teams heading in opposite directions in the table but meeting in the middle on the pitch. Toronto's shot accuracy at home is terrible at 33.6%, while Orlando isn't much better away at 32.4%. Both teams average similar possession around 47-48%, suggesting this could be a midfield battle with few clear chances. With Toronto's recent home form being 100% draws and Orlando's away struggles, the draw looks like the smart money here. It's not pretty football, but sometimes you gotta take the points where you can find them!

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📝 Match Preview

The Force of Draws Meets Low-Scoring Away Form
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.35
Expected Value:+41.0%
Confidence:65

Much to ponder, this match presents. Toronto FC, though at the bottom of the table they sit, has found the path of equilibrium in recent times. Eight draws from their last ten games, they have achieved. Against formidable opponents too - holding Inter Miami to 1-1, Columbus Crew twice to 1-1, and even Philadelphia Union to 1-1. The force of the draw is strong with this one. Orlando City SC, higher in the standings they may be, but away from home they struggle greatly. Zero wins in their last ten away journeys, this statistic reveals. Recent form shows more draws than victories - holding Vancouver Whitecaps to 0-0, Columbus Crew to 1-1, and FC Cincinnati to 1-1. Their away goals average merely 0.83 per game, a telling sign of offensive struggles on the road. The head-to-head history favors Orlando, with seven victories from nine meetings. But history is not always the path to future outcomes, hmm? Toronto's recent draw-heavy form suggests the force may be shifting. Both teams struggle to find the net consistently. Toronto averages 0.80 goals per game recently, Orlando 1.20. But when Toronto plays at home, they score 1.00 per game, while Orlando away manages only 0.83. The goal expectancies speak clearly - 1.50 for the home side, 0.92 for the visitors. In betting, as in life, one must see beyond the surface. The odds may favor Orlando at 1.90, but their away form and Toronto's draw-heavy recent results tell a different story. The path of value often lies where others do not see. Key Points: - Toronto FC: 8 draws in last 10 games, 0.80 points per game - Orlando City SC: 0 wins in last 10 away games, 0.83 goals per game away - Head-to-head: Orlando dominates historically (7W-1D-1L) - Goal expectancy: Total 2.42 goals expected - Both teams low-scoring, especially Orlando away from home The force of statistics points toward a low-scoring affair. Both teams struggle to score consistently, with Orlando particularly ineffective away from home. The value lies in the under 2.5 goals market, where the odds of 2.35 offer good value given the offensive struggles of both sides.

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