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Match analysis

ChinaSuper League

Hangzhou Greentown vs Shandong Luneng

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Super League fixture.

Match Timeline

13'
Valeri Qazaishvili
Missed Penalty
28'
Zeca
Penalty cancelled
44'
Zhengyu Huang⚽
Normal Goal
45+1'
Yago Cariello⚽
Normal Goal → Guowen Sun
46'
Zhang Aihui🔄
Substitution 1 → Tong Lei
46'
Wenneng Xie🔄
Substitution 1 → Tong Wang
50'
Tong Lei🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Cryzan🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere⚽
Normal Goal → Tixiang Li
74'
Zhengyu Huang🔄
Substitution 2 → Yuanyi Li
76'
Yuanyi Li
Penalty confirmed
79'
Cryzan
Penalty
79'
Zheng Zheng🔄
Substitution 3 → Peng Xiao
80'
Yago Cariello🔄
Substitution 2 → Franko Andrijašević
86'
Wang Yudong🔄
Substitution 3 → Qianglong Tao
90'
Guowen Sun🔄
Substitution 4 → Shiqin Wang
90'
Valeri Qazaishvili🔄
Substitution 4 → Raphaël Merkies

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal11
4Shots off Goal7
13Total Shots27
4Blocked Shots9
7Shots insidebox15
6Shots outsidebox12
12Fouls10
2Corner Kicks11
3Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards1
9Goalkeeper Saves2
435Total passes517
368Passes accurate457
85Passes %88

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonLost

Hangzhou's Home Firepower vs Shandong's Away Woes

The pickHangzhou Greentown win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+15.2%

Ag man, this is gonna be a proper braai of a match! Let's break it down properly. Hangzhou Greentown have been firing on all cylinders at home lately, boet! They've only lost ONE of their last ten games and are averaging a whopping 2.5 goals per game. Just look at their recent…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found: Hangzhou Home Advantage Underrated

The pickHangzhou Greentown win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.45
Model EV
+17.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookmakers have priced this as a near coin flip, but my mathematical analysis reveals a clear value opportunity on the home side. Hangzhou Greentown sits 7th with 39 points, while Shandong Luneng occupies 5th…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hangzhou Greentown

5W 4D 1L1.90 pts/game

Shandong Luneng

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Hangzhou Greentown at home vs Shandong Luneng away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Super League

Overall edge
+32Shandong Luneng
Venue edge
+80Hangzhou Greentown
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hangzhou Greentown versus Shandong Luneng: long term Elo, before the match
Hangzhou GreentownHomeRatingShandong LunengAway
Strength
1,630Overall1,663
1,647Match venue1,568
1,647At home1,719
1,514Away1,568
Attack & defence
1,682Attack1,636
1,510Defence1,579
1,686Home attack1,649
1,563Away attack1,573
1,535Home defence1,645
1,494Away defence1,524
Match profile
1,735Goal environment1,963
1,623Home goals1,742
1,612Away goals1,722
1,500Possession1,506
Specialist ratings
1,510Set-piece attack1,482
1,509Set-piece defence1,483
1,524Close games1,544
1,662Winning margin1,700

Match venue compares Hangzhou Greentown at home with Shandong Luneng away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou GreentownUnknown

Starting XI

33Bo ZhaoG
81Zhang AihuiD
36Lucas PossignoloD
5Liu HaofanD
31Deabeas Owusu-SekyereM
22Cheng JinM
10Tixiang LiM
26Guowen SunM
27Yago CarielloF
20Alexandru MitrițăF
39Wang YudongF

Shandong LunengShandong LunengUnknown

Starting XI

14Dalei WangG
33Zhunyi GaoD
15Lluís LópezD
5Zheng ZhengD
23Wenneng XieM
35Zhengyu HuangM
8Guilherme MadrugaM
11Yang LiuM
9CryzanF
10Valeri QazaishviliF
19ZecaF