Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 11:35
Full Time

Match Timeline

-5'
Zhu Pengyu🟨
Yellow Card
-5'
Zhu Pengyu🟥
Red Card
25'
Lü Zhuoyi
Normal Goal → Zhu Pengyu
39'
Liu Zhurun
Normal Goal → Daniel Penha
43'
Xi Wu
Normal Goal → Chenjie Zhu
53'
Shinichi Chan🔄
Substitution 1 → Haoyang Xu
56'
André Luis
Penalty cancelled
70'
Tianyi Gao🔄
Substitution 2 → Chengyu Liu
70'
Jin Shunkai🔄
Substitution 3 → Ibrahim Amadou
77'
Jiabao Wen🔄
Substitution 1 → Yang Mingrui
80'
Liu Zhurun🔄
Substitution 2 → Jintao Liao
81'
Ke Li🔄
Substitution 4 → Haijian Wang
83'
Zihao Huang🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Zhu Pengyu🟨
Yellow Card
89'
Zhu Pengyu🔄
Substitution 3 → Xuebin Zhao
90+7'
Xi Wu
Penalty confirmed
90+8'
Jinhao Bi🟨
Yellow Card
90+10'
André Luis
Penalty
90+12'
Chenjie Zhu🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox5
15Fouls9
7Corner Kicks1
0Offsides3
63Ball Possession37
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
598Total passes358
521Passes accurate285
87Passes %80

Starting Lineups

Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua1:1

Starting XI

1Xue QinghaoG
27Shinichi ChanD
15Xi WuM
10João Carlos TeixeiraM
19Luís AsuéF
5Chenjie ZhuD
23Ke LiM
9André LuisF
3Jin ShunkaiD
17Tianyi GaoM
13Wilson ManafáD

Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing1:1

Starting XI

26Zihao HuangG
30Jiabao WenD
15Liu ZhurunM
16Zhu PengyuF
2Mamadou TraoréD
25Daniel PenhaM
36Jinhao BiD
4Isnik AlimiM
38Lü ZhuoyiD
21Peng LüM
22Weijie MaoM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Shanghai Shenhua
Shanghai Shenhua
Form: W-W-D-W-D
Dalian Zhixing
Dalian Zhixing
Form: D-L-L-D-W
Record
4 W
4 D
2 L
3 W
2 D
5 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.6
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1710
Good
1541
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1808
↑ Momentum (+98)
1576
↑ Momentum (+36)
Expected Outcome
54%
Home Win
26%
Draw
20%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1677
Attack
1460
1656
Defence
1552
Recent Form
1765
Attack
1426
1653
Defence
1577
Post-Match Changes
-7
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Shanghai's Defensive Mastery
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+3.4%

The force flows strongly through Shanghai Shenhua, sitting third in the league with 57 points - a testament to their consistent wisdom throughout the season. Their path illuminates with 17 victories, while Dalian Zhixing struggles in the shadows of 10th place, burdened by but 34 points. Recent battles reveal the true nature of these warriors. Shanghai Shenhua's blade strikes with precision - 18 goals in their last 10 contests, averaging 1.80 per game. Their defense stands as a fortress, conceding only 10 times. A magnificent 6-1 victory over Meizhou Kejia demonstrates their power when fully aligned with the force. Dalian Zhixing, however, finds their offense flowing like a troubled stream - merely 9 goals in 10 matches, averaging 0.90 per contest. Their defense leaks like a broken vessel, 16 goals conceded in the same period. Heavy defeats scar their recent journey: 4-0 to Henan Jianye, 4-2 to Beijing Guoan, and 0-2 to Qingdao Youth Island. The ancient records of head-to-head combat speak clearly - two meetings, two victories for Shanghai Shenhua, zero goals conceded. The pattern established, the force favors the home side. At their home temple, Shanghai Shenhua remains undefeated in their last 5 battles (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 2.60 goals per game. Dalian Zhixing away from their sanctuary suffers greatly - 60% defeat rate, conceding 2.20 goals per game while scoring only 1.00. The goal expectancy suggests 2.40 goals for Shanghai Shenhua and 1.10 for Dalian Zhixing, but wisdom looks beyond simple numbers. The force whispers that Dalian Zhixing's offensive struggles away from home, combined with Shanghai Shenhua's defensive solidity, may lead to a contest where one team fails to find the net. Key Points: - Shanghai Shenhua undefeated in last 5 home games (2W, 3D) - Dalian Zhixing has lost 60% of away games this season - Head-to-head: Shanghai Shenhua won both meetings without conceding - Dalian Zhixing averages only 0.90 goals scored per game overall - Shanghai Shenhua averages 2.60 goals scored at home - Dalian Zhixing failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away games - The odds of 1.95 for Both Teams to Score - No offer reasonable value The path of wisdom leads to Both Teams to Score - No. Shanghai Shenhua's defensive mastery at home, combined with Dalian Zhixing's offensive struggles on their travels, creates a scenario where one team may remain silent. The force suggests this outcome holds value.

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📝 Match Preview

Shanghai Shenhua vs Dalian Zhixing: Value in the Goals Market
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.95
Expected Value:+7.2%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers here. Shanghai Shenhua sit 3rd in the Super League with 57 points, while Dalian Zhixing languish in 10th with just 34 points - that's a massive 23-point gap that tells you everything about the class difference. The head-to-head record is brutally one-sided: two meetings, two wins for Shanghai, five goals scored, zero conceded. Both matches ended with clean sheets for Shanghai. Recent form reinforces this narrative - Shanghai are averaging 1.8 goals per game over their last 10, while Dalian are managing just 0.9. Here's where the value lies though. Look at the venue-specific stats: Shanghai score 2.6 goals per home game but concede only 1.2. Dalian away from home? They score 1.0 but leak 2.2 goals per game. The mathematical expectation points toward a Shanghai win with defensive solidity. The bookies have priced Shanghai at 1.20 for the home win - that's 83.33% implied probability. While likely correct, there's no value there. But dig deeper into the Both Teams to Score market. BTTS No is priced at 1.95 (51.28% implied), yet Dalian have scored in only 30% of their recent away games and Shanghai have kept 30% clean sheets overall. With Dalian's away goal average at just 1.0 and Shanghai's home defense conceding only 1.2, combined with Dalian's recent struggles on the road (including a 0-0 against bottom side Wuhan Three Towns), the mathematics favor a clean sheet scenario more than the odds suggest. This isn't about picking the obvious outcome - it's about finding where the bookies have mispriced the probability. The BTTS No market offers exactly that kind of mathematical edge.

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