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Match analysis

ChinaSuper League

Qingdao Youth Island vs Changchun Yatai

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Super League fixture.

Match Timeline

23'
Po Liang Chen🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Riccieli⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Po Liang Chen
55'
Longhai He🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Abduhamit AbdugheniπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Liu Guobao
59'
Long TanπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Stoppila Sunzu
62'
Po Liang ChenπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Xiuwei Zhang
62'
Longhai HeπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ HonglΓΌe Zhao
74'
Iminqari MutallepπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Xiaolong Liu
74'
Bin XuπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Liuyu Duan
80'
Ohi OmoijuanfoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Yuda Tian
80'
Zhicheng WuπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Huachen Zhang
81'
Indio🟨
Yellow Card
88'
AzizπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Di Gao
88'
Zhijian XuanπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Sun Qinhan

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal2
23Total Shots9
10Blocked Shots5
15Shots insidebox2
8Shots outsidebox7
18Fouls14
9Corner Kicks2
2Offsides1
41Ball Possession59
3Yellow Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
359Total passes528
294Passes accurate450
82Passes %85

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Bottom Table Battle: Goals Hard to Come By

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
2.35
Model EV
+45.7%

Ag man, this is the final day of the Chinese Super League and we've got a proper bottom-table clash here! Qingdao Youth Island sitting in 9th with 37 points hosting the dead-last Changchun Yatai who've managed just 19 points all season. That's an 18-point gap, but don't let that…

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdog Value in Draw Battle

The pickDraw

Chance
30%
Odds
4.00
Model EV
+20.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes will be on the home team sitting comfortably in 9th place, my heart goes out to the little puppies at the bottom of the table. Changchun Yatai may be last in the Super League, but there's hidden value here that the…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in Both Teams to Score Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
62%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+3.5%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on where the real value lies. The league table shows a clear gap - Qingdao sit 9th with 37 points while Changchun are rock bottom with 19. But here's where the casual observer gets it wrong: Qingdao's home form is abysmal (0 wins in last 4…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Qingdao Youth Island

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Changchun Yatai

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Qingdao Youth Island at home vs Changchun Yatai away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Super League

Overall edge
+105Qingdao Youth Island
Venue edge
+97Qingdao Youth Island
Rating period
Match snapshot
Qingdao Youth Island versus Changchun Yatai: long term Elo, before the match
Qingdao Youth IslandHomeRatingChangchun YataiAway
Strength
1,565Overall1,460
1,520Match venue1,423
1,520At home1,497
1,517Away1,423
Attack & defence
1,516Attack1,465
1,566Defence1,514
1,518Home attack1,492
1,499Away attack1,457
1,513Home defence1,522
1,542Away defence1,480
Match profile
1,595Goal environment1,772
1,548Home goals1,570
1,547Away goals1,702
1,490Possession1,481
Specialist ratings
1,463Set-piece attack1,490
1,464Set-piece defence1,491
1,519Close games1,472
1,578Winning margin1,454

Match venue compares Qingdao Youth Island at home with Changchun Yatai away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island1:1

Starting XI

1Hao LiG
20Longhai HeD
17Po Liang ChenM
21Iminqari MutallepM
9AzizF
36Jie SunD
6Bin XuM
23IndioM
5RiccieliD
10Nelson LuzM
22Yang XiD

Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai1:1

Starting XI

1Zhicheng AnG
17He YiranD
20Zhijian XuanM
27Juan Camilo SalazarF
2Abduhamit AbdugheniD
25Wylan CyprienM
29Long TanF
18Boxi JingD
80Zhicheng WuM
10Ohi OmoijuanfoF
15Xu HaofengM