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Match analysis

ChinaSuper League

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Super League fixture.

Match Timeline

12'
Darlan⚽
Goal cancelled
35'
Yuanyi Li🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Zeca⚽
Normal Goal → Cryzan
41'
Zheng Zheng🟨
Yellow Card
45+4'
Yang Liu⚽
Normal Goal
46'
Park Ji-soo🔄
Substitution 1 → Hang Ren
46'
Zheng Zheng🔄
Substitution 1 → Raphaël Merkies
48'
Zeca
Penalty confirmed
50'
Valeri Qazaishvili
Penalty
51'
Wei Long🔄
Substitution 2 → Jinxian Wang
57'
Jinxian Wang
Penalty confirmed
59'
Alexandru Tudorie
Missed Penalty
59'
Denny Wang Yi🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Will Donkin🔄
Substitution 3 → Min
69'
Valeri Qazaishvili⚽
Normal Goal → Cryzan
71'
Yuanyi Li🔄
Substitution 2 → Imran Memet
72'
Denny Wang Yi🔄
Substitution 4 → Jingwei Ruan
75'
Wenneng Xie🟨
Yellow Card
76'
Guilherme Madruga🔄
Substitution 3 → Tong Wang
76'
Wenneng Xie🔄
Substitution 4 → Zeshi Chen
79'
Alexandru Tudorie🔄
Substitution 5 → Wenchuan Zhu
81'
Zeca🔄
Substitution 5 → Chen Pu
82'
Min⚽
Normal Goal
86'
Cryzan⚽
Normal Goal
90+4'
Manuel Palacios🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal10
7Shots off Goal6
18Total Shots18
5Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox12
10Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls15
4Corner Kicks7
3Offsides3
48Ball Possession52
2Yellow Cards3
6Goalkeeper Saves5
423Total passes482
352Passes accurate400
83Passes %83

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

The Force Favors Shandong in Season's End

The pickShandong Luneng win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

In the grand tapestry of the Super League, two paths converge. One team struggles near the abyss, the other stands tall among the contenders. The difference in their journeys is as vast as the space between stars. Wuhan Three Towns, positioned 13th with but 25 points, show the…

PajimonWon

Shandong To Continue Unbeaten Run

The pickShandong Luneng win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Ag man, this one looks like a braai with only boerewors - straightforward and tasty! Let's break it down properly. Wuhan Three Towns are having an absolute shocker of a season. Sitting 13th in the table with only 25 points, they've managed just 6 wins all season. Their recent…

Mr CertaintyWon

Shandong Attack vs Wuhan Defense: BTTS Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.44
Model EV
+8.0%

This match presents a fascinating contrast between two teams heading in opposite directions. Wuhan Three Towns sit 13th in the Super League with just 25 points from 29 games, having endured a miserable recent run of 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses in their last 10 matches. Their…

Value VinnyWon

Shandong Luneng Value Bet vs Struggling Wuhan

The pickShandong Luneng win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

The numbers here don't lie - we're looking at a massive quality gap that the bookmakers have underestimated. Wuhan Three Towns are in freefall with just 1 win in their last 10 games (0.40 points per game), shipping 2.3 goals per match while scoring only 0.8. Their recent form…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Wuhan Three Towns

1W 1D 8L0.40 pts/game

Shandong Luneng

6W 4D 0L2.20 pts/game

Per game

Wuhan Three Towns at home vs Shandong Luneng away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Super League

Overall edge
+237Shandong Luneng
Venue edge
+72Shandong Luneng
Rating period
Match snapshot
Wuhan Three Towns versus Shandong Luneng: long term Elo, before the match
Wuhan Three TownsHomeRatingShandong LunengAway
Strength
1,460Overall1,698
1,499Match venue1,570
1,499At home1,738
1,497Away1,570
Attack & defence
1,457Attack1,651
1,516Defence1,591
1,493Home attack1,660
1,468Away attack1,576
1,518Home defence1,650
1,521Away defence1,526
Match profile
1,692Goal environment1,975
1,622Home goals1,748
1,570Away goals1,727
1,489Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,489Set-piece attack1,503
1,489Set-piece defence1,502
1,485Close games1,561
1,451Winning margin1,739

Match venue compares Wuhan Three Towns at home with Shandong Luneng away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns1:1

Starting XI

45Guo JiayuG
61Kang WangD
6Wei LongM
11Manuel PalaciosM
9Alexandru TudorieF
5Park Ji-sooD
30Jinbao ZhongM
10DarlanM
18Yiming LiuD
22Will DonkinM
28Denny Wang YiD

Shandong LunengShandong Luneng1:1

Starting XI

14Dalei WangG
5Zheng ZhengD
11Yang LiuM
10Valeri QazaishviliF
19ZecaF
33Zhunyi GaoD
22Yuanyi LiM
9CryzanF
35Zhengyu HuangD
8Guilherme MadrugaM
23Wenneng XieM