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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Vitoria vs Corinthians

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

-5'
VitoriaLucas Arcanjo🟨
Yellow Card
26'
VitoriaLucas Arcanjo🔄
Substitution 1 → Thiago Couto
37'
VitoriaRonald🟨
Yellow Card
37'
CorinthiansJosé Martínez🟨
Yellow Card
45+2'
CorinthiansRaniele🟨
Yellow Card
46'
VitoriaLucas Halter🟨
Yellow Card
46'
VitoriaRonald Lopes🔄
Substitution 2 → Dudu
46'
VitoriaP. Roberto🔄
Substitution 3 → Matheuzinho
47'
CorinthiansRodrigo Garro🟨
Yellow Card
48'
CorinthiansBreno Bidon🟨
Yellow Card
49'
VitoriaCamutanga🟨
Yellow Card
62'
VitoriaMatheuzinho🟨
Yellow Card
62'
CorinthiansA. Carrillo🔄
Substitution 1 → Charles Rigon
70'
VitoriaRenato Kayzer🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Lopez
79'
VitoriaRamon🟨
Yellow Card
79'
CorinthiansBreno Bidon🟨
Yellow Card
79'
CorinthiansBreno Bidon🟥
Red Card
82'
CorinthiansYuri Alberto🔄
Substitution 2 → Andre Ramalho
87'
CorinthiansCharles Rigon⚽
Normal Goal
89'
CorinthiansM. Depay🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Angileri
89'
CorinthiansR. Garro🔄
Substitution 4 → Gui Negao
90+1'
VitoriaCamutanga🔄
Substitution 5 → Carlinhos

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal2
11Total Shots11
2Blocked Shots4
9Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox4
23Fouls13
5Corner Kicks6
3Offsides2
42Ball Possession58
6Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
285Total passes418
224Passes accurate349
79Passes %83
1.07expected_goals1.1
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyValue VinnyWon

Value Found in Low-Scoring Encounter

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+24.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Vitoria sits 17th with 31 points, while Corinthians occupies 11th with 36 - both teams are firmly in the Serie A's bottom half, and their recent form reflects this mediocrity. Vitoria's overall record (4W-1D-5L in…

PajimonPajimonWon

Vitoria vs Corinthians: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+62.5%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and break down this Serie A clash! Vitoria hosts Corinthians in what looks like a proper relegation six-pointer, with only 5 points separating these two sides in the table. Vitoria's been showing some fighting spirit recently with back-to-back…

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogLost

Vitoria Ready to Bark Against Corinthians

The pickVitoria win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+10.0%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today I'm sniffing out some serious value in this clash between Vitoria and Corinthians. While the league table might suggest Corinthians have the edge, I'm here to tell you why our little puppies from Vitoria are ready to surprise everyone!…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceYoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Wisdom of the Force Guides Corinthians

The pickCorinthians win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+78.8%

In the grand tapestry of Serie A, two forces converge on October 25th. Vitoria, hovering precariously in 17th place with 31 points, seeks to climb from the shadows. Corinthians, standing 11th with 36 points, aims to solidify their position in the light. Recent form tells a tale…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleWon

Corinthians To Edge Tight Vitoria Clash

The pickCorinthians win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+51.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Brazilian scrap between Vitoria and Corinthians. Both sides are having a bit of a middling season, sitting in that "could do better" territory of the Serie A table. Vitoria are perched in 17th spot with 31 points, while Corinthians…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

VitoriaVitoria

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

CorinthiansCorinthians

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Vitoria at home vs Corinthians away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+47Corinthians
Venue edge
+10Vitoria
Rating period
Match snapshot
Vitoria versus Corinthians: long term Elo, before the match
VitoriaVitoriaHomeRatingCorinthiansCorinthiansAway
Strength
1,527Overall1,574
1,518Match venue1,508
1,518At home1,620
1,458Away1,508
Attack & defence
1,460Attack1,502
1,542Defence1,578
1,472Home attack1,549
1,443Away attack1,442
1,545Home defence1,603
1,502Away defence1,543
Match profile
1,602Goal environment960
1,518Home goals1,293
1,583Away goals1,167
1,467Possession1,508
Specialist ratings
1,486Set-piece attack1,505
1,487Set-piece defence1,505
1,547Close games1,547
1,519Winning margin1,586

Match venue compares Vitoria at home with Corinthians away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

VitoriaVitoria1:1

Starting XI

1Lucas ArcanjoG
13RamonD
17Aitor CantalapiedraM
79Renato KayzerF
3Zé MarcosD
8RonaldM
4CamutangaD
29Willian OliveiraM
5Lucas HalterD
33ErickM
50Paulo RobertoD

CorinthiansCorinthians1:1

Starting XI

40Felipe LongoG
21Matheus BiduD
27Breno BidonM
8Rodrigo GarroM
9Yuri AlbertoF
13Gustavo HenriqueD
14RanieleM
10Memphis DepayF
47João Pedro TchocaD
19André CarrilloM
70José MartínezD