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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Bahia vs RB Bragantino

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

-5'
BahiaDanilo Fernandes🟨
Yellow Card
-5'
RB BragantinoMatheus Fernandes🟨
Yellow Card
5'
RB BragantinoAlix Vinicius🟨
Yellow Card
12'
RB BragantinoEric RamiresπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Matheus Fernandes
20'
RB BragantinoMatheus Fernandes⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Lucas Barbosa
27'
BahiaSantiago Ramos Mingo🟨
Yellow Card
41'
BahiaKaykyπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ Tiago
46'
BahiaRodrigoπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Michel Araujo
46'
RB BragantinoUnknown PlayerπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ Fabinho
53'
BahiaMichel Araújo🟨
Yellow Card
58'
RB BragantinoH. MosqueraπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Fernando
60'
RB BragantinoVanderlan🟨
Yellow Card
61'
RB BragantinoLucas Barbosa🟨
Yellow Card
70'
BahiaNicolas AcevedoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Erick
70'
BahiaErick PulgaπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Cauly
75'
BahiaWillian Jose⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Luciano Juba
77'
RB BragantinoJuninho CapixabaπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Praxedes
77'
RB BragantinoEduardo SashaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ I. Pitta
87'
BahiaJean LucasπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ Everton Ribeiro
90'
BahiaWillian Jose⚽
Normal Goal β†’ Tiago
90+4'
RB BragantinoIsidro Pitta🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots7
5Blocked Shots1
13Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls20
4Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
69Ball Possession31
3Yellow Cards5
2Goalkeeper Saves4
530Total passes230
459Passes accurate162
87Passes %70
1.5expected_goals0.84
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonPajimonWon

Bahia's Home Fortress vs Bragantino's Travel Woes

The pickBahia win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+15.6%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where one team brought the meat and the other forgot the fire! Bahia sitting pretty in 5th place with 49 points while Bragantino are struggling down in 12th with only 36 points - that's a bigger gap than my appetite after a long day!…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleLost

Bahia's Home Fortress vs Bragantino's Travel Woes

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Brazilian Serie A clash between Bahia and RB Bragantino. On paper, this looks like a home banker, but we're here to find value, not just the obvious. Bahia are sitting pretty in 5th place with 49 points, and their home form has been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

BahiaBahia

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Bahia at home vs RB Bragantino away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Serie A

Overall edge
+107Bahia
Venue edge
+204Bahia
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bahia versus RB Bragantino: long term Elo, before the match
BahiaBahiaHomeRatingRB BragantinoRB BragantinoAway
Strength
1,594Overall1,487
1,658Match venue1,454
1,658At home1,562
1,439Away1,454
Attack & defence
1,522Attack1,467
1,578Defence1,500
1,552Home attack1,494
1,461Away attack1,451
1,637Home defence1,528
1,483Away defence1,522
Match profile
1,300Goal environment1,517
1,332Home goals1,523
1,468Away goals1,493
1,516Possession1,490
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,476
1,497Set-piece defence1,477
1,564Close games1,496
1,601Winning margin1,477

Match venue compares Bahia at home with RB Bragantino away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BahiaBahia1:1

Starting XI

96RonaldoG
46Luciano JubaD
16Erick PulgaM
12Willian JosΓ©F
21Santiago Ramos MingoD
6Jean LucasM
33David DuarteD
26NicolΓ‘s AcevedoM
13Santiago AriasD
11Rodrigo NestorM
37KaykyM

RB BragantinoRB Bragantino1:1

Starting XI

1CleitonG
12VanderlanD
6Gabriel GirottoM
30Henry MosqueraM
8Eduardo SashaF
14Pedro HenriqueD
7Eric RamiresM
29Juninho CapixabaM
4Alix ViniciusD
21Lucas BarbosaM
34JosΓ© AndrΓ©s HurtadoD