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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Botafogo vs Vasco DA Gama

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

38'
BotafogoAlexander Barboza🟨
Yellow Card
41'
BotafogoMarlon Freitas🟨
Yellow Card
45'
BotafogoAlex Telles
Penalty
46'
Vasco DA GamaTche Tche🔄
Substitution 1 → Matheus Franca
55'
Vasco DA GamaMatheus França🟨
Yellow Card
64'
BotafogoJ. Correa🔄
Substitution 1 → Artur
69'
Vasco DA GamaCauan Barros🔄
Substitution 2 → Hugo Moura
72'
BotafogoArtur⚽
Normal Goal → J. Savarino
73'
BotafogoArtur🟨
Yellow Card
73'
BotafogoArthur Cabral🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Ramos
74'
BotafogoJ. Savarino🔄
Substitution 3 → Cuiabano
77'
BotafogoLeo Jardim⚽
Own Goal
79'
Vasco DA GamaP. Vegetti🔄
Substitution 3 → David
80'
Vasco DA GamaDavid🟨
Yellow Card
81'
BotafogoS. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 4 → Allan
81'
BotafogoDanilo🔄
Substitution 5 → Newton
88'
Vasco DA GamaCoutinho🔄
Substitution 4 → Thiago Mendes
88'
Vasco DA GamaC. A. Gomez🔄
Substitution 5 → GB

Match Statistics

9Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal6
23Total Shots12
8Blocked Shots6
17Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls11
8Corner Kicks3
3Offsides0
51Ball Possession49
3Yellow Cards2
0Goalkeeper Saves7
440Total passes424
396Passes accurate384
90Passes %91
2.83expected_goals0.98
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonPajimonLost

Vasco's Red-Hot Form Faces Botafogo at Home

The pickVasco DA Gama win

Chance
60%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+134.0%

Ag man, this one's looking tasty! Let's fire up the braai and break down this Rio clash properly. Botafogo sitting 6th with 48 points isn't too shabby, but their recent form has been more inconsistent than my mate's braai skills - sometimes good, sometimes terrible! Looking at…

Mr CertaintyMr CertaintyLost

Botafogo vs Vasco: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+25.8%

This Serie A encounter presents a fascinating contrast in form between two Rio de Janeiro clubs. Botafogo, sitting 6th in the table, have been struggling recently with just 3 wins from their last 10 matches (1.30 points per game). Their home form has been particularly…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceYoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Vasco's Form Meets Botafogo's Home Challenge

The pickVasco DA Gama win

Chance
42%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+63.8%

In the grand tapestry of Serie A, two forces converge on November 5th. Botafogo, standing 6th with 48 points, welcomes Vasco DA Gama, 8th with 42 points. But the league table, like a pond's surface, reflects only what lies above. The deeper currents tell another story…

Mr SimpleMr SimpleLost

Vasco's Hot Form Makes Them Value On The Road

The pickVasco DA Gama win

Chance
55%
Odds
3.90
Model EV
+114.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Rio showdown. Botafogo might be sitting pretty in 6th, but their recent form has been about as consistent as a dodgy referee - three wins, four draws, and three losses in their last ten. They've been drawing at home to the likes of…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

BotafogoBotafogo

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Botafogo at home vs Vasco DA Gama away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+48Botafogo
Venue edge
+118Botafogo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Botafogo versus Vasco DA Gama: long term Elo, before the match
BotafogoBotafogoHomeRatingVasco DA GamaVasco DA GamaAway
Strength
1,634Overall1,586
1,607Match venue1,489
1,607At home1,569
1,623Away1,489
Attack & defence
1,512Attack1,564
1,638Defence1,526
1,555Home attack1,540
1,477Away attack1,489
1,580Home defence1,537
1,675Away defence1,508
Match profile
1,192Goal environment1,395
1,405Home goals1,467
1,287Away goals1,428
1,503Possession1,521
Specialist ratings
1,485Set-piece attack1,506
1,486Set-piece defence1,506
1,583Close games1,513
1,647Winning margin1,609

Match venue compares Botafogo at home with Vasco DA Gama away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BotafogoBotafogo1:1

Starting XI

24Léo LinckG
13Alex TellesD
35DaniloM
30Joaquín CorreaM
98Arthur CabralF
57David RicardoD
17Marlon FreitasM
10Jefferson SavarinoM
20Alexander BarbozaD
23Santiago RodríguezM
2VitinhoD

Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama1:1

Starting XI

1Léo JardimG
6Lucas PitonD
3Tchê TchêM
11Andrés GómezM
99Pablo VegettiF
30Robert RenanD
88Cauan BarrosM
10Philippe CoutinhoM
46Carlos CuestaD
77RayanM
2Puma RodríguezD