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Match analysis

Brazil flagBrazilSerie A

Flamengo vs Santos

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:2HT 1–0

Match Timeline

30'
FlamengoSamuel Lino🟨
Yellow Card
36'
SantosNeymar🟨
Yellow Card
37'
FlamengoLeo Pereira⚽
Normal Goal
51'
FlamengoJ. Carrascal⚽
Normal Goal → G. de Arrascaeta
62'
SantosLuan Peres🔄
Substitution 1 → Gabriel Bontempo
65'
FlamengoBruno Henrique
Penalty confirmed
67'
FlamengoN. de la Cruz🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Niguez
67'
FlamengoJ. Carrascal🔄
Substitution 2 → Luiz Araujo
72'
SantosZe Rafael🔄
Substitution 2 → Thaciano
72'
SantosA. Barreal🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Diaz
76'
FlamengoGiorgian De Arrascaeta🟨
Yellow Card
77'
SantosZé Ivaldo🟨
Yellow Card
80'
FlamengoSamuel Lino🔄
Substitution 3 → Everton
81'
FlamengoBruno Henrique⚽
Normal Goal
85'
FlamengoE. Pulgar🔄
Substitution 4 → Evertton Araujo
85'
FlamengoG. de Arrascaeta🔄
Substitution 5 → Michael
86'
SantosNeymar🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Rollheiser
86'
SantosGuilherme🔄
Substitution 5 → Robson Junior
88'
FlamengoAyrton Lucas🔄
Substitution 6 → M. Vina
89'
SantosGabriel Bontempo⚽
Normal Goal
90'
SantosL. Diaz⚽
Normal Goal → B. Rollheiser
90+5'
SantosSouza🔄
Substitution 6 → G. Escobar

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal9
14Total Shots17
3Blocked Shots4
12Shots insidebox12
2Shots outsidebox5
14Fouls12
11Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
66Ball Possession34
2Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves2
570Total passes302
521Passes accurate255
91Passes %84
2.6expected_goals1.95
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonPajimonLost

Flamengo to grind out low-scoring win vs Santos

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+20.6%

Alright boet, let's fire up the BBQ and talk some football! Flamengo hosts Santos in what looks like a classic case of the haves vs the have-nots. The Mengo are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 65 points, while Santos are languishing in 17th with just 33 points - that's a bigger…

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogLost

Santos Ready to Bite Back Against Flamengo

The pickSantos win

Chance
16%
Odds
9.50
Model EV
+52.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone will be flocking to back the mighty Flamengo at their cozy home ground, my little puppy senses are tingling with excitement about Santos' chances! Now, I know what you're thinking - Santos sits 17th in the table with…

Mr CertaintyMr CertaintyLost

Flamengo vs Santos: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
2.08
Model EV
+45.6%

This Serie A clash presents a fascinating contrast between title contenders Flamengo and relegation-battling Santos. The data points toward a cagey, low-scoring encounter at Flamengo's home ground. Flamengo enters this match in 2nd place with 65 points, just behind leaders…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FlamengoFlamengo

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

SantosSantos

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Flamengo at home vs Santos away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+217Flamengo
Venue edge
+220Flamengo
Rating period
Match snapshot
Flamengo versus Santos: long term Elo, before the match
FlamengoFlamengoHomeRatingSantosSantosAway
Strength
1,721Overall1,504
1,695Match venue1,476
1,695At home1,517
1,655Away1,476
Attack & defence
1,597Attack1,452
1,678Defence1,516
1,582Home attack1,459
1,580Away attack1,428
1,650Home defence1,549
1,633Away defence1,493
Match profile
1,590Goal environment1,240
1,562Home goals1,478
1,528Away goals1,262
1,540Possession1,505
Specialist ratings
1,520Set-piece attack1,493
1,520Set-piece defence1,493
1,609Close games1,522
1,758Winning margin1,492

Match venue compares Flamengo at home with Santos away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FlamengoFlamengo1:1

Starting XI

1Agustín RossiG
6Ayrton LucasD
18Nicolás de la CruzM
16Samuel LinoM
27Bruno HenriqueF
4Léo PereiraD
5Erick PulgarM
10Giorgian De ArrascaetaM
13DaniloD
15Jorge CarrascalM
2Guillermo VarelaD

SantosSantos1:1

Starting XI

77Gabriel BrazãoG
33SouzaD
6Zé RafaelM
11GuilhermeF
14Luan PeresD
15Willian ArãoM
10NeymarF
27Zé IvaldoD
5João SchmidtM
22Álvaro BarrealF
18Igor ViníciusD