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Match analysis

Argentina flagArgentinaLiga Profesional Argentina

Velez Sarsfield vs River Plate

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Liga Profesional Argentina fixture.

Match Timeline

21'
River PlateFabricio Bustos🔄
Substitution 1 → Agustín Obregón
26'
River PlateAgustín Obregón🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Velez SarsfieldDilan Godoy🔄
Substitution 1 → Florián Monzón
62'
River PlateSantiago Lencina🔄
Substitution 2 → Ian Subiabre
62'
River PlateJuan Fernando Quintero🔄
Substitution 3 → Thiago Acosta
71'
Velez SarsfieldAgustín Bouzat🟨
Yellow Card
74'
Velez SarsfieldTomás Cavanagh🔄
Substitution 2 → Tobías Andrada
74'
Velez SarsfieldManuel Lanzini🔄
Substitution 3 → Claudio Baeza
74'
River PlateMaximiliano Salas🔄
Substitution 4 → Joaquin Freitas
76'
River PlateMilton Casco🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Velez SarsfieldTomás Galván🔄
Substitution 4 → Diego Valdés
90'
River PlateIan Subiabre🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots10
2Blocked Shots5
6Shots insidebox4
5Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls17
6Corner Kicks2
2Offsides3
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves3
327Total passes409
222Passes accurate294
68Passes %72
0.92expected_goals1.16
1goals_prevented1

Tipster preview

Umery UnderdogUmery UnderdogLost

Velez Ready to Bark Against Struggling River

The pickVelez Sarsfield win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.40
Model EV
+19.0%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! While everyone might be looking at the big names, my heart is fluttering for the little puppies at Velez Sarsfield. Let me tell you why this underdog story has real bite! First off, forget the reputations - look at the facts! Velez…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

River PlateRiver Plate

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Velez Sarsfield at home vs River Plate away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Liga Profesional Argentina

Overall edge
+41River Plate
Venue edge
+35River Plate
Rating period
Match snapshot
Velez Sarsfield versus River Plate: long term Elo, before the match
Velez SarsfieldVelez SarsfieldHomeRatingRiver PlateRiver PlateAway
Strength
1,547Overall1,588
1,575Match venue1,610
1,575At home1,633
1,496Away1,610
Attack & defence
1,470Attack1,537
1,588Defence1,615
1,470Home attack1,583
1,431Away attack1,511
1,657Home defence1,607
1,553Away defence1,650
Match profile
1,137Goal environment1,527
1,342Home goals1,567
1,295Away goals1,460
1,513Possession1,531
Specialist ratings
1,539Set-piece attack1,498
1,538Set-piece defence1,498
1,524Close games1,525
1,553Winning margin1,607

Match venue compares Velez Sarsfield at home with River Plate away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1:1

Starting XI

1Tomás MarchioriG
37Tomás CavanaghD
26Agustín BouzatM
8Tomás GalvánM
15Dilan GodoyF
6Aarón QuirósD
29Rodrigo AliendroM
22Manuel LanziniM
40Thiago SilveroD
28Maher CarrizoM
21Jano GordonD

River PlateRiver Plate1:1

Starting XI

1Franco ArmaniG
20Milton CascoD
24Enzo PérezM
39Santiago LencinaM
7Maximiliano SalasF
13Lautaro RiveroD
10Juan Fernando QuinteroM
19Sebastián DriussiF
5Juan PortilloD
34Giuliano GaloppoM
16Fabricio BustosD