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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Udinese vs Lecce

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:2HT 2–0

Match Timeline

16'
J. Karlstrom⚽
Normal Goal → A. Atta
32'
Nikola Štulić🟨
Yellow Card
37'
K. Davis⚽
Normal Goal → A. Atta
41'
Keinan Davis🟨
Yellow Card
45+1'
Kialonda Gaspar🟨
Yellow Card
46'
K. Davis🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Buksa
46'
T. J. Helgason🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Ndri
46'
Tete Morente🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Banda
59'
M. Berisha⚽
Normal Goal
60'
O. Solet🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Bertola
60'
N. Zaniolo🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Bayo
66'
N. Stulic🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Camarda
76'
J. Ekkelenkamp🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Piotrowski
76'
M. Berisha🔄
Substitution 4 → Y. Maleh
86'
A. Zanoli🔄
Substitution 5 → K. Ehizibue
86'
S. Pierotti🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Sala
89'
A. Buksa⚽
Normal Goal → V. Bayo
90'
Adam Buksa🟨
Yellow Card
90'
K. Ndri⚽
Normal Goal → A. Sala

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal7
8Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox2
0Shots outsidebox11
12Fouls12
4Corner Kicks9
1Offsides0
44Ball Possession56
2Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
355Total passes440
266Passes accurate349
75Passes %79
1.04expected_goals0.38
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Udinese to Grill Lecce at Home

The pickUdinese win

Chance
58%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+4.4%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where Udinese are the hosts with the most! Let me break it down for you boet. Udinese are firing on all cylinders lately - 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 10 games. That's a 60% win rate and 2.10 points per game, which is…

Umery UnderdogLost

Lecce Ready to Bark Upset at Udinese

The pickLecce win

Chance
25%
Odds
4.75
Model EV
+18.8%

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today we're looking at a delightful matchup where our little puppy Lecce visits Udinese, and I've sniffed out some serious value in the visitors! 🐾 Now, I know what you're thinking - Udinese has been impressive lately with that stellar 60% win…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Udinese's Wisdom Faces Lecce's Struggle

The pickUdinese win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

In the grand tapestry of Serie A, some matches reveal deeper truths. This encounter between Udinese and Lecce speaks of form, of momentum, of the force that flows through consistent performance. Udinese, sitting 11th with 9 points, has found their rhythm in recent times. Their…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Udinese

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Lecce

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Udinese at home vs Lecce away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+50Udinese
Venue edge
+1Udinese
Rating period
Match snapshot
Udinese versus Lecce: long term Elo, before the match
UdineseHomeRatingLecceAway
Strength
1,533Overall1,483
1,474Match venue1,473
1,474At home1,447
1,555Away1,473
Attack & defence
1,461Attack1,390
1,556Defence1,578
1,465Home attack1,384
1,456Away attack1,397
1,519Home defence1,533
1,582Away defence1,578
Match profile
1,663Goal environment1,472
1,538Home goals1,517
1,625Away goals1,455
1,498Possession1,490
Specialist ratings
1,494Set-piece attack1,494
1,494Set-piece defence1,494
1,537Close games1,491
1,529Winning margin1,478

Match venue compares Udinese at home with Lecce away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

UdineseUdinese1:1

Starting XI

40Maduka OkoyeG
28Oumar SoletD
11Hassane KamaraM
9Keinan DavisF
27Christian KabaseleD
14Arthur AttaM
10Nicolò ZanioloF
2Saba GoglichidzeD
8Jesper KarlströmM
32Jürgen EkkelenkampM
59Alessandro ZanoliM

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30Wladimiro FalconeG
25Antonino GalloD
10Medon BerishaM
7Tete MorenteM
9Nikola ŠtulićF
44Tiago GabrielD
20Ylber RamadaniM
14Þórir Jóhann HelgasonM
4Kialonda GasparD
50Santiago PierottiM
17Danilo VeigaD