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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Hellas Verona vs Cagliari

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–0

Match Timeline

16'
U. Nunez🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Bella-Kotchap
23'
R. Gagliardini⚽
Normal Goal → Giovane
41'
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Akpa Akpro🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Bernede
46'
J. Liteta🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Adopo
53'
Roberto Gagliardini🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Victor Nelsson🟨
Yellow Card
59'
G. Orban⚽
Normal Goal → Giovane
62'
M. Folorunsho🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Pavoletti
63'
G. Gaetano🔄
Substitution 3 → Z. Luvumbo
65'
Adam Obert🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Leonardo Pavoletti🟨
Yellow Card
70'
R. Belghali🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Cham
77'
R. Idrissi⚽
Normal Goal → A. Obert
78'
G. Orban🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Harroui
78'
Giovane🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Sarr
78'
M. Palestra🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Felici
86'
M. Prati🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Mazzitelli
89'
Luca Mazzitelli🟨
Yellow Card
90'
M. Felici⚽
Normal Goal → L. Pavoletti
90+4'
Gennaro Borrelli🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal2
10Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox3
3Shots outsidebox4
16Fouls12
3Corner Kicks2
1Offsides3
37Ball Possession63
3Yellow Cards4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
356Total passes603
250Passes accurate510
70Passes %85
1.67expected_goals0.36
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Cagliari: The Overlooked Puppy with Bite

The pickCagliari win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.60
Model EV
+36.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! The football odds makers have got it all wrong again, and that's where I come in to sniff out the real value! 🐾 Look at this situation: Verona sits rock bottom of the Serie A table with a measly 4 points from 7 matches, yet they're…

PajimonLost

Low-Scoring Affair Expected at Verona

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+50.8%

Right then, let's fire up the BBQ and look at this clash between two teams struggling to find the back of the net consistently. Verona, sitting in 17th place, haven't won a single league match this season but have been drawing like it's going out of style - four draws from seven…

Mr CertaintyLost

Verona vs Cagliari: Defensive Battle Expected

The pickBTTS No

Chance
70%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+26.0%

This Serie A clash between two struggling sides presents an intriguing tactical puzzle. Verona, currently winless in 17th place, hosts a Cagliari team sitting just four places above them in 13th. Both teams come into this match with similar defensive records but contrasting…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

A Battle of Patience: Verona vs Cagliari

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
3.55
Model EV
+130.8%

In the grand theater of Serie A, two teams find themselves at opposite ends of the force spectrum, yet both seek balance. Verona, sitting 17th with but 4 points from 7 games, has not known victory in the league this season. Their path has been one of draws - four in total …

Mr SimpleLost

Bottom of the Table Battle: Verona Host Cagliari

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+69.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Two sides stuck in the relegation mire, both desperate for three points but struggling to find the back of the net. Verona are propping up the table without a single win to their name this season, while Cagliari aren't much…

Value VinnyLost

Value Found in Low-Scoring Affair

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
59%
Odds
3.55
Model EV
+109.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Verona sits rock bottom of Serie A without a single win, while Cagliari languishes in 13th. But value isn't found in league tables—it's found in statistical inefficiencies. The data paints a clear picture of a…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hellas Verona

2W 6D 2L1.20 pts/game

Cagliari

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Per game

Hellas Verona at home vs Cagliari away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+17Cagliari
Venue edge
+46Hellas Verona
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hellas Verona versus Cagliari: long term Elo, before the match
Hellas VeronaHomeRatingCagliariAway
Strength
1,488Overall1,505
1,480Match venue1,434
1,480At home1,492
1,463Away1,434
Attack & defence
1,400Attack1,475
1,552Defence1,553
1,431Home attack1,492
1,412Away attack1,407
1,508Home defence1,520
1,558Away defence1,532
Match profile
1,778Goal environment1,728
1,677Home goals1,727
1,602Away goals1,502
1,489Possession1,490
Specialist ratings
1,475Set-piece attack1,477
1,476Set-piece defence1,478
1,509Close games1,474
1,478Winning margin1,521

Match venue compares Hellas Verona at home with Cagliari away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1:1

Starting XI

1Lorenzo MontipòG
6Nicolás ValentiniD
12Domagoj BradarićM
16Gift OrbanF
15Victor NelssonD
11Jean-Daniel Akpa AkproM
17GiovaneF
5Unai NúñezD
63Roberto GagliardiniM
8Suat SerdarM
7Rafik BelghaliM

CagliariCagliari1:1

Starting XI

1Elia CaprileG
33Adam ObertD
3Riyad IdrissiM
10Gianluca GaetanoF
32Zé PedroD
27Joseph LitetaM
29Gennaro BorrelliF
28Gabriele ZappaD
16Matteo PratiM
90Michael FolorunshoM
2Marco PalestraM