Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 19:45
Serie A
Italy
Italy
Full Time
1:2
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

2'
F. Kostic
Normal Goal
62'
W. Bondo🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Sarmiento
64'
L. Openda🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Conceicao
68'
A. Cambiaso
Normal Goal
71'
F. Bonazzoli🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Vazquez
72'
R. Floriani🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Faye
74'
Matteo Bianchetti🟨
Yellow Card
79'
K. Thuram🔄
Substitution 2 → V. Adzic
79'
F. Kostic🔄
Substitution 3 → Joao Mario
81'
F. Terracciano🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Johnsen
83'
J. Vardy
Normal Goal → D. Johnsen
85'
W. McKennie🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Rugani
85'
D. Vlahovic🔄
Substitution 5 → J. David

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
2Shots off Goal7
9Total Shots15
5Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox6
10Fouls14
2Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
51Ball Possession49
1Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
470Total passes458
399Passes accurate381
85Passes %83
0.54expected_goals2.03
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

CremoneseCremonese1:1

Starting XI

1Emil AuderoG
15Matteo BianchettiD
22Romano Floriani MussoliniM
10Jamie VardyF
6Federico BaschirottoD
27Jari VandeputteM
90Federico BonazzoliF
24Filippo TerraccianoD
38Warren BondoM
32Martín PayeroM
4Tommaso BarbieriM

JuventusJuventus1:1

Starting XI

16Michele Di GregorioG
8Teun KoopmeinersD
18Filip KostićM
20Loïs OpendaF
9Dušan VlahovićF
4Federico GattiD
19Khéphren ThuramM
22Weston McKennieF
15Pierre KaluluD
5Manuel LocatelliM
27Andrea CambiasoM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Cremonese
Cremonese
Form: W-D-D-L-D
Juventus
Juventus
Form: W-L-L-L-D
Record
4 W
5 D
1 L
3 W
4 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:0.7
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:2.4
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.8
Away:1.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1489
Average
1780
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1530
↑ Momentum (+42)
1838
↑ Momentum (+58)
Expected Outcome
12%
Home Win
22%
Draw
66%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1454
Attack
1591
1523
Defence
1669
Recent Form
1468
Attack
1635
1560
Defence
1664
Post-Match Changes
-8
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Cremonese Ready to Bite Back Against Juventus
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.94
Expected Value:+6.7%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's looking at Juventus as the big favorite, my eyes are fixed on the little puppies from Cremonese who've been quietly impressing this season. Let me tell you why this could be much closer than the bookmakers think! Cremonese have been absolutely fantastic at home lately, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches on their own patch. That's right - six games without a loss! They've been grinding out results like true underdogs, drawing with tough opponents like Atalanta (1-1) and Udinese (1-1), and even snatching a brilliant 2-0 victory at Genoa in their last outing. Their defensive record at home is stellar too, conceding just 0.67 goals per game. Now, let's talk about Juventus on the road. Oh dear, it's not been pretty! They've lost three of their last five away matches, including defeats to Lazio (1-0), Como (2-0), and even Real Madrid (1-0). They're only averaging a measly 0.6 goals scored away from home - that's less than one goal per game! For a team with such big reputation, that's quite concerning. What really catches my eye is the scoring patterns. Both teams have been involved in tight, low-scoring affairs recently. Cremonese's home games have been cagey affairs, and Juventus simply can't find the net on their travels. The goal expectancy data suggests we're looking at around 1.9 total goals in this match - well under the 2.5 line. The market seems to be overreacting to Juventus's name rather than their current form. Yes, they won their last home game 3-1 against Udinese, but that was at home where they look like a different team. On the road, they're struggling mightily. I see real value here in the under 2.5 goals market. Both teams have shown they can be defensively solid, and with Juventus's away scoring woes combined with Cremonese's home resilience, we could be in for a tactical, low-scoring battle. The odds of 1.94 seem generous given what the recent data tells us! Remember, success isn't about backing the obvious - it's about finding value where others aren't looking. And right now, the value seems to be screaming "under goals" in this matchup!

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📝 Match Preview

Juventus Travel Woes vs Cremonese's Home Fortress
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.92
Expected Value:+24.8%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this one! Juventus might be sitting pretty in 7th spot, but their away form is more shocking than finding salad on your plate. They've managed just one win in their last five away trips, scoring a pathetic 0.6 goals per game on the road. That's not championship stuff, my friend! Meanwhile, Cremonese are making their home ground a proper fortress. Unbeaten in their last six at home with four draws and two wins - that's the kind of consistency that puts food on the table. They've only conceded 0.67 goals per game at home, which is tighter than a boerewors on the braai! Looking at recent results, Cremonese have been proper tough to beat. Only one loss in ten matches, and that was against a flying Inter side. They've held Atalanta and Udinese to draws, and even went to AC Milan and won 2-1. That's serious business! Juventus? Well, they've been all over the show. Lost to Como 2-0, got beaten by Lazio 1-0, and even shipped four goals against Dortmund in a 4-4 thriller. Their last away game was that 2-0 loss to Como - not exactly filling the opposition with fear, is it? Sure, Juventus won the last two meetings 2-0 and 1-0, but that's ancient history now. Current form tells a different story. Cremonese are averaging 1.4 goals per game while keeping it tight at the back, and Juventus are leaking goals everywhere they go. The stats don't lie here - Juventus have only managed 20% clean sheets in their last ten, while Cremonese are sitting at 40%. With both teams struggling to find the net consistently (Juventus especially away), this looks like a proper tight affair where goals will be harder to find than a good steak in a vegetarian restaurant. Key Points: - Cremonese unbeaten in 6 home games (2W, 4D) - Juventus won just 1 of last 5 away matches - Juventus scoring only 0.6 goals per game away - Cremonese conceding just 0.67 goals at home - Cremonese lost only 1 of last 10 matches - Juventus kept only 2 clean sheets in last 10 games The value here is clear as day. Both teams have defensive issues but even bigger scoring problems, especially Juventus on their travels. This has low-scoring written all over it, and the odds are better than a cold beer on a hot day!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Alert When Cremonese Hosts Leak Juventus
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:2.04
Expected Value:+8.1%

Alright folks, The Big O is here to talk about what really matters in football - GOALS! And this Serie A clash between Cremonese and Juventus has all the ingredients for an absolute thriller. Let's start with the home side, Cremonese. These boys are unbeaten on their own patch this season, and while they've drawn more than they've won, they know how to find the net at home. They're averaging 1.33 goals per game in front of their own fans and have been involved in some cracking encounters recently - remember that 3-2 win over Sassuolo? That's the kind of entertainment The Big O lives for! Now, onto Juventus, and here's where it gets really interesting for us goal lovers. Juventus away from home? Let's just say their defense has been more generous than Santa at Christmas. They're conceding 1.20 goals per game on the road while only scoring 0.60. That's a recipe for goals, my friends! But don't sleep on Juventus's attacking potential. We've seen them in some absolute barnburners recently - that 4-4 with Borussia Dortmund, the 4-3 thriller against Inter, and a 3-1 win over Udinese. When they decide to turn it on, they can certainly contribute to a goal fest. The head-to-head might show two low-scoring Juventus wins, but that's ancient history! Current form tells a different story. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, and with Juventus's defensive vulnerabilities away from home combined with Cremonese's home scoring ability, we could be in for a treat. The stats don't lie - both teams are scoring in 60% of Cremonese's recent games and 50% of Juventus's. With odds of 2.04 for Over 2.5, The Big O sees enough value here to get excited. This isn't just about betting; it's about backing the beautiful, attacking football we all want to see!

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📝 Match Preview

Cremonese vs Juventus: Low-Scoring Affair Expected
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:1.92
Expected Value:+30.6%

This Serie A clash presents an intriguing dynamic between Cremonese's solid home form and Juventus's concerning away struggles. The home side has been remarkably difficult to beat on their own turf, remaining unbeaten with a 33.33% win rate and 66.67% draw rate in their last six home matches. Their defensive record at home is particularly impressive, conceding just 0.67 goals per game while scoring 1.33. Juventus, meanwhile, has shown alarming vulnerabilities on the road. Their away form tells a concerning story: just 20% wins, 20% draws, and 60% losses. Most troubling is their attacking output away from home - a mere 0.60 goals per game. Recent away results include defeats to Como (2-0), Lazio (1-0), and Real Madrid (1-0), highlighting their struggles to create and convert chances on hostile territory. Cremonese's recent performances demonstrate resilience against quality opposition. They've secured draws against Atalanta (1-1) and Udinese (1-1), while their only loss in the last ten came against top-of-the-table Inter (4-1). Their ability to frustrate stronger teams, combined with Juventus's away attacking woes, points toward a tight, tactical encounter. The statistical patterns reinforce this narrative. Cremonese's home matches average exactly 2.0 total goals, while Juventus's away games average just 1.8. With both teams showing defensive tendencies and Juventus particularly struggling to score away from home, the conditions are ripe for a low-scoring affair. While Juventus holds the historical edge in head-to-head encounters (2 wins from 2 matches), those results came in 2023 and have limited relevance to current form dynamics. The present data strongly suggests this match will be decided by fine margins rather than goal-fest action.

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📝 Match Preview

Wisdom of the Force: Cremonese vs Juventus
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:4.36
Expected Value:+52.6%

In the grand tapestry of Serie A, much to learn, there is. The Force flows strongly through Cremonese's home domain, where only one defeat have they suffered in six encounters. A testament to their resilience, this is. Four draws and one victory paint a picture of a team that fears not the mighty. Juventus, the giants they may be, but away from their temple, troubled they are. A mere 0.60 goals per game on their travels speaks volumes of their offensive struggles. Recent form reveals a team searching for balance - three losses in their last ten, including defeats to Lazio and Como. Cremonese's recent journey shows wisdom beyond their years. Draws against Atalanta (1-1) and Udinese (1-1) demonstrate their ability to stand tall against formidable foes. Their 2-0 victory at Genoa and 2-1 triumph over AC Milan reveal the power within. The head-to-head record favors Juventus, but the past does not always dictate the present. Two previous encounters, two Juventus victories, but the current form tells a different story. Cremonese has evolved, their defensive solidity at home allowing only 0.67 goals per game. Juventus arrives with mixed fortunes - a 3-1 victory over Udinese their recent bright spot, yet shadows of inconsistency linger. Their away form remains their greatest challenge, where goals flow like a dry riverbed. In this battle of contrasting fortunes, the path of equilibrium may prevail. Cremonese's home fortress against Juventus's away struggles creates a balance in the Force that few can ignore.

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