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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–1

Match Timeline

29'
D. Berardi
Penalty
36'
Arijanet Murić🟨
Yellow Card
46'
O. Kossounou🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Djimsiti
46'
Ederson🔄
Substitution 2 → C. De Ketelaere
47'
A. Pinamonti⚽
Normal Goal → D. Berardi
58'
N. Krstovic🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Scamacca
60'
A. Fadera🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Lauriente
66'
D. Berardi⚽
Normal Goal → K. Thorstvedt
78'
A. Lookman🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Sulemana
79'
Fali Candé🟨
Yellow Card
81'
F. Cande🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Doig
83'
D. Zappacosta🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Zalewski
90'
I. Kone🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Iannoni
90'
D. Berardi🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Cheddira
90+1'
A. Pinamonti🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Pierini

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots8
5Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls8
4Corner Kicks1
2Offsides2
67Ball Possession33
0Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves1
654Total passes324
583Passes accurate248
89Passes %77
0.91expected_goals1.81
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Atalanta vs Sassuolo: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+43.0%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this Serie A clash! Atalanta and Sassuolo are sitting neck and neck in the table on 13 points each, but boy do they play differently. Atalanta have become the draw specialists of Serie A with 7 draws from 10 games - they're harder…

Mr CertaintyLost

Atalanta vs Sassuolo: Low-Scoring Affair Expected

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+49.6%

This Serie A encounter between Atalanta and Sassuolo presents a fascinating study in contrasting form and historical dominance. Atalanta, despite sitting 11th in the table, has been remarkably difficult to beat at home, remaining unbeaten in their last 5 home matches with an 80%…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atalanta

3W 6D 1L1.50 pts/game

Sassuolo

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Atalanta at home vs Sassuolo away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+240Atalanta
Venue edge
+188Atalanta
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atalanta versus Sassuolo: long term Elo, before the match
AtalantaHomeRatingSassuoloAway
Strength
1,679Overall1,438
1,634Match venue1,446
1,634At home1,493
1,695Away1,446
Attack & defence
1,584Attack1,478
1,659Defence1,469
1,588Home attack1,483
1,610Away attack1,491
1,592Home defence1,491
1,670Away defence1,452
Match profile
2,007Goal environment2,063
1,835Home goals1,728
1,672Away goals1,835
1,512Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,524Set-piece attack1,491
1,523Set-piece defence1,492
1,546Close games1,462
1,722Winning margin1,427

Match venue compares Atalanta at home with Sassuolo away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AtalantaAtalanta1:1

Starting XI

29Marco CarnesecchiG
69Honest AhanorD
77Davide ZappacostaM
11Ademola LookmanF
90Nikola KrstovićF
4Isak HienD
8Mario PašalićM
10Lazar SamardžićF
3Odilon KossounouD
13ÉdersonM
16Raoul BellanovaM

SassuoloSassuolo1:1

Starting XI

49Arijanet MurićG
5Fali CandéD
42Kristian ThorstvedtM
20Alieu FaderaF
80Tarik MuharemovićD
18Nemanja MatićM
99Andrea PinamontiF
21Jay IdzesD
90Ismael KonéM
10Domenico BerardiF
6Sebastian WalukiewiczD