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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Genoa vs Fiorentina

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

15'
L. Ostigard⚽
Normal Goal → A. Martin
20'
A. Gudmundsson
Penalty
23'
Marin Pongračić🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Luca Ranieri🟨
Yellow Card
48'
Aarón Martín
Penalty confirmed
57'
R. Piccoli⚽
Normal Goal → S. Sohm
60'
L. Colombo⚽
Normal Goal → L. Ostigard
66'
L. Ranieri🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Viti
66'
N. Fortini🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Parisi
67'
Aarón Martín🟨
Yellow Card
67'
L. Colombo🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Ekhator
74'
S. Sohm🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Ndour
75'
A. Gudmundsson🔄
Substitution 4 → E. Dzeko
76'
A. Martin🔄
Substitution 2 → P. Masini
76'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Carboni
84'
Mikael Ellertsson🟨
Yellow Card
84'
R. Piccoli🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Fazzini
89'
Dodô🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal2
10Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox2
20Fouls15
3Corner Kicks7
41Ball Possession59
2Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
281Total passes421
215Passes accurate344
77Passes %82
1.71expected_goals1.55
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Battle Of The Struggling Giants

The pickFiorentina win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+15.5%

In the depths of Serie A, two ships adrift find each other. Genoa, 18th with but 6 points, hosts Fiorentina, rock bottom with 4. Both share the same recent form - 2 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses in their last 10 battles. Yet the force of history flows strongly in one direction…

PajimonLost

Basement Battle: Can Fiorentina Break Genoa's Curse?

The pickFiorentina win

Chance
38%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+4.5%

Ag man, this is like watching two braais where the meat just won't cook properly! Both teams are stuck at the bottom of Serie A like a boerewors that's fallen through the grill. Genoa sitting 18th with only 6 points, while Fiorentina is dead last with 4 points - proper kak…

The Big "O"Won

Bottom-Of-The-Table Battle Set For Goal Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
48%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+20.0%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O here, and I'm rubbing my hands together for this basement battle between Genoa and Fiorentina. When two teams are struggling at the bottom, you know what happens? Desperation leads to attacking football, and that means goals, goals, goals! Let's…

Umery UnderdogLost

Fiorentina to Break Genoa Hearts Again

The pickFiorentina win

Chance
38%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+4.5%

Oh, what a delightful bottom-of-the-table clash we have here! Two little puppies fighting for their lives, but I've spotted some hidden value that the masses might be missing. Let me tell you why Fiorentina, despite sitting rock bottom of Serie A, could just snatch this one!…

Value VinnyWon

Bottom-Table Battle: Value in the Draw

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+8.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the mathematical reality of this relegation six-pointer. Both teams are rock bottom of Serie A - Genoa sitting 18th with 6 points, Fiorentina dead last with just 4. But the numbers tell an interesting story that the bookmakers might be…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Genoa

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Fiorentina

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Genoa at home vs Fiorentina away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+67Fiorentina
Venue edge
+36Fiorentina
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genoa versus Fiorentina: long term Elo, before the match
GenoaHomeRatingFiorentinaAway
Strength
1,501Overall1,569
1,497Match venue1,533
1,497At home1,632
1,498Away1,533
Attack & defence
1,442Attack1,526
1,575Defence1,570
1,429Home attack1,570
1,443Away attack1,491
1,567Home defence1,576
1,581Away defence1,581
Match profile
1,530Goal environment1,843
1,553Home goals1,685
1,477Away goals1,658
1,497Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,522Set-piece attack1,496
1,521Set-piece defence1,496
1,476Close games1,517
1,505Winning margin1,589

Match venue compares Genoa at home with Fiorentina away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

1Nicola LealiG
22Johan VásquezD
3Aarón MartínM
9VitinhaF
5Leo ØstigårdD
2Morten ThorsbyM
29Lorenzo ColomboF
27Alessandro MarcandalliD
32Morten FrendrupM
77Mikael EllertssonM
15Brooke Norton-CuffyM

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43David De GeaG
6Luca RanieriD
29Niccolò FortiniM
10Albert GuðmundssonF
18Pablo MaríD
7Simon SohmM
91Roberto PiccoliF
5Marin PongračićD
14Hans Nicolussi CavigliaM
8Rolando MandragoraM
2DodôM