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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

AC Milan vs Lazio

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

26'
Fikayo Tomori🟨
Yellow Card
51'
R. Leao⚽
Normal Goal → F. Tomori
57'
Luca Pellegrini🟨
Yellow Card
62'
M. Vecino🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Dele-Bashiru
62'
B. Dia🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Castellanos
64'
Matteo Gabbia🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Y. Fofana🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Loftus-Cheek
70'
G. Isaksen🔄
Substitution 3 → Pedro
72'
Alessio Romagnoli🟨
Yellow Card
82'
C. Nkunku🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Ricci
85'
L. Pellegrini🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Tavares
85'
T. Basic🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Noslin
89'
Samuele Ricci🟨
Yellow Card
90+7'
Alessio Romagnoli
Penalty cancelled
90+13'
Mattia Zaccagni🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal4
16Total Shots9
7Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox5
5Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls12
1Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
46Ball Possession54
3Yellow Cards3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
493Total passes569
437Passes accurate498
89Passes %88
1.47expected_goals0.68
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Milan's Unbeaten Run vs Lazio's Away Woes

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+4.4%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper tactical battle! AC Milan comes into this fixture sitting pretty in 2nd place, and get this - they're UNBEATEN in their last 10 games! That's the kind of form that makes you want to fire up the BBQ and celebrate. They just picked up a massive…

Value VinnyWon

Milan vs Lazio: Value Found in Unders Market

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. AC Milan sits second in Serie A with an impressive unbeaten run of 10 games (6 wins, 4 draws), showcasing remarkable consistency with 2.20 points per game. Their home form is particularly formidable - 80% win rate…

Mr SimpleWon

Milan's Home Fortress vs Lazio's Travel Woes

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Serie A showdown between AC Milan and Lazio. The Rossoneri are sitting pretty in 2nd place, just two points off the top, and they've been proper solid at home this season. Unbeaten in their last 10 games with 6 wins and 4 draws …

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

AC Milan

6W 4D 0L2.20 pts/game

Lazio

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

AC Milan at home vs Lazio away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+65AC Milan
Venue edge
+66AC Milan
Rating period
Match snapshot
AC Milan versus Lazio: long term Elo, before the match
AC MilanHomeRatingLazioAway
Strength
1,739Overall1,674
1,708Match venue1,642
1,708At home1,656
1,682Away1,642
Attack & defence
1,620Attack1,554
1,640Defence1,652
1,598Home attack1,582
1,616Away attack1,515
1,643Home defence1,618
1,600Away defence1,641
Match profile
1,887Goal environment2,122
1,553Home goals1,872
1,833Away goals1,750
1,500Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,479Set-piece attack1,464
1,480Set-piece defence1,466
1,636Close games1,603
1,770Winning margin1,697

Match venue compares AC Milan at home with Lazio away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AC MilanAC Milan1:1

Starting XI

16Mike MaignanG
31Strahinja PavlovićD
33Davide BartesaghiM
10Rafael LeãoF
46Matteo GabbiaD
12Adrien RabiotM
18Christopher NkunkuF
23Fikayo TomoriD
14Luka ModrićM
19Youssouf FofanaM
56Alexis SaelemaekersM

LazioLazio1:1

Starting XI

94Ivan ProvedelG
3Luca PellegriniD
26Toma BašićM
10Mattia ZaccagniF
13Alessio RomagnoliD
5Matías VecinoM
19Boulaye DiaF
34Mario Gila FuentesD
8Mattéo GuendouziM
18Gustav IsaksenF
77Adam MarušićD