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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

AS Roma vs Napoli

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

36'
David Neres⚽
Normal Goal → R. Hojlund
46'
E. Ferguson🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Baldanzi
54'
Bryan Cristante🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Stanislav Lobotka🟨
Yellow Card
62'
B. Cristante🔄
Substitution 2 → N. El Aynaoui
62'
M. Soule🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Dybala
64'
Sam Beukema🟨
Yellow Card
69'
N. Lang🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Politano
73'
Tommaso Baldanzi🟨
Yellow Card
80'
L. Pellegrini🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Bailey
80'
R. Hojlund🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Elmas
82'
Wesley Franca🔄
Substitution 5 → S. El Shaarawy
85'
David Neres🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Lucca
86'
Evan Ndicka🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Stephan El Shaarawy🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Mathías Olivera🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal2
8Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots0
5Shots insidebox3
3Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls13
4Corner Kicks2
0Offsides4
56Ball Possession44
4Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves2
545Total passes433
450Passes accurate343
83Passes %79
0.56expected_goals1.03
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleLost

Top-Of-The-Table Clash: Roma Host Travel-Weary Napoli

The pickAS Roma win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+17.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this cracker! Roma sitting pretty at the top of Serie A with 27 points, while Napoli are breathing down their necks in third with 25. This is exactly the sort of match that gets the blood pumping! Roma have been absolutely flying lately…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Roma's Wisdom vs Napoli's Journey

The pickAS Roma win

Chance
58%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+50.8%

In the grand tapestry of Serie A, two forces converge. AS Roma, perched atop the mountain with 27 points, embodies the path of decisive action - nine victories, three defeats, no room for indecision. Napoli, third with 25 points, walks a similar yet different path, with eight…

PajimonWon

Top-of-the-Table Clash: Roma Host Napoli

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Ag man, this is a proper cracker of a match! Two teams at the top of Serie A going head-to-head, and I'm here to find us some value. Let's break it down properly. AS Roma are sitting pretty at the top of the table with 27 points from 12 games. Their recent form has been solid …

Value VinnyLost

Roma Home Value Against Napoli's Away Woes

The pickAS Roma win

Chance
47%
Odds
2.60
Model EV
+22.2%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value here. AS Roma sit top of Serie A with 27 points, while Napoli lurk just behind in third with 25. But the real story is in the performance splits. Roma have been formidable at home, winning 60% of their home fixtures while…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

AS Roma

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Napoli

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

AS Roma at home vs Napoli away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+10AS Roma
Venue edge
+34AS Roma
Rating period
Match snapshot
AS Roma versus Napoli: long term Elo, before the match
AS RomaHomeRatingNapoliAway
Strength
1,758Overall1,748
1,726Match venue1,691
1,726At home1,739
1,641Away1,691
Attack & defence
1,554Attack1,583
1,718Defence1,683
1,587Home attack1,613
1,502Away attack1,540
1,691Home defence1,652
1,654Away defence1,677
Match profile
2,080Goal environment2,178
1,862Home goals1,978
1,718Away goals1,700
1,518Possession1,516
Specialist ratings
1,527Set-piece attack1,534
1,526Set-piece defence1,533
1,648Close games1,638
1,788Winning margin1,781

Match venue compares AS Roma at home with Napoli away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AS RomaAS Roma1:1

Starting XI

99Mile SvilarG
22Mario HermosoD
43WesleyM
7Lorenzo PellegriniF
11Evan FergusonF
5Evan NdickaD
17Manu KonéM
18Matías SouléF
23Gianluca ManciniD
4Bryan CristanteM
19Zeki ÇelikM

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32Vanja Milinković-SavićG
4Alessandro BuongiornoD
17Mathías OliveraM
70Noa LangF
13Amir RrahmaniD
8Scott McTominayM
19Rasmus HøjlundF
31Sam BeukemaD
68Stanislav LobotkaM
7David NeresF
22Giovanni Di LorenzoM