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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Udinese vs Genoa

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

15'
J. Zemura🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Modesto
34'
R. Malinovskyi⚽
Normal Goal → R. Malinovskyi
63'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Ekuban
65'
J. Piotrowski⚽
Normal Goal → R. Modesto
66'
Jesper Karlström🟨
Yellow Card
72'
K. Davis🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Buksa
73'
A. Zanoli🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Ehizibue
75'
L. Colombo🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Ekhator
76'
R. Malinovskyi🔄
Substitution 3 → Junior Messias
83'
B. Norton-Cuffy⚽
Normal Goal → C. Ekuban
86'
J. Piotrowski🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Lovric
86'
J. Ekkelenkamp🔄
Substitution 5 → I. Bravo

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal5
23Total Shots12
8Blocked Shots1
16Shots insidebox7
7Shots outsidebox5
16Fouls12
6Corner Kicks2
3Offsides3
58Ball Possession42
1Yellow Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
421Total passes311
338Passes accurate241
80Passes %77
1.07expected_goals1.53
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Wisdom of the Force: Udinese vs Genoa Battle

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

In the grand theater of Serie A, two forces converge, each seeking their path to enlightenment. Udinese, standing ninth with 18 points, finds themselves in a curious state of being - neither ascending nor descending, merely existing in the middle realm. Their recent form speaks…

PajimonWon

Udinese vs Genoa: Goals Galore Expected at Home

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+45.0%

Alright folks, let's get down to business with this Serie A clash! Udinese hosting Genoa on Monday afternoon, and I've got my eye on this one for some value. First things first, these teams are in different worlds right now. Udinese sitting pretty in 9th with 18 points, while…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Incoming When Udinese Host Genoa

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
48%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+20.0%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to deliver some explosive action, and this Serie A clash between Udinese and Genoa is screaming "OVER!" Let me break down why we're in for a treat. First off, Udinese at home is an absolute goal machine. They're averaging 2.2 goals per…

Mr SimpleWon

Udinese vs Genoa: Goals Galore on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+50.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie A scrap between Udinese and Genoa. Both sides are having a bit of a mixed time of it lately, but when you dig into the numbers, there's a story to tell. Udinese are sitting pretty in 9th with 18 points, while Genoa are down in…

Value VinnyLost

Udinese vs Genoa: Home Advantage Offers Value

The pickUdinese win

Chance
46%
Odds
2.40
Model EV
+10.4%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the numbers. Udinese sit 9th with 18 points, while Genoa languish in 16th with just 11 points - that's a significant quality gap the market might be underestimating. The home/away splits tell the real story here. Udinese have been solid at…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Udinese

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Genoa

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Udinese at home vs Genoa away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+39Udinese
Venue edge
+1Genoa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Udinese versus Genoa: long term Elo, before the match
UdineseHomeRatingGenoaAway
Strength
1,557Overall1,517
1,496Match venue1,497
1,496At home1,509
1,552Away1,497
Attack & defence
1,478Attack1,479
1,541Defence1,548
1,475Home attack1,450
1,461Away attack1,461
1,514Home defence1,557
1,574Away defence1,563
Match profile
1,670Goal environment1,548
1,543Home goals1,560
1,627Away goals1,488
1,492Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,505Set-piece attack1,501
1,504Set-piece defence1,501
1,566Close games1,492
1,552Winning margin1,521

Match venue compares Udinese at home with Genoa away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

UdineseUdinese1:1

Starting XI

40Maduka OkoyeG
28Oumar SoletD
33Jordan ZemuraM
9Keinan DavisF
27Christian KabaseleD
32Jürgen EkkelenkampM
10Nicolò ZanioloF
13Nicolò BertolaD
8Jesper KarlströmM
24Jakub PiotrowskiM
59Alessandro ZanoliM

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

1Nicola LealiG
22Johan VásquezD
3Aarón MartínM
29Lorenzo ColomboF
34Sebastian OtoaD
2Morten ThorsbyM
9VitinhaF
27Alessandro MarcandalliD
73Patrizio MasiniM
17Ruslan MalinovskyiM
15Brooke Norton-CuffyM