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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Parma vs Lazio

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

42'
Mattia Zaccagni🟥
Red Card
46'
E. Del Prato🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Troilo
51'
Emanuele Valeri🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Matteo Cancellieri🟨
Yellow Card
69'
T. Castellanos🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Noslin
70'
G. Oristanio🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Ondrejka
70'
Patric🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Provstgaard
70'
M. Cancellieri🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Dele-Bashiru
77'
Nahuel Estévez🟨
Yellow Card
77'
Toma Bašić🟥
Red Card
77'
A. Benedyczak🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Cutrone
82'
T. Noslin⚽
Normal Goal
86'
M. Keita🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Djuric
88'
D. Cataldi🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Vecino

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal6
19Total Shots15
5Blocked Shots4
13Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls8
4Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves6
365Total passes434
315Passes accurate367
86Passes %85
1expected_goals1.35
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Balance in the Force, a Draw I Foresee

The pickDraw

Chance
38%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+25.4%

Much to consider, there is. In the stats, truth lies. Two paths cross at the 15th and 10th positions in Serie A. Parma, with 14 points from 14 games, welcomes Lazio, who hold 19. On the surface, a gulf in class, this appears. But deeper, we must look. Parma's recent journey, a…

Mr SimpleWon

Lazio's Travel Sickness Meets Parma's Home Struggles

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+13.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Saturday evening clash in Serie A. Parma, sitting 15th, welcome Lazio, who are 10th. On paper, you'd fancy the away side, but the recent numbers tell a more interesting story. Parma's form is a bit of a mixed bag, isn't it? Three wins…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Parma

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Lazio

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Parma at home vs Lazio away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+160Lazio
Venue edge
+180Lazio
Rating period
Match snapshot
Parma versus Lazio: long term Elo, before the match
ParmaHomeRatingLazioAway
Strength
1,502Overall1,662
1,452Match venue1,632
1,452At home1,654
1,456Away1,632
Attack & defence
1,454Attack1,541
1,546Defence1,658
1,466Home attack1,577
1,447Away attack1,505
1,506Home defence1,620
1,511Away defence1,644
Match profile
1,717Goal environment2,115
1,500Home goals1,870
1,717Away goals1,745
1,479Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,450Set-piece attack1,482
1,452Set-piece defence1,483
1,498Close games1,590
1,500Winning margin1,685

Match venue compares Parma at home with Lazio away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

40Edoardo CorviG
14Emanuele ValeriD
21Gaetano OristanioM
9Mateo PellegrinoF
5Lautaro ValentiD
16Mandela KeitaM
7Adrian BenedyczakF
15Enrico Del PratoD
8Nahuel EstévezM
27Sascha BritschgiD
10Adrián BernabéM

LazioLazio1:1

Starting XI

94Ivan ProvedelG
3Luca PellegriniD
26Toma BašićM
10Mattia ZaccagniF
13Alessio RomagnoliD
32Danilo CataldiM
11Valentín CastellanosF
4PatricD
8Mattéo GuendouziM
22Matteo CancellieriF
77Adam MarušićD