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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Atalanta vs AS Roma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

12'
G. Scalvini⚽
Normal Goal
19'
Marten de Roon🟨
Yellow Card
26'
S. Kolasinac🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Ahanor
31'
Gianluca Scamacca⚽
Goal cancelled
43'
Gianluca Mancini🟨
Yellow Card
45+3'
Mario Hermoso🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Ziolkowski🔄
Substitution 1 → Wesley Franca
59'
G. Scalvini🔄
Substitution 2 → I. Hien
59'
N. Zalewski🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Musah
60'
E. Ferguson🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Dovbyk
60'
D. Rensch🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Tsimikas
67'
M. Soule🔄
Substitution 4 → S. El Shaarawy
71'
G. Scamacca🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Krstovic
72'
Ederson🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Maldini
83'
M. Kone🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Pisilli

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots10
8Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox7
5Shots outsidebox3
16Fouls15
7Corner Kicks5
2Offsides1
45Ball Possession55
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
384Total passes462
296Passes accurate376
77Passes %81
1.88expected_goals0.78
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogLost

Roma's Underdog Roar: Value Beckons in Bergamo

The pickAS Roma win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.40
Model EV
+29.2%

When Atalanta welcomes AS Roma to Bergamo on January 3rd, the Serie A table tells a clear story: the visitors sit comfortably in fourth place with 33 points, while the hosts languish in tenth with just 22. Yet, the bookmakers have installed Atalanta as favorites at 2.20, with…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Atalanta

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

AS Roma

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Per game

Atalanta at home vs AS Roma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+78AS Roma
Venue edge
+7Atalanta
Rating period
Match snapshot
Atalanta versus AS Roma: long term Elo, before the match
AtalantaHomeRatingAS RomaAway
Strength
1,641Overall1,719
1,623Match venue1,616
1,623At home1,724
1,671Away1,616
Attack & defence
1,551Attack1,545
1,626Defence1,706
1,565Home attack1,586
1,590Away attack1,490
1,590Home defence1,693
1,638Away defence1,645
Match profile
2,008Goal environment2,072
1,832Home goals1,857
1,677Away goals1,715
1,521Possession1,523
Specialist ratings
1,523Set-piece attack1,538
1,522Set-piece defence1,537
1,559Close games1,608
1,659Winning margin1,751

Match venue compares Atalanta at home with AS Roma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AtalantaAtalanta1:1

Starting XI

29Marco CarnesecchiG
23Sead KolašinacD
47Lorenzo BernasconiM
59Nicola ZalewskiF
9Gianluca ScamaccaF
19Berat DjimsitiD
13ÉdersonM
17Charles De KetelaereF
42Giorgio ScalviniD
15Marten de RoonM
77Davide ZappacostaM

AS RomaAS Roma1:1

Starting XI

99Mile SvilarG
22Mario HermosoD
2Devyne RenschM
21Paulo DybalaF
11Evan FergusonF
24Jan ZiółkowskiD
17Manu KonéM
18Matías SouléF
23Gianluca ManciniD
4Bryan CristanteM
19Zeki ÇelikM