Skip to main content

Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Juventus vs Lecce

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

32'
M. Perez🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Veiga
45'
L. Banda⚽
Normal Goal
46'
F. Conceicao🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Zhegrova
49'
W. McKennie⚽
Normal Goal
61'
Youssef Maleh🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Jonathan David
Penalty confirmed
68'
S. Pierotti🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Ndaba
68'
F. Camarda🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Stulic
69'
K. Thuram🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Koopmeiners
69'
A. Cambiaso🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Kostic
70'
Danilo Veiga🟨
Yellow Card
77'
M. Locatelli🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Openda
81'
L. Banda🔄
Substitution 4 → T. J. Helgason
83'
W. McKennie🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Adzic
90+5'
Wladimiro Falcone🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
25Total Shots6
12Blocked Shots2
16Shots insidebox1
9Shots outsidebox5
6Fouls7
10Corner Kicks1
4Offsides0
72Ball Possession28
0Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
673Total passes277
597Passes accurate210
89Passes %76
2.69expected_goals0.26
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleLost

Juventus vs Lecce: The Old Lady's Home Banker

The pickJuventus win

Chance
82%
Odds
1.27
Model EV
+4.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Juventus at home to Lecce. On paper, it's about as straightforward as they come in Serie A. The Old Lady is sitting pretty in 5th, while Lecce are down in 16th and looking over their shoulder. But we don't bet on paper, we bet on…

Value VinnyWon

Juventus to Grind Out Another Low-Scoring Home Win

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+24.1%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming one thing: Juventus at home against Lecce is a mismatch of epic proportions. Let's break down why the market has this all wrong on the goal line. Juventus sit 5th with 32 points, boasting a formidable 80% home win rate from their last…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Juventus

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Lecce

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Juventus at home vs Lecce away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+254Juventus
Venue edge
+323Juventus
Rating period
Match snapshot
Juventus versus Lecce: long term Elo, before the match
JuventusHomeRatingLecceAway
Strength
1,743Overall1,489
1,783Match venue1,460
1,783At home1,463
1,652Away1,460
Attack & defence
1,563Attack1,382
1,680Defence1,566
1,587Home attack1,376
1,523Away attack1,391
1,702Home defence1,546
1,655Away defence1,561
Match profile
1,647Goal environment1,457
1,633Home goals1,502
1,513Away goals1,455
1,515Possession1,484
Specialist ratings
1,499Set-piece attack1,503
1,499Set-piece defence1,502
1,655Close games1,520
1,762Winning margin1,478

Match venue compares Juventus at home with Lecce away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

JuventusJuventus1:1

Starting XI

16Michele Di GregorioG
27Andrea CambiasoD
19Khéphren ThuramM
10Kenan YıldızM
30Jonathan DavidF
6Lloyd KellyD
5Manuel LocatelliM
22Weston McKennieM
3BremerD
7Francisco ConceiçãoM
15Pierre KaluluD

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30Wladimiro FalconeG
25Antonino GalloD
93Youssef MalehM
19Lameck BandaF
44Tiago GabrielD
20Ylber RamadaniM
22Francesco CamardaF
4Kialonda GasparD
77Mohamed KabaM
50Santiago PierottiF
13Matías Pérez SepúlvedaD