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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Cremonese vs Cagliari

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:2HT 2–0

Match Timeline

2'
Gennaro Borrelli🟨
Yellow Card
4'
D. Johnsen⚽
Normal Goal → J. Vardy
11'
Warren Bondo🟨
Yellow Card
29'
J. Vardy⚽
Normal Goal → F. Bonazzoli
46'
Y. Mina🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Esposito
51'
M. Adopo⚽
Normal Goal → G. Borrelli
56'
M. Prati🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Mazzitelli
56'
Z. Luvumbo🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Obert
59'
D. Johnsen🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Barbieri
60'
G. Pezzella🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Zerbin
60'
W. Bondo🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Vandeputte
66'
G. Gaetano🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Kilicsoy
81'
Federico Bonazzoli🟨
Yellow Card
84'
G. Zappa🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. Trepy
88'
Y. Trepy⚽
Normal Goal → L. Mazzitelli
90+1'
Sebastiano Luperto🟥
Red card cancelled
90+2'
Sebastiano Luperto🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
M. Payero🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Grassi
90+3'
J. Vardy🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Sanabria

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal9
12Total Shots21
2Blocked Shots7
8Shots insidebox13
4Shots outsidebox8
16Fouls12
2Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
44Ball Possession56
2Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total passes517
324Passes accurate456
80Passes %88
1.72expected_goals1.81
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyWon

Deadlock in Lombardy: Value Lies in the Draw

The pickDraw

Chance
37%
Odds
3.25
Model EV
+20.3%

The Serie A table tells a simple story: two sides stuck in the mud. Cremonese sit 13th with 21 points, Cagliari are 15th with 18. Over the last ten games, they are statistical twins, both averaging exactly 1.00 point per game. This isn't a clash of titans; it's a scrap between…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cremonese

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Cagliari

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Cremonese at home vs Cagliari away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+2Cremonese
Venue edge
+37Cremonese
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cremonese versus Cagliari: long term Elo, before the match
CremoneseHomeRatingCagliariAway
Strength
1,508Overall1,506
1,480Match venue1,443
1,480At home1,490
1,485Away1,443
Attack & defence
1,479Attack1,494
1,545Defence1,538
1,462Home attack1,497
1,485Away attack1,421
1,517Home defence1,516
1,519Away defence1,531
Match profile
1,522Goal environment1,737
1,495Home goals1,735
1,527Away goals1,502
1,487Possession1,486
Specialist ratings
1,443Set-piece attack1,472
1,445Set-piece defence1,472
1,469Close games1,476
1,522Winning margin1,519

Match venue compares Cremonese at home with Cagliari away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CremoneseCremonese1:1

Starting XI

1Emil AuderoG
15Matteo BianchettiD
3Giuseppe PezzellaM
90Federico BonazzoliF
6Federico BaschirottoD
11Dennis JohnsenM
10Jamie VardyF
24Filippo TerraccianoD
38Warren BondoM
32Martín PayeroM
22Romano Floriani MussoliniM

CagliariCagliari1:1

Starting XI

1Elia CaprileG
15Juan RodríguezD
2Marco PalestraM
10Gianluca GaetanoF
29Gennaro BorrelliF
26Yerry MinaD
16Matteo PratiM
77Zito LuvumboF
6Sebastiano LupertoD
8Michel AdopoM
28Gabriele ZappaM