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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Lecce vs AS Roma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

5'
Lameck Banda🟨
Yellow Card
14'
E. Ferguson⚽
Normal Goal
28'
Youssef Maleh🟨
Yellow Card
46'
L. BandaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ K. Ndri
56'
R. SottilπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. Pierotti
60'
E. FergusonπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Dovbyk
60'
S. El ShaarawyπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ K. Tsimikas
64'
F. CamardaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ N. Stulic
64'
Y. RamadaniπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ O. Gorter
71'
A. Dovbyk⚽
Normal Goal β†’ N. Pisilli
75'
M. KabaπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ T. J. Helgason
79'
P. DybalaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Soule
86'
Kialonda Gaspar🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Bryan Cristante🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Unknown PlayerπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Romano

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal5
6Total Shots10
4Blocked Shots2
2Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox4
10Fouls20
2Corner Kicks2
2Offsides2
51Ball Possession49
3Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
415Total passes408
314Passes accurate307
76Passes %75
0.55expected_goals1.33
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

A Struggle for Goals in Lecce's Fortress?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+13.4%

In the shadow of the Serie A table, Lecce dwells, 16th they are. Four wins from sixteen matches, a struggle it has been. Against them, AS Roma stands, fourth and formidable. Much to ponder, there is. The Home Side's Tale, a story of scarcity. Six goals in ten games, only 0.60…

Mr SimpleWon

Roma to Continue Their Lecce Hoodoo?

The pickAS Roma win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Right, let's have a proper look at this one. Lecce at home to Roma – on paper, it's a bit of a mismatch, innit? Lecce are down in 16th, scrapping for points, while Roma are sitting pretty in 4th, chasing the Champions League spots. But football's not played on paper, is it?…

PajimonWon

Lecce vs AS Roma: Can Giallorossi Extend Dominance?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+10.2%

Alright, braai masters and football fanatics, let's talk about this Serie A clash between Lecce and AS Roma. On paper, this looks like a classic top-four side visiting a relegation-threatened team, and the stats don't lie. Roma are sitting pretty in 4th with 33 points, while…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lecce

3W 2D 5L1.10 pts/game

AS Roma

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Lecce at home vs AS Roma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Serie A

Overall edge
+201AS Roma
Venue edge
+141AS Roma
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lecce versus AS Roma: long term Elo, before the match
LecceHomeRatingAS RomaAway
Strength
1,499Overall1,700
1,463Match venue1,604
1,463At home1,724
1,469Away1,604
Attack & defence
1,388Attack1,534
1,571Defence1,705
1,376Home attack1,586
1,397Away attack1,480
1,546Home defence1,693
1,567Away defence1,647
Match profile
1,455Goal environment2,067
1,502Home goals1,857
1,453Away goals1,710
1,480Possession1,524
Specialist ratings
1,490Set-piece attack1,535
1,491Set-piece defence1,534
1,525Close games1,591
1,489Winning margin1,730

Match venue compares Lecce at home with AS Roma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30Wladimiro FalconeG
25Antonino GalloD
93Youssef MalehM
23Riccardo SottilF
44Tiago GabrielD
20Ylber RamadaniM
22Francesco CamardaF
4Kialonda GasparD
77Mohamed KabaM
19Lameck BandaF
17Danilo VeigaD

AS RomaAS Roma1:1

Starting XI

99Mile SvilarG
19Zeki Γ‡elikD
92Stephan El ShaarawyM
4Bryan CristanteF
11Evan FergusonF
24Jan ZiΓ³Ε‚kowskiD
17Manu KonΓ©M
21Paulo DybalaF
87Daniele GhilardiD
61NiccolΓ² PisilliM
43WesleyM