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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Genoa vs Cagliari

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

7'
L. Colombo⚽
Normal Goal → R. Malinovskyi
15'
Juan Rodríguez🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Morten Frendrup🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Adam Obert🟨
Yellow Card
46'
B. Norton-Cuffy🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Masini
46'
J. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Idrissi
52'
Patrizio Masini🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Luca Mazzitelli🟨
Yellow Card
58'
Michel Adopo🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Z. Luvumbo🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Gaetano
69'
L. Mazzitelli🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Zappa
69'
S. Esposito🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Borrelli
71'
Sebastiano Luperto🟨
Yellow Card
74'
R. Malinovskyi🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Thorsby
74'
L. Colombo🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Ekhator
75'
M. Frendrup⚽
Normal Goal
78'
L. Ostigard⚽
Normal Goal → A. Martin
81'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 4 → Junior Messias
81'
M. E. Ellertsson🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Sabelli

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal6
11Total Shots15
2Blocked Shots6
5Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox8
17Fouls20
2Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
44Ball Possession56
2Yellow Cards5
3Goalkeeper Saves4
398Total passes504
329Passes accurate438
83Passes %87
1.02expected_goals1.26
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

The Big "O"Won

Relegation Six-Pointer Set for Goal-Fest Repeat

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
48%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+25.8%

When these two sides met just seven weeks ago, they served up a six-goal thriller that had neutrals on the edge of their seats. A 3-3 draw that encapsulated the chaos and entertainment I live for. Now, Genoa and Cagliari lock horns again, and all the data suggests we're in for…

Value VinnyLost

Serie A Scrap Promises Goals & Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+36.5%

The Serie A relegation battle heats up as 17th-placed Genoa host 14th-placed Cagliari. On paper, this is a six-pointer between two struggling sides, but my numbers are screaming one thing loud and clear: goals. And more importantly, value. Let's cut through the noise. Genoa's…

PajimonLost

Genoa vs Cagliari: Relegation Scrap Set for Goals

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+36.5%

Alright, braai masters and football fanatics, let's talk about a proper Serie A relegation dogfight! Genoa hosting Cagliari is the kind of match where both teams desperately need points, and that usually means one thing: goals. Forget the fancy tactics and politics – this is…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Genoa

2W 4D 4L1.00 pts/game

Cagliari

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Genoa at home vs Cagliari away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+12Genoa
Venue edge
+52Genoa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genoa versus Cagliari: long term Elo, before the match
GenoaHomeRatingCagliariAway
Strength
1,519Overall1,506
1,497Match venue1,445
1,497At home1,490
1,511Away1,445
Attack & defence
1,482Attack1,501
1,550Defence1,531
1,442Home attack1,497
1,474Away attack1,430
1,566Home defence1,516
1,557Away defence1,524
Match profile
1,548Goal environment1,742
1,555Home goals1,735
1,493Away goals1,507
1,488Possession1,488
Specialist ratings
1,454Set-piece attack1,475
1,456Set-piece defence1,476
1,494Close games1,476
1,523Winning margin1,519

Match venue compares Genoa at home with Cagliari away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

1Nicola LealiG
22Johan VásquezD
3Aarón MartínM
29Lorenzo ColomboF
5Leo ØstigårdD
77Mikael EllertssonM
9VitinhaF
27Alessandro MarcandalliD
32Morten FrendrupM
17Ruslan MalinovskyiM
15Brooke Norton-CuffyM

CagliariCagliari1:1

Starting XI

1Elia CaprileG
33Adam ObertD
4Luca MazzitelliM
94Sebastiano EspositoF
15Juan RodríguezD
16Matteo PratiM
9Semih KılıçsoyF
6Sebastiano LupertoD
8Michel AdopoM
77Zito LuvumboF
2Marco PalestraD