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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Cremonese vs Hellas Verona

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

37'
Federico Bonazzoli🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Jari Vandeputte🟨
Yellow Card
66'
A. Sarr🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Serdar
71'
E. Ebosse🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Harroui
73'
F. Bonazzoli🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Moumbagna
73'
F. Ceccherini🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Folino
74'
Jamie Vardy🟨
Yellow Card
83'
J. Vandeputte🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Zerbin
87'
P. Lirola🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Oyegoke
89'
A. Grassi🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Collocolo
89'
T. Barbieri🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Floriani

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4
7Total Shots11
3Blocked Shots3
3Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox4
13Fouls13
3Corner Kicks6
3Offsides4
56Ball Possession44
3Yellow Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
433Total passes331
340Passes accurate251
79Passes %76
0.73expected_goals0.51
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyLost

Relegation Scrap Offers Clear Betting Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+7.2%

Two Serie A strugglers collide on Monday night, and while the table suggests Cremonese should be favourites at home, my mathematical lens spots something far more interesting in the markets. Let's cut through the noise and find where the real value lies. Form Guide: Mirror…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cremonese

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Hellas Verona

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Cremonese at home vs Hellas Verona away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+39Cremonese
Venue edge
+13Cremonese
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cremonese versus Hellas Verona: long term Elo, before the match
CremoneseHomeRatingHellas VeronaAway
Strength
1,502Overall1,463
1,479Match venue1,466
1,479At home1,453
1,481Away1,466
Attack & defence
1,479Attack1,448
1,525Defence1,499
1,470Home attack1,457
1,478Away attack1,425
1,509Home defence1,479
1,507Away defence1,534
Match profile
1,535Goal environment1,803
1,500Home goals1,695
1,535Away goals1,608
1,485Possession1,467
Specialist ratings
1,444Set-piece attack1,469
1,446Set-piece defence1,470
1,469Close games1,469
1,511Winning margin1,458

Match venue compares Cremonese at home with Hellas Verona away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CremoneseCremonese1:1

Starting XI

1Emil AuderoG
15Matteo BianchettiD
24Filippo TerraccianoM
10Jamie VardyF
6Federico BaschirottoD
27Jari VandeputteM
90Federico BonazzoliF
23Federico CeccheriniD
33Alberto GrassiM
38Warren BondoM
4Tommaso BarbieriM

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1:1

Starting XI

34Simone PerilliG
23Enzo EbosseD
12Domagoj BradarićM
9Amin SarrF
16Gift OrbanF
15Victor NelssonD
24Antoine BernedeM
17GiovaneF
19Tobias SlotsagerD
63Roberto GagliardiniM
14Pol LirolaM