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Match analysis

Italy flagItalySerie A

Genoa vs Bologna

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

35'
BolognaL. Ferguson⚽
Normal Goal → B. Dominguez
47'
BolognaS. Otoa⚽
Own Goal
55'
GenoaA. Martin🔄
Substitution 1 → Junior Messias
55'
GenoaJ. Ekhator🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Malinovskyi
56'
BolognaŁukasz Skorupski🟥
Red Card
59'
BolognaŁukasz Skorupski
Var
61'
BolognaB. Dominguez🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Ravaglia
62'
GenoaR. Malinovskyi⚽
Normal Goal
68'
BolognaCiro Immobile🟨
Yellow Card
71'
GenoaRuslan Malinovskyi🟨
Yellow Card
73'
GenoaVitinha🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Ekuban
73'
BolognaJ. Rowe🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Sohm
73'
BolognaC. Immobile🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Dallinga
73'
BolognaJ. Odgaard🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Vitik
74'
GenoaJ. Vasquez🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Cornet
75'
BolognaFederico Ravaglia🟨
Yellow Card
78'
GenoaC. Ekuban⚽
Normal Goal → A. Marcandalli
90'
GenoaJunior Messias⚽
Normal Goal → A. Marcandalli
90+6'
GenoaB. Norton-Cuffy🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Zatterstrom
90+7'
GenoaAlessandro Marcandalli🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal4
8Total Shots13
1Blocked Shots6
4Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox6
14Fouls17
5Corner Kicks2
1Offsides2
49Ball Possession51
2Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
330Total passes360
252Passes accurate283
76Passes %79
0.54expected_goals0.49
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyValue VinnyWon

Genoa vs Bologna: Home Value Shines Through

The pickGenoa win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.88
Model EV
+29.6%

The Serie A table tells one story – Bologna sitting comfortably in 8th with 30 points, Genoa languishing in 16th with just 20. But the recent form guide, the cold hard numbers, tells a completely different tale. And for a value hunter like me, that discrepancy is where the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

GenoaGenoa

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

BolognaBologna

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Per game

Genoa at home vs Bologna away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+83Bologna
Venue edge
+79Bologna
Rating period
Match snapshot
Genoa versus Bologna: long term Elo, before the match
GenoaGenoaHomeRatingBolognaBolognaAway
Strength
1,534Overall1,617
1,507Match venue1,587
1,507At home1,640
1,509Away1,587
Attack & defence
1,487Attack1,563
1,572Defence1,587
1,460Home attack1,547
1,461Away attack1,549
1,575Home defence1,637
1,567Away defence1,557
Match profile
1,542Goal environment1,585
1,557Home goals1,545
1,485Away goals1,540
1,486Possession1,519
Specialist ratings
1,446Set-piece attack1,510
1,448Set-piece defence1,510
1,496Close games1,579
1,547Winning margin1,633

Match venue compares Genoa at home with Bologna away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

16Justin BijlowG
22Johan VásquezD
3Aarón MartínM
29Lorenzo ColomboF
34Sebastian OtoaD
77Mikael EllertssonM
21Jeff EkhatorF
27Alessandro MarcandalliD
32Morten FrendrupM
9VitinhaM
15Brooke Norton-CuffyM

BolognaBologna1:1

Starting XI

1Łukasz SkorupskiG
22Charalampos LykogiannisD
19Lewis FergusonM
30Benjamín DomínguezM
17Ciro ImmobileF
14Torbjørn HeggemD
8Remo FreulerM
21Jens OdgaardM
16Nicolò CasaleD
11Jonathan RoweM
20Nadir ZorteaD