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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Parma vs Juventus

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:4HT 0–2

Match Timeline

15'
Bremer⚽
Normal Goal → F. Conceicao
17'
F. Conceicao🟨
Yellow Card
24'
Bremer🟨
Yellow Card
26'
W. McKennie🟨
Yellow Card
37'
W. McKennie⚽
Normal Goal → P. Kalulu
46'
K. Yildiz🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Miretti
46'
G. Oristanio🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Britschgi
51'
A. Cambiaso⚽
Own Goal
54'
Bremer⚽
Normal Goal → J. David
64'
J. David⚽
Normal Goal
65'
F. Conceicao🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Kostic
65'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Sorensen
66'
Bremer🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Gatti
74'
W. McKennie🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Cabal
74'
A. Bernabe🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Estevez
75'
J. Ondrejka🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Elphege
81'
J. David🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Openda
86'
A. Circati🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
L. Openda⚽
Goal Disallowed - offside

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal9
4Shots off Goal4
10Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots3
5Shots insidebox14
5Shots outsidebox2
9Fouls13
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
39Ball Possession61
1Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
356Total passes565
298Passes accurate489
84Passes %87
0.48expected_goals4.03
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleWon

Parma's Goal Drought Meets Juve's Iron Curtain

The pickJuventus win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.48
Model EV
+11.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Parma at home to Juventus – on the face of it, it's a proper David vs Goliath job, but let's not get carried away before we've checked the facts. Parma are having a right old struggle, sitting 15th and just about keeping their…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Parma

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Juventus

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Parma at home vs Juventus away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+217Juventus
Venue edge
+183Juventus
Rating period
Match snapshot
Parma versus Juventus: long term Elo, before the match
ParmaHomeRatingJuventusAway
Strength
1,521Overall1,737
1,458Match venue1,641
1,458At home1,788
1,471Away1,641
Attack & defence
1,425Attack1,587
1,575Defence1,697
1,440Home attack1,612
1,437Away attack1,521
1,536Home defence1,712
1,520Away defence1,662
Match profile
1,693Goal environment1,652
1,480Home goals1,642
1,713Away goals1,510
1,478Possession1,523
Specialist ratings
1,462Set-piece attack1,520
1,463Set-piece defence1,519
1,521Close games1,627
1,518Winning margin1,774

Match venue compares Parma at home with Juventus away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

40Edoardo CorviG
14Emanuele ValeriD
16Mandela KeitaM
17Jacob OndrejkaM
9Mateo PellegrinoF
39Alessandro CircatiD
41Hans Nicolussi CavigliaM
21Gaetano OristanioM
37Mariano TroiloD
10Adrián BernabéM
15Enrico Del PratoD

JuventusJuventus1:1

Starting XI

16Michele Di GregorioG
27Andrea CambiasoD
19Khéphren ThuramM
10Kenan YıldızM
30Jonathan DavidF
6Lloyd KellyD
5Manuel LocatelliM
22Weston McKennieM
3BremerD
7Francisco ConceiçãoM
15Pierre KaluluD