Skip to main content

Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Napoli vs AS Roma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

7'
D. Malen⚽
Normal Goal → B. Zaragoza
26'
Gianluca Mancini🟨
Yellow Card
40'
L. Spinazzola⚽
Normal Goal → E. Elmas
46'
B. Zaragoza🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Soule
65'
N. Pisilli🔄
Substitution 2 → N. El Aynaoui
65'
L. Pellegrini🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Venturino
68'
Amir Rrahmani🟨
Yellow Card
70'
L. Spinazzola🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Olivera
70'
A. Rrahmani🔄
Substitution 2 → Alisson Santos
71'
D. Malen
Penalty
72'
Wesley Franca🔄
Substitution 4 → K. Tsimikas
72'
D. Malen🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Vaz
79'
E. Elmas🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Gilmour
79'
A. Vergara🔄
Substitution 4 → Giovane
82'
Alisson Santos⚽
Normal Goal → Giovane
84'
M. Politano🔄
Substitution 5 → P. Mazzocchi

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
1Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots9
3Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls14
2Corner Kicks1
1Offsides2
61Ball Possession39
1Yellow Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
590Total passes358
503Passes accurate299
85Passes %84
0.58expected_goals1.7
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Defensive Clash on the Cards in Naples

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.61
Model EV
+4.7%

Alright, braai masters and beer lovers, let's talk about the only thing that matters this weekend besides the perfect chop: Napoli hosting AS Roma in a Serie A cracker that could define the top-four race. On paper, it's third versus fifth, separated by just three points. But dig…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

A Clash of Titans, A Test of Defences

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.61
Model EV
+4.7%

Close, the battle for the Champions League places is. Third, Napoli sits, with 49 points. Fifth, AS Roma stands, with 46 points. Separated by a mere three points, they are. At home, Napoli must perform. Yet, in recent times, consistent, they have not been. Look at the last ten…

Mr SimpleLost

Roma's Rock-Solid Defence to Keep It Tight in Naples?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.61
Model EV
+4.7%

Alright, gather round. We've got a proper Serie A cracker on our hands here. Napoli, sitting pretty in third, host an AS Roma side just three points behind in fifth. On paper, it's a clash of the titans, but when you dig into the recent numbers, a different story starts to brew…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Napoli

3W 5D 2L1.40 pts/game

AS Roma

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Napoli at home vs AS Roma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+45Napoli
Venue edge
+137Napoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Napoli versus AS Roma: long term Elo, before the match
NapoliHomeRatingAS RomaAway
Strength
1,756Overall1,711
1,742Match venue1,605
1,742At home1,733
1,702Away1,605
Attack & defence
1,582Attack1,540
1,665Defence1,726
1,595Home attack1,584
1,557Away attack1,484
1,652Home defence1,708
1,665Away defence1,656
Match profile
2,175Goal environment2,053
1,973Home goals1,852
1,702Away goals1,702
1,528Possession1,528
Specialist ratings
1,554Set-piece attack1,544
1,553Set-piece defence1,543
1,664Close games1,577
1,778Winning margin1,745

Match venue compares Napoli at home with AS Roma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32Vanja Milinković-SavićG
4Alessandro BuongiornoD
37Leonardo SpinazzolaM
26Antonio VergaraF
19Rasmus HøjlundF
13Amir RrahmaniD
68Stanislav LobotkaM
21Matteo PolitanoF
31Sam BeukemaD
20Eljif ElmasM
3Miguel GutiérrezM

AS RomaAS Roma1:1

Starting XI

99Mile SvilarG
87Daniele GhilardiD
43WesleyM
7Lorenzo PellegriniF
14Donyell MalenF
5Evan NdickaD
4Bryan CristanteM
97Bryan ZaragozaF
23Gianluca ManciniD
61Niccolò PisilliM
19Zeki ÇelikM