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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Parma vs Hellas Verona

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

4'
A. Bernabe⚽
Normal Goal → M. Keita
11'
Gift Orban🟥
Red Card
20'
R. Belghali🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Akpa Akpro
41'
Alessandro Circati🟨
Yellow Card
43'
A. Harroui
Penalty
45+2'
Lautaro Valenti🟨
Yellow Card
46'
L. Valenti🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Ondrejka
62'
M. Keita🔄
Substitution 2 → H. Nicolussi Caviglia
62'
K. Bowie🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Sarr
70'
O. Sorensen🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Oristanio
79'
C. Niasse🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Serdar
79'
A. Harroui🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Slotsager
86'
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro🟨
Yellow Card
90'
M. Pellegrino⚽
Normal Goal → H. Nicolussi Caviglia
90+4'
G. Strefezza🔄
Substitution 4 → C. Ordonez

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal2
26Total Shots4
8Blocked Shots1
11Shots insidebox2
15Shots outsidebox2
7Fouls14
12Corner Kicks1
2Offsides0
76Ball Possession24
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
597Total passes204
534Passes accurate134
89Passes %66
1.7expected_goals0.91
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

At the Bottom, a Chance to Rise, Parma Has

The pickParma win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+12.5%

Much to consider, there is. In the shadowed places of the table, two teams meet. Parma, fourteenth with twenty-six points, faces Verona, last with only fifteen. Eleven points between them, a canyon in the struggle. Yet, the past whispers caution, for in nine meetings, Verona has…

Mr SimpleWon

Parma vs Verona: A Proper Six-Pointer at the Bottom

The pickParma win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+12.5%

Alright, gather round. We've got a proper relegation scrap on our hands here. Parma, sitting 14th with 26 points, host bottom-of-the-table Verona, who are rock bottom with just 15. Eleven points separate them, but make no mistake, this is a massive game for both. Lose this and…

Value VinnyWon

Parma Poised to Punish Struggling Verona at Home

The pickParma win

Chance
50%
Odds
2.50
Model EV
+25.0%

The Serie A relegation battle heats up as 14th-placed Parma host bottom-dwelling Verona in what looks like a classic six-pointer. On paper, this should be straightforward for the home side, but as Value Vinnie, I don't bet on paper—I bet on numbers. And the numbers here are…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Parma

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Hellas Verona

1W 3D 6L0.60 pts/game

Per game

Parma at home vs Hellas Verona away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+92Parma
Venue edge
+3Hellas Verona
Rating period
Match snapshot
Parma versus Hellas Verona: long term Elo, before the match
ParmaHomeRatingHellas VeronaAway
Strength
1,533Overall1,441
1,452Match venue1,455
1,452At home1,446
1,489Away1,455
Attack & defence
1,430Attack1,413
1,576Defence1,496
1,444Home attack1,442
1,439Away attack1,403
1,521Home defence1,481
1,535Away defence1,529
Match profile
1,697Goal environment1,797
1,488Home goals1,692
1,708Away goals1,605
1,478Possession1,468
Specialist ratings
1,475Set-piece attack1,468
1,475Set-piece defence1,469
1,537Close games1,469
1,528Winning margin1,427

Match venue compares Parma at home with Hellas Verona away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

40E. CorviG
5L. ValentiD
14E. ValeriM
7G. StrefezzaF
39A. CircatiD
22O. SorensenM
9M. PellegrinoF
15E. DelpratoD
16M. KeitaM
10A. BernabeM
27S. BritschgiM

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1:1

Starting XI

1L. MontipoG
5A. EdmundssonD
12D. BradaricM
16G. OrbanF
15V. NelssonD
21A. HarrouiM
18K. BowieF
37A. Bella-KotchapD
73Al MusratiM
36C. NiasseM
7R. BelghaliM