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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Fiorentina vs Parma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

54'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Ordonez
61'
Rolando Mandragora🟨
Yellow Card
64'
R. Mandragora🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Fabbian
72'
M. Pellegrino🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Elphege
72'
G. Strefezza🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Oristanio
81'
J. Harrison🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Fazzini
82'
O. Sorensen🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Estevez
86'
C. Ndour🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Brescianini
86'
M. Pongracic🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Comuzzo
90'
Dodô🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal0
6Shots off Goal6
12Total Shots8
5Blocked Shots2
8Shots insidebox2
4Shots outsidebox6
12Fouls14
7Corner Kicks1
1Offsides0
56Ball Possession44
2Yellow Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
503Total passes403
445Passes accurate328
88Passes %81
1.3expected_goals0.25
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleWon

Fiorentina vs Parma: The Draw Specialists Meet Again

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.50
Model EV
+22.5%

Alright, gather round! We’ve got a right curious one down in Florence this Sunday as Fiorentina host Parma, and if history’s anything to go by, you might want to settle in for a long afternoon of cancelled-out football. Now then, let’s start with the home side, and it’s not…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fiorentina

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Parma

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Fiorentina at home vs Parma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+10Parma
Venue edge
+112Fiorentina
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fiorentina versus Parma: long term Elo, before the match
FiorentinaHomeRatingParmaAway
Strength
1,557Overall1,568
1,620Match venue1,508
1,620At home1,464
1,513Away1,508
Attack & defence
1,522Attack1,440
1,536Defence1,591
1,556Home attack1,450
1,490Away attack1,442
1,577Home defence1,522
1,533Away defence1,552
Match profile
1,865Goal environment1,692
1,692Home goals1,488
1,673Away goals1,703
1,513Possession1,482
Specialist ratings
1,491Set-piece attack1,485
1,491Set-piece defence1,485
1,535Close games1,567
1,562Winning margin1,564

Match venue compares Fiorentina at home with Parma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43David De GeaG
21Robin GosensD
44Nicolò FagioliM
10Albert GuðmundssonM
91Roberto PiccoliF
6Luca RanieriD
27Cher NdourM
5Marin PongračićD
8Rolando MandragoraM
2DodôD
17Jack HarrisonM

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

40Edoardo CorviG
39Alessandro CircatiD
16Mandela KeitaM
14Emanuele ValeriM
7Gabriel StrefezzaF
37Mariano TroiloD
22Oliver SørensenM
9Mateo PellegrinoF
15Enrico DelpratoD
41Hans Nicolussi CavigliaM
25Benjamin CremaschiM