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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Lazio vs AC Milan

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

26'
G. Isaksen⚽
Normal Goal → A. Marusic
55'
Pervis Estupiñán🟨
Yellow Card
57'
P. Estupinan🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Bartesaghi
58'
F. Tomori🔄
Substitution 2 → Z. Athekame
66'
Y. Fofana🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Nkunku
66'
R. Leao🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Fullkrug
67'
G. Isaksen🔄
Substitution 1 → Pedro
67'
D. Maldini🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Dia
70'
Edoardo Motta🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Nuno Tavares🟨
Yellow Card
83'
M. Zaccagni🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Cancellieri
84'
A. Saelemaekers🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Ricci
90'
K. Taylor🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Belahyane
90+4'
Pedro🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Patric🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal8
7Total Shots17
3Blocked Shots6
2Shots insidebox12
5Shots outsidebox5
7Fouls19
1Corner Kicks9
3Offsides4
41Ball Possession59
4Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
409Total passes564
346Passes accurate503
85Passes %89
0.41expected_goals1.19
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Lazio vs AC Milan Betting Tips & Preview

The pickAC Milan win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+30.0%

The Serie A landscape is heating up as we head towards the business end of the 2026 season. Lazio hosts AC Milan at their home ground, but the momentum is heavily skewed towards the visitors. Inter is running away with the title, but Milan sits second and needs points to keep…

The Big "O"Lost

Lazio vs AC Milan: Over 2.5 Goals Betting Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.20
Model EV
+32.0%

Life's Too Short for Nil-Nil Welcome to another match day analysis from The Big O. If you know me, you know I don't sit around waiting for a 0-0 draw. I want fireworks, I want goals, and I want action. Lazio vs AC Milan in Serie A is shaping up to be a high-scoring affair, and…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lazio

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

AC Milan

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Per game

Lazio at home vs AC Milan away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+149AC Milan
Venue edge
+101AC Milan
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lazio versus AC Milan: long term Elo, before the match
LazioHomeRatingAC MilanAway
Strength
1,619Overall1,769
1,623Match venue1,724
1,623At home1,705
1,619Away1,724
Attack & defence
1,490Attack1,613
1,620Defence1,679
1,549Home attack1,573
1,467Away attack1,643
1,579Home defence1,663
1,651Away defence1,626
Match profile
2,095Goal environment1,877
1,875Home goals1,537
1,720Away goals1,840
1,501Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,481Set-piece attack1,480
1,481Set-piece defence1,481
1,617Close games1,654
1,619Winning margin1,805

Match venue compares Lazio at home with AC Milan away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LazioLazio1:1

Starting XI

40Edoardo MottaG
17Nuno TavaresD
24Kenneth TaylorM
10Mattia ZaccagniF
25Oliver ProvstgaardD
4PatricM
27Daniel MaldiniF
34Mario Gila FuentesD
7Fisayo Dele-BashiruM
18Gustav IsaksenF
77Adam MarušićD

AC MilanAC Milan1:1

Starting XI

16Mike MaignanG
31Strahinja PavlovićD
2Pervis EstupiñánM
11Christian PulišićF
5Koni De WinterD
30Ardon JashariM
10Rafael LeãoF
23Fikayo TomoriD
14Luka ModrićM
19Youssouf FofanaM
56Alexis SaelemaekersM