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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Sassuolo vs Bologna

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

6'
T. Dallinga⚽
Normal Goal
24'
Thijs Dallinga🟨
Yellow Card
28'
L. De Silvestri🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Zortea
59'
N. Matic🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Volpato
59'
A. Pinamonti🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Nzola
63'
N. Moro🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Freuler
64'
T. Dallinga🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Castro
75'
U. Garcia🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Doig
75'
I. Kone🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Vranckx
77'
M'Bala Nzola🟨
Yellow Card
82'
J. Odgaard🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Bernardeschi
83'
S. Sohm🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Pobega
86'
D. Berardi🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Bakola
90+6'
Nadir Zortea🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
9Total Shots16
1Blocked Shots5
7Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox9
16Fouls11
7Corner Kicks4
1Offsides2
54Ball Possession46
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
424Total passes359
345Passes accurate274
81Passes %76
0.54expected_goals0.7
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (3)

Umery UnderdogWon

Bologna the Value Bet as Underdogs at Sassuolo

The pickBologna win

Chance
40%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+10.0%

Hello my little puppies! Umery here, and I've got a delicious mid-table morsel from Serie A that has the bookies barking up the wrong tree entirely. Sassuolo host Bologna in what looks like a tight encounter on paper, but dig a little deeper and you'll find one side is being…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Defensive Solidity Brings Value, It Does

The pickBologna win

Chance
57%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+56.8%

Much noise in the numbers, there is. But clarity, the wise find. Between Sassuolo and Bologna, a tale of two defenses unfolds, it does. Sassuolo, ninth in the table with 38 points, arrives with a record of five victories and five defeats in their last ten contests. No draws…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Sassuolo

5W 0D 5L1.50 pts/game

Bologna

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Sassuolo at home vs Bologna away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+45Bologna
Venue edge
+68Bologna
Rating period
Match snapshot
Sassuolo versus Bologna: long term Elo, before the match
SassuoloHomeRatingBolognaAway
Strength
1,538Overall1,583
1,523Match venue1,591
1,523At home1,604
1,481Away1,591
Attack & defence
1,525Attack1,529
1,520Defence1,567
1,501Home attack1,510
1,515Away attack1,555
1,510Home defence1,616
1,492Away defence1,549
Match profile
2,080Goal environment1,583
1,740Home goals1,538
1,840Away goals1,545
1,481Possession1,518
Specialist ratings
1,496Set-piece attack1,495
1,496Set-piece defence1,496
1,500Close games1,562
1,553Winning margin1,591

Match venue compares Sassuolo at home with Bologna away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SassuoloSassuolo1:1

Starting XI

49Arijanet MurićG
23Ulisses GarciaD
42Kristian ThorstvedtM
45Armand LaurientéF
80Tarik MuharemovićD
18Nemanja MatićM
99Andrea PinamontiF
21Jay IdzesD
90Ismael KonéM
10Domenico BerardiF
6Sebastian WalukiewiczD

BolognaBologna1:1

Starting XI

1Łukasz SkorupskiG
33Juan MirandaD
6Nikola MoroM
28Nicolò CambiaghiM
24Thijs DallingaF
26Jhon LucumíD
23Simon SohmM
21Jens OdgaardM
41Martin VitíkD
7Riccardo OrsoliniM
29Lorenzo De SilvestriD