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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Torino vs Parma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time4:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

3'
G. Simeone⚽
Normal Goal
11'
B. Cremaschi🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Britschgi
20'
M. Pellegrino⚽
Normal Goal → G. Strefezza
55'
E. Ilkhan⚽
Normal Goal
56'
M. Keita⚽
Own Goal
59'
Enrico Delprato🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Christian Ordoñez🟨
Yellow Card
61'
C. Adams🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Zapata
63'
M. Keita🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Estevez
63'
C. Ordonez🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Oristanio
63'
M. Troilo🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Valenti
76'
E. Ilkhan🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Prati
77'
Gabriel Strefezza🟨
Yellow Card
77'
G. Simeone🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Kulenovic
78'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Ondrejka
85'
Sandro Kulenović🟨
Yellow Card
90'
D. Zapata⚽
Normal Goal → S. Kulenovic
90+2'
N. Vlasic🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Anjorin
90+3'
E. Ebosse🔄
Substitution 5 → L. Marianucci

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal2
15Total Shots6
2Blocked Shots1
7Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox2
17Fouls13
2Corner Kicks7
4Offsides3
50Ball Possession50
1Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
388Total passes389
325Passes accurate322
84Passes %83
2.2expected_goals0.56
-2goals_prevented-2

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogLost

Parma the Plucky Underdogs Ready to Bite at 3.80

The pickParma win

Chance
32%
Odds
3.80
Model EV
+21.6%

Friday night lights in Turin bring us a fascinating Serie A clash that has this underdog enthusiast wagging my tail with excitement! While the market has installed Torino as favourites, my nose for value is twitching furiously at the price available on the visitors. Parma arrive…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Value in the Away Side, I Sense

The pickParma win

Chance
32%
Odds
3.80
Model EV
+21.6%

Difficult to see, the future is. But value in the odds, a wise bettor must find. This Friday under the lights of Serie A, Torino hosts Parma in a clash where the table and the bookmakers, misled they may be. Struggling at home, Torino are. Six defeats in ten games they have…

Value VinnyLost

Under 2.5 Goals Offers Clear Mathematical Edge

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
74%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+23.6%

Value Vinnie has crunched the numbers for this Serie A relegation-scrap skirmish, and the market has left the door wide open on the unders. Torino host Parma with both sides sitting uncomfortably close to the drop zone—15th versus 12th—but it is the goal expectancy data that…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Torino

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Parma

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Torino at home vs Parma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+46Parma
Venue edge
+38Torino
Rating period
Match snapshot
Torino versus Parma: long term Elo, before the match
TorinoHomeRatingParmaAway
Strength
1,521Overall1,567
1,550Match venue1,512
1,550At home1,464
1,510Away1,512
Attack & defence
1,468Attack1,430
1,548Defence1,603
1,449Home attack1,450
1,463Away attack1,433
1,603Home defence1,522
1,546Away defence1,566
Match profile
1,663Goal environment1,683
1,488Home goals1,488
1,675Away goals1,695
1,476Possession1,482
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,474
1,497Set-piece defence1,474
1,509Close games1,565
1,523Winning margin1,564

Match venue compares Torino at home with Parma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

TorinoTorino1:1

Starting XI

1Alberto PaleariG
77Enzo EbosseD
33Rafael ObradorM
10Nikola VlašićF
19Che AdamsF
44Ardian IsmajliD
66Gvidas GineitisM
18Giovanni SimeoneF
23Saúl CocoD
6Emirhan İlkhanM
16Marcus PedersenM

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

31Zion SuzukiG
39Alessandro CircatiD
16Mandela KeitaM
14Emanuele ValeriM
7Gabriel StrefezzaF
37Mariano TroiloD
22Oliver SørensenM
9Mateo PellegrinoF
15Enrico DelpratoD
24Christian OrdoñezM
25Benjamin CremaschiM