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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Napoli vs AC Milan

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

12'
Alessandro Buongiorno🟨
Yellow Card
62'
A. Saelemaekers🔄
Substitution 1 → Z. Athekame
63'
N. Fullkrug🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Gimenez
70'
Giovane🔄
Substitution 1 → Alisson Santos
74'
L. Spinazzola🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Politano
74'
C. Nkunku🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Pulisic
79'
M. Politano⚽
Normal Goal
81'
Matteo Politano🟨
Yellow Card
82'
F. Tomori🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Loftus-Cheek
82'
Y. Fofana🔄
Substitution 5 → R. Leao
85'
K. De Bruyne🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Elmas
85'
Juan Jesus🔄
Substitution 4 → S. Beukema

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal6
10Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots0
7Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox2
7Fouls6
4Corner Kicks3
5Offsides2
53Ball Possession47
2Yellow Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
523Total passes465
470Passes accurate395
90Passes %85
0.75expected_goals0.47
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

The Big "O"Lost

Napoli vs AC Milan: Goal Expectancy Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
52%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+19.6%

Life's too short for nil-nil. That's the mantra of The Big O. And looking at the upcoming clash between Napoli and AC Milan, the signs point to a match full of action. We're not here for the boring stuff; we're here for the goals. Napoli at home are firing on all cylinders. In…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Napoli

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

AC Milan

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Napoli at home vs AC Milan away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+6Napoli
Venue edge
+38Napoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Napoli versus AC Milan: long term Elo, before the match
NapoliHomeRatingAC MilanAway
Strength
1,760Overall1,754
1,747Match venue1,708
1,747At home1,711
1,699Away1,708
Attack & defence
1,591Attack1,611
1,646Defence1,665
1,609Home attack1,587
1,551Away attack1,625
1,635Home defence1,651
1,662Away defence1,628
Match profile
2,182Goal environment1,880
1,982Home goals1,545
1,700Away goals1,835
1,536Possession1,513
Specialist ratings
1,558Set-piece attack1,489
1,557Set-piece defence1,489
1,676Close games1,647
1,780Winning margin1,788

Match venue compares Napoli at home with AC Milan away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32Vanja Milinković-SavićG
17Mathías OliveraD
37Leonardo SpinazzolaM
8Scott McTominayF
23GiovaneF
4Alessandro BuongiornoD
68Stanislav LobotkaM
11Kevin De BruyneF
5Juan JesusD
99Frank AnguissaM
3Miguel GutiérrezM

AC MilanAC Milan1:1

Starting XI

16Mike MaignanG
31Strahinja PavlovićD
33Davide BartesaghiM
18Christopher NkunkuF
5Koni De WinterD
12Adrien RabiotM
9Niclas FüllkrugF
23Fikayo TomoriD
14Luka ModrićM
19Youssouf FofanaM
56Alexis SaelemaekersM