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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Bologna vs Lecce

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

26'
R. Freuler⚽
Normal Goal
36'
Oumar Ngom🟨
Yellow Card
38'
Jamil Siebert🟨
Yellow Card
46'
O. Ngom🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Gandelman
46'
C. Ndaba🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Gallo
64'
L. Banda🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Ndri
64'
N. Stulic🔄
Substitution 4 → W. Cheddira
66'
Joao Mario🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Zortea
74'
N. Cambiaghi🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Rowe
74'
S. Sohm🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Pobega
83'
S. Pierotti🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Sala
85'
N. Moro🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Bernardeschi
85'
S. Castro🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Odgaard
90'
R. Orsolini⚽
Normal Goal → F. Bernardeschi

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots6
3Blocked Shots2
9Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls19
8Corner Kicks6
4Offsides0
64Ball Possession36
0Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
493Total passes268
419Passes accurate191
85Passes %71
2.19expected_goals0.32
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

PajimonWon

Bologna vs Lecce - Serie A Betting Preview

The pickBologna win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Hey guys, Pajimon here. What do you mean no meat? We are talking football, not veggies! Today we look at Bologna vs Lecce in Serie A, kicking off on 2026-04-12. Bologna sits comfortably in 8th place with 45 points, while Lecce is struggling near the bottom at 18th with just 27…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Bologna

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Lecce

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Per game

Bologna at home vs Lecce away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+112Bologna
Venue edge
+142Bologna
Rating period
Match snapshot
Bologna versus Lecce: long term Elo, before the match
BolognaHomeRatingLecceAway
Strength
1,593Overall1,482
1,592Match venue1,449
1,592At home1,468
1,609Away1,449
Attack & defence
1,518Attack1,393
1,571Defence1,565
1,501Home attack1,381
1,552Away attack1,393
1,605Home defence1,532
1,561Away defence1,579
Match profile
1,578Goal environment1,435
1,537Home goals1,497
1,542Away goals1,438
1,518Possession1,464
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,473
1,497Set-piece defence1,474
1,583Close games1,491
1,597Winning margin1,480

Match venue compares Bologna at home with Lecce away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BolognaBologna1:1

Starting XI

25Massimo PessinaG
33Juan MirandaD
6Nikola MoroM
28Nicolò CambiaghiM
9Santiago CastroF
26Jhon LucumíD
8Remo FreulerM
23Simon SohmM
16Nicolò CasaleD
7Riccardo OrsoliniM
17João MárioD

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30Wladimiro FalconeG
3Corrie NdabaD
79Oumar NgomM
19Lameck BandaM
9Nikola ŠtulićF
5Jamil SiebertD
20Ylber RamadaniM
29Lassana CoulibalyM
44Tiago GabrielD
50Santiago PierottiM
17Danilo VeigaD