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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

21'
D. OyegokeπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ P. Lirola
24'
Jean Daniel Akpa-Akpro🟨
Yellow Card
41'
A. Rabiot⚽
Normal Goal β†’ R. Leao
46'
D. BradaricπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ I. Vermesan
63'
Z. AthekameπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ A. Saelemaekers
63'
R. LeaoπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. Gimenez
64'
J. Akpa AkproπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ Al Musrati
64'
Y. FofanaπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ S. Ricci
80'
C. PulisicπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. Nkunku
82'
A. BernedeπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ Isaac
83'
R. GagliardiniπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ S. Lovric
84'
Mutassim Al-Musrati🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal1
13Total Shots6
7Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox3
7Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls6
6Corner Kicks1
0Offsides1
47Ball Possession53
2Yellow Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
422Total passes493
353Passes accurate410
84Passes %83
0.5expected_goals0.85
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyWon

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan Preview

The pickAC Milan win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+9.9%

Odds don't lie β€” but bookies do. When you look at the raw data for this Serie A fixture, the numbers tell a story of dominance, but recent form adds a layer of complexity. AC Milan sits 3rd in the table with 63 points, while Hellas Verona is rock bottom in 19th place with just…

Mr SimpleWon

Hellas Verona vs AC Milan

The pickAC Milan win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+9.9%

Right, let's have a proper chat about this Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and AC Milan. It's a proper mismatch on paper, isn't it? Look at the table: Milan are sitting pretty in 3rd place with 63 points, while Verona are stuck in the relegation zone in 19th with just 18…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hellas Verona

1W 1D 8L0.40 pts/game

AC Milan

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Hellas Verona at home vs AC Milan away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Serie A

Overall edge
+313AC Milan
Venue edge
+276AC Milan
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hellas Verona versus AC Milan: long term Elo, before the match
Hellas VeronaHomeRatingAC MilanAway
Strength
1,402Overall1,715
1,421Match venue1,697
1,421At home1,693
1,437Away1,697
Attack & defence
1,397Attack1,583
1,490Defence1,646
1,425Home attack1,571
1,401Away attack1,611
1,479Home defence1,630
1,511Away defence1,632
Match profile
1,793Goal environment1,877
1,687Home goals1,547
1,607Away goals1,830
1,462Possession1,515
Specialist ratings
1,484Set-piece attack1,492
1,484Set-piece defence1,492
1,436Close games1,633
1,386Winning margin1,734

Match venue compares Hellas Verona at home with AC Milan away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1:1

Starting XI

1L. MontipoG
6N. ValentiniD
12D. BradaricM
24A. BernedeF
16G. OrbanF
5A. EdmundssonD
63R. GagliardiniM
7R. BelghaliF
15V. NelssonD
11J. Akpa AkproM
2D. OyegokeM

AC MilanAC Milan1:1

Starting XI

16M. MaignanG
31S. PavlovicD
33D. BartesaghiM
11C. PulisicF
46M. GabbiaD
12A. RabiotM
10R. LeaoF
23F. TomoriD
14L. ModricM
19Y. FofanaM
24Z. AthekameM