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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Como vs Napoli

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

60'
K. De Bruyne🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Anguissa
69'
Jacobo Ramón🟨
Yellow Card
80'
A. Douvikas🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Morata
80'
M. Baturina🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Rodriguez
80'
A. Valle🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Moreno
80'
A. Rrahmani🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Spinazzola
86'
A. Diao🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Vojvoda
86'
L. Da Cunha🔄
Substitution 5 → S. Roberto
89'
Matteo Politano🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal4
16Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls10
3Corner Kicks2
1Offsides1
57Ball Possession43
1Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
506Total passes385
465Passes accurate327
92Passes %85
1.29expected_goals0.63
0.51goals_prevented0.51

Tipster previews (3)

Value VinnyLost

Como vs Napoli: Over 2.5 Goals Value Play

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+21.8%

Odds don’t lie — but bookies do. When the numbers scream value, you don’t hesitate. This fixture presents a clear statistical edge on the goals market, and the math is on our side. Como enter this match riding a 50% win rate over their last 10 games, averaging 2.00 goals scored…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Como vs Napoli Preview

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+21.8%

Listen closely, you must. The path to wisdom lies in the numbers, not in the noise. Como at their home ground, they are a force to be reckoned with. In their last ten outings, five victories they claim, two draws, three losses. At home, 2.60 goals per game they score, while 1.20…

The Big "O"Lost

Como vs Napoli: The Big O Calls Over 2.5 Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
59%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+23.9%

Welcome back, goal lovers! The Big O is in the house, and let’s be honest—life’s too short for nil-nil. When I look at Como hosting Napoli, my eyes light up because the numbers scream goals. Como has been a home-scoring machine, averaging 2.6 goals per game on their own patch…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Como

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Napoli

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Como at home vs Napoli away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+60Napoli
Venue edge
+83Napoli
Rating period
Match snapshot
Como versus Napoli: long term Elo, before the match
ComoHomeRatingNapoliAway
Strength
1,688Overall1,749
1,608Match venue1,692
1,608At home1,744
1,596Away1,692
Attack & defence
1,609Attack1,584
1,667Defence1,650
1,592Home attack1,603
1,540Away attack1,544
1,594Home defence1,644
1,636Away defence1,658
Match profile
1,523Goal environment2,178
1,540Home goals1,980
1,483Away goals1,698
1,552Possession1,541
Specialist ratings
1,549Set-piece attack1,569
1,548Set-piece defence1,567
1,522Close games1,685
1,737Winning margin1,764

Match venue compares Como at home with Napoli away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ComoComo1:1

Starting XI

1J. ButezG
3A. ValleD
33L. Da CunhaM
20M. BaturinaM
11A. DouvikasF
34Diego CarlosD
23M. PerroneM
10N. PazM
14J. RamonD
38A. DiaoM
28I. SmolcicD

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32V. Milinkovic-SavicG
4A. BuongiornoD
3M. GutierrezM
27Alisson SantosF
19R. HojlundF
13A. RrahmaniD
8S. McTominayM
11K. De BruyneF
31S. BeukemaD
68S. LobotkaM
21M. PolitanoM