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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Fiorentina vs Genoa

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

58'
L. Colombo🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Ekuban
61'
R. Braschi🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Piccoli
71'
J. Ekhator🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Malinovskyi
71'
A. Martin🔄
Substitution 3 → W. L. Ouedraogo
72'
R. Mandragora🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Brescianini
73'
C. Ndour🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Fabbian
82'
A. Marcandalli🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Doucoure
82'
Amorim🔄
Substitution 5 → P. Masini
86'
F. Parisi🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Gudmundsson

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal5
13Total Shots9
5Blocked Shots1
9Shots insidebox6
4Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls14
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
57Ball Possession43
3Goalkeeper Saves0
417Total passes316
353Passes accurate255
85Passes %81
0.97expected_goals0.58
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

Mr CertaintyWon

Fiorentina vs Genoa: Under 2.5 Goals Preview

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
77%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+33.2%

Fiorentina and Genoa clash in Serie A on May 10, 2026. Both teams enter this fixture with contrasting but equally cautious recent trajectories. Fiorentina's last 10 matches yield 1.80 points per game, with an average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded. At home, their…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Fiorentina vs Genoa Preview

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

In the arena of Serie A, a quiet match approaches, a match it does. "Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should," the old master says. To see the truth, one must look at the numbers, the numbers show. Fiorentina, at home, they average one goal scored…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fiorentina

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Genoa

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Fiorentina at home vs Genoa away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+19Fiorentina
Venue edge
+112Fiorentina
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fiorentina versus Genoa: long term Elo, before the match
FiorentinaHomeRatingGenoaAway
Strength
1,587Overall1,568
1,629Match venue1,517
1,629At home1,531
1,525Away1,517
Attack & defence
1,496Attack1,505
1,573Defence1,577
1,525Home attack1,502
1,489Away attack1,451
1,614Home defence1,555
1,532Away defence1,583
Match profile
1,848Goal environment1,548
1,668Home goals1,575
1,680Away goals1,473
1,501Possession1,492
Specialist ratings
1,488Set-piece attack1,465
1,489Set-piece defence1,466
1,566Close games1,538
1,592Winning margin1,582

Match venue compares Fiorentina at home with Genoa away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43D. de GeaG
21R. GosensD
27C. NdourM
19M. SolomonF
6L. RanieriD
44N. FagioliM
61R. BraschiF
5M. PongracicD
8R. MandragoraM
65F. ParisiF
2DodoD

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

16J. BijlowG
13N. ZatterstromD
3A. MartinM
9VitinhaF
29L. ColomboF
5L. OstigardD
32M. FrendrupM
21J. EkhatorF
27A. MarcandalliD
4AmorimM
77M. E. EllertssonM