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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

39'
E. Eze⚽
Normal Goal
46'
W. Saliba🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Mosquera
59'
Y. Pino🔄
Substitution 1 → E. Nketiah
66'
B. Saka🔄
Substitution 2 → G. Martinelli
74'
D. Kamada🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Hughes
82'
R. Calafiori🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Hincapie
82'
D. Rice🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Merino
88'
E. Eze🔄
Substitution 5 → M. Lewis-Skelly
90+1'
T. Mitchell🔄
Substitution 3 → B. Sosa
90+1'
A. Wharton🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Lerma
90+1'
D. Munoz🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Uche

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots7
3Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox2
6Fouls11
4Corner Kicks3
2Offsides1
60Ball Possession40
1Goalkeeper Saves2
539Total passes360
450Passes accurate266
83Passes %74
1.08expected_goals0.47
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Palace Pups Ready to Bite Top Dogs

The pickCrystal Palace win

Chance
15%
Odds
8.05
Model EV
+20.8%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's eyes are on the league-leading Arsenal, I'm sniffing around for some hidden value with our brave Crystal Palace pups. Let me tell you why this little puppy might just have some bite! Arsenal has been absolutely…

PajimonWon

Arsenal's Fortress vs Palace's Travel Woes

The pickBTTS No

Chance
65%
Odds
1.83
Model EV
+18.9%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and talk proper football! Arsenal are sitting pretty at the top of the table like a lion on a rock, and they're not messing around at home. These boys have been absolutely dominant - 8 wins in their last 10 games with a ridiculous 80% win…

Mr CertaintyWon

Arsenal's Home Fortress vs Crystal Palace

The pickArsenal win

Chance
72%
Odds
1.47
Model EV
+5.8%

Arsenal enters this match sitting atop the Premier League table with 19 points from 8 games, and their home form has been nothing short of exceptional. The Gunners have secured victories in 80% of their last 10 matches, with their defensive record at home being particularly…

The Big "O"Lost

Gunners Look to Keep Firing Against Palace

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.87
Model EV
+21.6%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to bring you the goods, and this North London showdown has got my juices flowing. Arsenal, sitting pretty at the top of the table, have been an absolute defensive fortress lately - we're talking 7 clean sheets in their last 10 games and…

Mr SimpleLost

Gunners Look To Keep Top Spot vs Tough Palace Test

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
63%
Odds
1.87
Model EV
+17.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. Arsenal are sitting pretty at the top of the table, and frankly, they're playing like it. Eight games in, they've bagged 19 points with only one loss all season. Their recent form is absolutely mint - eight wins in their last ten…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Arsenal

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

Crystal Palace

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Arsenal at home vs Crystal Palace away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+126Arsenal
Venue edge
+166Arsenal
Rating period
Match snapshot
Arsenal versus Crystal Palace: long term Elo, before the match
ArsenalHomeRatingCrystal PalaceAway
Strength
1,792Overall1,666
1,754Match venue1,589
1,754At home1,579
1,739Away1,589
Attack & defence
1,597Attack1,561
1,732Defence1,626
1,638Home attack1,509
1,571Away attack1,525
1,679Home defence1,591
1,710Away defence1,621
Match profile
2,218Goal environment1,587
1,957Home goals1,473
1,762Away goals1,613
1,515Possession1,489
Specialist ratings
1,538Set-piece attack1,479
1,537Set-piece defence1,480
1,664Close games1,554
1,831Winning margin1,698

Match venue compares Arsenal at home with Crystal Palace away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ArsenalArsenal1:1

Starting XI

1David RayaG
33Riccardo CalafioriD
41Declan RiceM
19Leandro TrossardF
6Gabriel MagalhãesD
36Martín ZubimendiM
14Viktor GyökeresF
2William SalibaD
10Eberechi EzeM
7Bukayo SakaF
12Jurriën TimberD

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
6Marc GuéhiD
3Tyrick MitchellM
10Yéremy PinoF
14Jean-Philippe MatetaF
5Maxence LacroixD
18Daichi KamadaM
7Ismaïla SarrF
26Chris RichardsD
20Adam WhartonM
2Daniel MuñozM