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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Aston Villa vs Manchester City

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

19'
M. Cash⚽
Normal Goal → E. Buendia
29'
E. Buendia🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Sancho
40'
Savinho🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Tijjani Reijnders🟨
Yellow Card
61'
O. Bobb🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Doku
61'
J. Stones🔄
Substitution 2 → N. O'Reilly
61'
B. Silva🔄
Substitution 3 → Nico
64'
Nico González🟨
Yellow Card
74'
J. McGinn🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Barkley
74'
Unknown Player🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Guessand
76'
T. Reijnders🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Cherki
80'
Phil Foden🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Boubacar Kamara🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Savinho🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Marmoush
86'
L. Digne🔄
Substitution 4 → I. Maatsen
86'
O. Watkins🔄
Substitution 5 → D. Malen

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
1Shots off Goal5
9Total Shots18
5Blocked Shots9
6Shots insidebox14
3Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls16
5Corner Kicks6
1Offsides3
47Ball Possession53
1Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
441Total passes490
378Passes accurate440
86Passes %90
0.56expected_goals1.05
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (2)

PajimonLost

Villa vs City: Both Teams Likely to Score

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this one! Villa hosting City at home, and I'm smelling goals in the air like boerewors on the grill. Villa have been decent lately, winning 4 of their last 5 games including that cracking 2-1 victory away at Tottenham…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Aston Villa

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Manchester City

7W 2D 1L2.30 pts/game

Per game

Aston Villa at home vs Manchester City away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+92Manchester City
Venue edge
+29Manchester City
Rating period
Match snapshot
Aston Villa versus Manchester City: long term Elo, before the match
Aston VillaHomeRatingManchester CityAway
Strength
1,671Overall1,762
1,685Match venue1,714
1,685At home1,809
1,560Away1,714
Attack & defence
1,541Attack1,629
1,614Defence1,692
1,597Home attack1,696
1,485Away attack1,586
1,595Home defence1,647
1,574Away defence1,701
Match profile
1,822Goal environment2,613
1,697Home goals2,305
1,625Away goals1,808
1,508Possession1,514
Specialist ratings
1,497Set-piece attack1,505
1,497Set-piece defence1,505
1,646Close games1,603
1,677Winning margin1,802

Match venue compares Aston Villa at home with Manchester City away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Aston VillaAston Villa1:1

Starting XI

23Emiliano MartínezG
12Lucas DigneD
24Amadou OnanaM
10Emiliano BuendíaM
11Ollie WatkinsF
14Pau TorresD
44Boubacar KamaraM
27Morgan RogersM
4Ezri KonsaD
7John McGinnM
2Matty CashD

Manchester CityManchester City1:1

Starting XI

25Gianluigi DonnarummaG
24Joško GvardiolD
4Tijjani ReijndersM
26SavinhoM
9Erling HaalandF
3Rúben DiasD
20Bernardo SilvaM
5John StonesD
47Phil FodenM
27Matheus NunesD
52Oscar BobbM