Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

18'
Justin Kluivert🟨
Yellow Card
18'
Douglas Luiz🟨
Yellow Card
25'
M. Tavernier
Normal Goal
40'
E. J. Kroupi
Normal Goal → T. Adams
46'
Igor Jesus🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Awoniyi
46'
C. Hudson-Odoi🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Hutchinson
46'
Douglas Luiz🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Yates
63'
Marcos Senesi🟨
Yellow Card
69'
J. Kluivert🔄
Substitution 1 → D. Brooks
69'
E. J. Kroupi🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Adli
80'
A. Scott🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Christie
83'
D. Ndoye🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Dominguez
87'
David Brooks🟨
Yellow Card
89'
M. Gibbs-White🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Kalimuendo
90+2'
M. Tavernier🔄
Substitution 4 → L. Cook
90+2'
A. Semenyo🔄
Substitution 5 → E. Unal

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal2
13Total Shots8
4Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox3
8Shots outsidebox5
17Fouls7
6Corner Kicks4
3Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
3Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
435Total passes400
351Passes accurate314
81Passes %79
0.59expected_goals0.35
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

BournemouthBournemouth1:1

Starting XI

1Đorđe PetrovićG
3Adrien TruffertD
12Tyler AdamsM
24Antoine SemenyoM
22Eli Junior KroupiF
5Marcos SenesiD
8Alex ScottM
19Justin KluivertM
44Veljko MilosavljevićD
16Marcus TavernierM
20Álex JiménezD

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26Matz SelsG
3Neco WilliamsD
8Elliot AndersonM
7Callum Hudson-OdoiM
19Igor JesusF
5MurilloD
12Douglas LuizM
10Morgan Gibbs-WhiteM
31Nikola MilenkovićD
14Dan NdoyeM
37Nicolò SavonaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Form: D-W-D-D-W
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
Form: W-L-L-L-L
Record
4 W
4 D
2 L
1 W
2 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
1.5
Scored
vs
0.9
Scored
1.4
Conceded
vs
2.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:2.3
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1573
Average
1526
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1650
↑ Momentum (+77)
1515
↓ Momentum (-11)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
33%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1477
Attack
1463
1597
Defence
1542
Recent Form
1493
Attack
1433
1609
Defence
1499
Post-Match Changes
+11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Cherries Ready to Pick More Points
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.76
Expected Value:+19.7%

Ag man, this one looks like a braai where you know exactly who's bringing the meat! Bournemouth are sitting pretty in 4th place with 15 points, while Forest are languishing at the bottom with only 5 points. That's a bigger gap than between my braai tongs after a few beers! Let's look at the form, boet. Bournemouth have been decent lately - unbeaten in their last 4 Premier League games. They drew 3-3 with Crystal Palace, smashed Fulham 3-1 at home, and even went to Tottenham and won 1-0. They're scoring goals for fun at home (1.17 per game) and keeping things tight at the back (only 0.83 conceded). Forest? Yoh, they're struggling more than a vegetarian at a braai! ZERO wins in their last 10 games. That's right, niks, nada, nothing! They've lost 7 of those 10 and are scoring a pathetic 0.7 goals per game. Away from home? Even worse - 0% win rate and conceding 2.2 goals per game. They couldn't buy a goal if they tried! And here's the cherry on top - Forest have NEVER beaten Bournemouth in 9 meetings. Never! Last time they met, Bournemouth put 5 past them. FIVE! At home, Bournemouth have 2 wins and 2 draws against Forest. The stats don't lie here. Bournemouth are averaging 1.5 goals per game, Forest barely managing 0.7. Bournemouth's home defense is solid, Forest's away attack is non-existent. This looks like one of those bets where you can almost smell the sizzle before the fire's even lit! Key Points: - Bournemouth 4th vs Forest 18th - 10-point gap in the table - Forest: 0 wins in last 10 games (shocking!) - Forest: 0% away win rate this season - Head-to-head: Bournemouth unbeaten in 9 meetings (5W-4D-0L) - Last meeting: Bournemouth won 5-0 - Bournemouth scoring 1.5 goals/game vs Forest's 0.7 - Forest conceding 2.1 goals/game away from home This looks as straightforward as a boerewors roll - no fancy stuff needed. Bournemouth should handle this comfortably at home.

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📝 Match Preview

Cherries Ready to Deliver Goal Fest Against Struggling Forest
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.87
Expected Value:+34.6%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm absolutely buzzing about this matchup! We've got a high-flying Bournemouth side sitting pretty in 4th place, taking on a Nottingham Forest team that's leaking goals like a sieve. Let me tell you, this has GOALS written all over it! Bournemouth's recent form is exactly what I love to see - they're treating us to some absolute thrillers! That 3-3 draw with Crystal Palace? Pure poetry. The 3-1 dismantling of Fulham? Beautiful stuff. Even their 2-2 with Leeds shows they're not afraid to get involved in shootouts. The Cherries are averaging 1.5 goals per game, but here's the juicy bit - they actually score MORE away from home (2.0 goals per game) than at their own place! That tells me they have an attacking mindset regardless of venue. Now, onto Nottingham Forest. Oh boy. They're rock bottom of the form table with ZERO wins in their last 10 games. Their defensive record is absolutely shocking - 2.1 goals conceded per game overall, and it gets even worse on the road where they're shipping 2.2 goals per game! They've kept just ONE clean sheet in 10 matches. That's not just bad, that's practically an open invitation for goals. The head-to-head history is music to my ears too. Bournemouth has NEVER lost to Forest in 9 meetings (5W-4D-0L), and the last encounter was a 5-0 demolition job! Both teams have scored in 67% of their matchups, which tells me even when Forest show up, they tend to concede. The numbers don't lie here, my friends. The goal expectancies show 1.68 for Bournemouth and 0.92 for Forest - that's 2.60 expected goals. The market consensus gives Over 2.5 a 72.17% chance, and with odds of 1.87, we're looking at some serious value! Forest's away form is particularly concerning for their fans but delightful for us Over enthusiasts. They're averaging exactly 1.0 goal scored but 2.2 conceded on their travels. That's a recipe for goal fests, and Bournemouth's attacking form suggests they'll be more than happy to contribute to the party. Look, I'm all about excitement, goals, and action - and this match delivers on all fronts. Bournemouth's free-scoring form combined with Forest's defensive shambles makes this an absolute must-bet for Over 2.5 goals. Life's too short for boring 0-0s, and this game promises anything but!

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📝 Match Preview

Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest: Home Advantage Key
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.76
Expected Value:+26.7%

This Premier League clash presents a stark contrast in form and league positioning. Bournemouth sits impressively in 4th place with 15 points from 8 games, having lost just once all season. Their recent form shows resilience with draws against Crystal Palace (3-3) and Leeds (2-2), plus solid victories over Fulham (3-1) and Brighton (2-1). At home, they maintain a respectable 50% win rate. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, languish in 18th position with a mere 5 points. Their form is deeply concerning - winless in their last 10 games with 7 defeats. Recent results include a 0-3 home loss to Chelsea and a 0-2 defeat at Newcastle. Away from home, Forest's record is particularly dire with 0 wins from their last 5 away matches, scoring just 1 goal per game while conceding 2.2. The head-to-head record heavily favors Bournemouth, who remain unbeaten in 9 meetings against Forest (5 wins, 4 draws). Their last encounter ended in a convincing 5-0 victory for Bournemouth. Statistical analysis reveals Bournemouth averages 1.5 goals scored per game compared to Forest's meager 0.7. defensively, Bournemouth concede 1.4 per game while Forest leak 2.1. The goal expectancy model projects Bournemouth to score 1.68 goals to Forest's 0.92. Given Bournemouth's strong league position, excellent home form, Forest's abysmal away record, and the comprehensive head-to-head dominance, all indicators point toward a home victory. While the odds of 1.76 may seem modest, they represent genuine value given the overwhelming evidence supporting Bournemouth's success.

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📝 Match Preview

The Force of Form: Bournemouth's Path to Victory
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.76
Expected Value:+14.4%

Much to learn, Nottingham Forest has. The force of momentum, powerful it is. In the grand theater of the Premier League, two paths diverge - one ascending toward the light, one descending into shadow. Bournemouth, fourth in the league they stand, with 15 points from 8 games. A testament to consistency, their form has been. Unbeaten in their last five league encounters, with victories over Fulham (3-1) and Brighton (2-1), and draws against Crystal Palace (3-3) and Leeds (2-2). At home, strong they are - 50% win rate, with only 0.83 goals conceded per game on their own soil. Nottingham Forest, however, consumed by the dark side of poor form they have been. Eighteenth in the table, with but 5 points from 8 games. Ten games they have played, yet victorious in none they have been. Seven defeats, three draws - a path of suffering this is. Recent results tell the tale: 0-3 against Chelsea, 0-2 at Newcastle, 0-1 versus Sunderland. Away from home, winless they remain. The history between these two, revealing it is. Nine times they have met, five times Bournemouth has triumphed, four times shared the spoils, and never has Nottingham Forest emerged victorious. The last encounter, a 5-0 statement it was. In the realm of statistics, clarity we find. Bournemouth scores 1.5 goals per game, concedes 1.4. Nottingham Forest manages but 0.7 goals scored, while 2.1 they concede. The force of attacking intent favors the home side, as does the weakness of Forest's defense. Patience in betting, wise it is. But some truths, undeniable they are. The momentum, the form, the historical dominance - all point toward one outcome. The force is strong with Bournemouth in this encounter.

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📝 Match Preview

Cherries Ready to Pick Off Struggling Forest
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.76
Expected Value:+14.4%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down the Vitality Stadium. Bournemouth are flying high in 4th place with just one loss all season, while Forest are propping up the table in 18th - it's proper chalk and cheese stuff! The Cherries have been decent at home, winning half their games and scoring for fun. That 3-3 thriller with Crystal Palace shows they're not afraid to have a go, and they've put three past Fulham and two past Brighton in recent weeks. They're averaging 1.5 goals per game, which ain't bad at this level. Forest, on the other hand, are in a right old state away from home. Zero wins on their travels, conceding over two goals per game, and barely managing a goal themselves. They've shipped three against Chelsea, two against Newcastle, and even got done by Swansea in the cup. Their recent form reads like a horror story: seven losses in their last ten games. Here's the killer stat though - Bournemouth have NEVER lost to Forest in nine meetings. Five wins and four draws, and that last meeting was a 5-0 hammering! Forest just can't handle the Cherries, simple as that. The goal expectancy has Bournemouth scoring 1.68 goals to Forest's 0.92, which tells you everything you need to know about where this one's heading. Forest are leaking goals like a sieve and Bournemouth are bang in form. Both teams to score at 1.81 might tempt some, given Bournemouth have kept only 30% clean sheets this season. But when you look at Forest's away form - just 0.7 goals per game on their travels - you'd be brave to back them finding the net. The over 2.5 goals at 1.87 looks decent value, especially with Bournemouth's recent high-scoring games and Forest's defensive nightmares. But for me, the home win is the banker here. Bournemouth are in great form, at home, against a team that can't win away and has a shocking defensive record. The odds of 1.76 might not set the world on fire, but they represent proper value in my book. Sometimes the best bets are the straightforward ones! Key Points: - Bournemouth flying high in 4th vs Forest struggling in 18th - Forest haven't won a single away game this season - Bournemouth unbeaten in 9 meetings with Forest (5W, 4D) - Last meeting ended 5-0 to Bournemouth - Forest conceding 2.1 goals per game away from home - Bournemouth averaging 1.5 goals per game overall Summary: This looks like a straightforward home win to me. Bournemouth are in form, at home, against a team that's terrible on the road and has a shocking defensive record. The head-to-head tells its own story too - Forest just don't know how to beat the Cherries. At 1.76, I'm happy to back the home side here.

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