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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Brighton vs Leeds

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time3:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

11'
D. Welbeck⚽
Normal Goal → M. Wieffer
60'
S. Longstaff🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Stach
61'
A. Tanaka🔄
Substitution 2 → D. James
64'
D. Gomez⚽
Normal Goal
65'
D. Calvert-Lewin🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Nmecha
70'
D. Gomez⚽
Normal Goal → Y. Minteh
73'
Ethan Ampadu🟨
Yellow Card
77'
J. Bogle🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Justin
77'
N. Okafor🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Harrison
81'
D. Gomez🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Watson
82'
D. Welbeck🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Tzimas
88'
Y. Minteh🔄
Substitution 3 → C. Kostoulas
90+4'
Y. Ayari🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Knight
90+4'
G. Rutter🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Oriola

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots6
2Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox4
6Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls7
4Corner Kicks7
3Offsides1
50Ball Possession50
0Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
479Total passes466
420Passes accurate406
88Passes %87
2.99expected_goals0.46
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonWon

Seagulls Ready to Feast on Leeds

The pickBrighton win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.89
Model EV
+22.9%

Right then, let's fire up the BBQ and get stuck into this one! Brighton hosting Leeds at home, and I'm licking my chops at this matchup. The Seagulls have been scoring for fun lately - 25 goals in their last 10 games, averaging 2.5 per game! Sure, they've had a couple of rough…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected When Brighton Hosts Leeds

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.87
Model EV
+12.2%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is here to tell you why this Brighton vs Leeds clash is going to be anything but boring. Let's talk numbers, and these numbers are making me excited! Brighton have been absolutely explosive recently, averaging 2.50 goals per game over their last…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Brighton

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Leeds

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Brighton at home vs Leeds away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+176Brighton
Venue edge
+204Brighton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Brighton versus Leeds: long term Elo, before the match
BrightonHomeRatingLeedsAway
Strength
1,637Overall1,461
1,631Match venue1,426
1,631At home1,508
1,550Away1,426
Attack & defence
1,607Attack1,486
1,546Defence1,475
1,558Home attack1,481
1,577Away attack1,486
1,565Home defence1,498
1,525Away defence1,459
Match profile
1,695Goal environment1,728
1,570Home goals1,570
1,625Away goals1,658
1,497Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,523Set-piece attack1,512
1,522Set-piece defence1,511
1,602Close games1,487
1,647Winning margin1,447

Match venue compares Brighton at home with Leeds away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1Bart VerbruggenG
24Ferdi KadıoğluD
26Yasin AyariM
25Diego GómezM
18Danny WelbeckF
5Lewis DunkD
17Carlos BalebaM
10Georginio RutterM
6Jan Paul van HeckeD
11Yankuba MintehM
27Mats WiefferD

LeedsLeeds1:1

Starting XI

1Lucas PerriG
3Gabriel GudmundssonD
4Ethan AmpaduM
19Noah OkaforM
9Dominic Calvert-LewinF
15Jaka BijolD
22Ao TanakaM
6Joe RodonD
8Sean LongstaffM
2Jayden BogleD
11Brenden AaronsonM