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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Crystal Palace vs Brentford

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

30'
J. Mateta⚽
Normal Goal → J. Lerma
34'
Kevin Schade🟨
Yellow Card
51'
N. Collins⚽
Own Goal → J. Lerma
67'
M. Kayode🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Lewis-Potter
68'
M. Damsgaard🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Jensen
68'
Y. Yarmolyuk🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Janelt
75'
D. Ouattara🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Nelson
78'
Y. Pino🔄
Substitution 1 → W. Hughes
78'
D. Kamada🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Devenny
79'
Jordan Henderson🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Nathan Collins🟨
Yellow Card
86'
J. Henderson🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Carvalho
90'
J. Mateta🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Canvot

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal2
9Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls11
6Corner Kicks5
1Offsides3
36Ball Possession64
0Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
262Total passes489
173Passes accurate387
66Passes %79
0.72expected_goals0.54
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (6)

Mr CertaintyLost

Palace vs Brentford: Both Teams To Score Analysis

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.68
Model EV
+17.6%

This Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brentford presents a fascinating study in contrasting form and venue dynamics. Both sides sit level on 13 points in the table, but their recent trajectories tell different stories. Crystal Palace comes into this match with…

PajimonLost

Brentford To Stroll At Selhurst Park?

The pickBrentford win

Chance
55%
Odds
4.18
Model EV
+129.9%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this one! Crystal Palace and Brentford are dead level on 13 points in the league, but that's where the similarities end, my bru. Palace have been proper Jekyll and Hyde lately. They smashed Liverpool 3-0 away in the cup…

The Big "O"Lost

Palace vs Brentford: Goal Fest on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.86
Model EV
+7.9%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O here, and I'm rubbing my hands together for this Saturday showdown at Selhurst Park. When you look at the numbers, this match has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest - exactly what I live for! Let's talk about Brentford's away form first…

Umery UnderdogLost

Brentford Ready to Bark at Selhurst Park

The pickBrentford win

Chance
28%
Odds
4.18
Model EV
+17.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes might be on the home side, my attention is firmly fixed on those wonderful underdogs from Brentford. Let me tell you why the Bees are buzzing with value this Saturday! Crystal Palace may have home advantage, but their…

Mr SimpleLost

London Derby: Both Teams To Score?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.68
Model EV
+9.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this London derby between Crystal Palace and Brentford. Both sides are neck and neck in the table on 13 points each, so we're in for a proper scrap at Selhurst Park. Palace have been a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They had that…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Crystal Palace

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Brentford

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Crystal Palace at home vs Brentford away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+35Crystal Palace
Venue edge
+63Crystal Palace
Rating period
Match snapshot
Crystal Palace versus Brentford: long term Elo, before the match
Crystal PalaceHomeRatingBrentfordAway
Strength
1,655Overall1,620
1,579Match venue1,516
1,579At home1,594
1,582Away1,516
Attack & defence
1,552Attack1,571
1,630Defence1,553
1,509Home attack1,580
1,516Away attack1,514
1,591Home defence1,509
1,627Away defence1,553
Match profile
1,582Goal environment1,742
1,473Home goals1,638
1,608Away goals1,603
1,488Possession1,484
Specialist ratings
1,480Set-piece attack1,514
1,480Set-piece defence1,514
1,543Close games1,550
1,687Winning margin1,638

Match venue compares Crystal Palace at home with Brentford away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
6Marc GuéhiD
3Tyrick MitchellM
10Yéremy PinoF
14Jean-Philippe MatetaF
5Maxence LacroixD
18Daichi KamadaM
7Ismaïla SarrF
26Chris RichardsD
8Jefferson LermaM
2Daniel MuñozM

BrentfordBrentford1:1

Starting XI

1Caoimhin KelleherG
20Kristoffer AjerD
6Jordan HendersonM
7Kevin SchadeM
9Igor ThiagoF
4Sepp van den BergD
18Yehor YarmolyukM
24Mikkel DamsgaardM
22Nathan CollinsD
19Dango OuattaraM
33Michael KayodeD