Sat, 1 Nov 2025, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

30'
J. Mateta
Normal Goal → J. Lerma
34'
Kevin Schade🟨
Yellow Card
51'
N. Collins
Own Goal → J. Lerma
67'
M. Kayode🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Lewis-Potter
68'
M. Damsgaard🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Jensen
68'
Y. Yarmolyuk🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Janelt
75'
D. Ouattara🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Nelson
78'
Y. Pino🔄
Substitution 1 → W. Hughes
78'
D. Kamada🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Devenny
79'
Jordan Henderson🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Nathan Collins🟨
Yellow Card
86'
J. Henderson🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Carvalho
90'
J. Mateta🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Canvot

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal2
9Total Shots6
4Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox2
3Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls11
6Corner Kicks5
1Offsides3
36Ball Possession64
0Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
262Total passes489
173Passes accurate387
66Passes %79
0.72expected_goals0.54
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
6Marc GuéhiD
3Tyrick MitchellM
10Yéremy PinoF
14Jean-Philippe MatetaF
5Maxence LacroixD
18Daichi KamadaM
7Ismaïla SarrF
26Chris RichardsD
8Jefferson LermaM
2Daniel MuñozM

BrentfordBrentford1:1

Starting XI

1Caoimhin KelleherG
20Kristoffer AjerD
6Jordan HendersonM
7Kevin SchadeM
9Igor ThiagoF
4Sepp van den BergD
18Yehor YarmolyukM
24Mikkel DamsgaardM
22Nathan CollinsD
19Dango OuattaraM
33Michael KayodeD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Form: W-L-L-D-L
Brentford
Brentford
Form: W-W-W-L-W
Record
4 W
3 D
3 L
5 W
2 D
3 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
vs
1.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:1.6
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:0.8
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1579
Average
1594
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1653
↑ Momentum (+74)
1640
↑ Momentum (+47)
Expected Outcome
32%
Home Win
34%
Draw
34%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1509
Attack
1580
1630
Defence
1553
Recent Form
1538
Attack
1611
1637
Defence
1560
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Palace vs Brentford: Both Teams To Score Analysis
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.68
Expected Value:+17.6%

This Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Brentford presents a fascinating study in contrasting form and venue dynamics. Both sides sit level on 13 points in the table, but their recent trajectories tell different stories. Crystal Palace comes into this match with concerning home form, having won just 20% of their last five matches at their own ground. Their recent results show inconsistency - while they secured an impressive 3-0 victory at Liverpool in the League Cup, they've also suffered defeats to Arsenal and AEK Larnaca. Palace's attack has been declining recently, with their 3-game moving average showing just 1.00 goal scored per game. However, they do average 1.20 goals at home and have kept clean sheets in 30% of their matches overall. Brentford, meanwhile, arrives with momentum and excellent away form. They've won 60% of their last five away matches and are scoring freely, averaging 2.20 goals per game on the road. Their recent performances include a thrilling 3-2 victory over Liverpool and a convincing 2-0 win at West Ham. Brentford's attack is clearly improving, with their 3-game moving average showing 3.33 goals scored per game. The head-to-head record between these sides is remarkably tight, with five draws in eight meetings. Crucially, both teams have found the net in 75% of their previous encounters, including in both meetings last season. Brentford has won the last two matchups 2-1. Looking at the goal expectations, Palace's defensive record at home (1.20 goals conceded per game) combined with Brentford's potent away attack (2.20 goals scored per game) suggests goals are likely. At the same time, Palace does score at home (1.20 goals per game) while Brentford concedes 1.00 goals per game away. The statistical trends point toward both teams scoring, with Palace's home games seeing both teams score 70% of the time recently, and Brentford's away matches showing a 60% BTTS rate. Given Brentford's attacking form and Palace's need to respond at home, this appears the most probable outcome.

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📝 Match Preview

Brentford To Stroll At Selhurst Park?
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.18
Expected Value:+129.9%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this one! Crystal Palace and Brentford are dead level on 13 points in the league, but that's where the similarities end, my bru. Palace have been proper Jekyll and Hyde lately. They smashed Liverpool 3-0 away in the cup, which was brilliant, but then lost 1-0 at home to AEK Larnaca and 0-1 to Arsenal. Their home form is worrying - only 20% wins at Selhurst this season! They're averaging just 1.20 goals per game at home, which is like ordering a steak without the meat - just doesn't make sense! Brentford, on the other hand, are cooking with gas away from home. 60% win rate on their travels and scoring 2.20 goals per game away - that's what I'm talking about! They just put 5 past Grimsby, beat Liverpool 3-2, and won 2-0 at West Ham. Their form is improving while Palace's is declining, and that tells you everything you need to know. Head-to-head these two are usually tight, but Brentford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. The stats don't lie here - Brentford score more goals (2.00 vs 1.40 per game), have better away form than Palace's home form, and are riding the momentum wave. Palace take more shots but Brentford are more clinical (42.9% vs 35.8% accuracy). It's like the difference between a proper braai master and someone who burns the boerewors - quality over quantity every time! With Brentford's extra day of rest and their attacking firepower, I'm backing them to take all three points here. The odds of 4.18 are an absolute gift for a team with such strong away form against a side struggling at home.

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📝 Match Preview

Palace vs Brentford: Goal Fest on the Cards?
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.86
Expected Value:+7.9%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O here, and I'm rubbing my hands together for this Saturday showdown at Selhurst Park. When you look at the numbers, this match has all the ingredients for a proper goal-fest - exactly what I live for! Let's talk about Brentford's away form first. These bees are buzzing on their travels, averaging a whopping 2.20 goals per game away from home! They've been absolutely relentless recently, putting five past Grimsby in the League Cup and three past Liverpool in the Premier League. That's the kind of attacking firepower that gets my juices flowing! Crystal Palace at home have been a bit of a mixed bag, but they're certainly not shy about getting involved in high-scoring affairs. Remember that 3-3 thriller against Bournemouth? Or the 2-1 victory over Liverpool? Palace know how to entertain, and their home games have been averaging 2.40 goals per game when you combine their scoring and conceding. The head-to-head history tells us these teams don't do boring - both teams have found the net in 75% of their 8 meetings. Recent encounters have seen scores like 3-1, 2-1, and 1-1, suggesting these sides tend to cancel each other out defensively while still creating chances. What really catches my eye is the goal expectancy of 2.80 for this match. That's well above the 2.5 line, and with Brentford's away attack averaging over two goals per game, I'm expecting plenty of action in both boxes. Palace might be inconsistent, but they're capable of contributing to the goal party, especially at home where they've scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches. The odds of 1.86 for Over 2.5 goals look tasty to me. Given Brentford's scoring form and Palace's tendency to be involved in open games, I'm seeing real value here. This isn't just about numbers - it's about two teams who prefer attacking football over defensive snoozefests, and that's exactly my kind of match!

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📝 Match Preview

Brentford Ready to Bark at Selhurst Park
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.18
Expected Value:+17.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes might be on the home side, my attention is firmly fixed on those wonderful underdogs from Brentford. Let me tell you why the Bees are buzzing with value this Saturday! Crystal Palace may have home advantage, but their recent form at Selhurst Park has been rather concerning. They've managed just one win in their last five home matches, scoring a mere 1.2 goals per game on their own patch. Their recent trend shows declining performance, with their 3-game moving average sitting at just 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 point per game. They've struggled against quality opposition too, losing 0-1 to Arsenal and 0-1 to AEK Larnaca in their recent outings. Now, let's talk about our lovely underdogs! Brentford have been absolutely fantastic recently, with their performance trends showing improvement across the board. They're scoring goals for fun right now - averaging 2.00 goals per game overall and an impressive 2.20 on their travels. Their away form is particularly strong, with a 60% win rate in their last five away matches. Just look at their recent results: a 3-2 triumph over Liverpool, a 0-2 victory at West Ham, and a 5-0 demolition of Grimsby in the League Cup. These puppies are full of confidence! The head-to-head record also gives us hope. While Palace have a slight edge historically, their home record against Brentford is just 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The last meeting ended in a 2-1 victory for Brentford, and both teams have scored in 6 out of their 8 encounters. With Brentford's attacking prowess and Palace's defensive vulnerabilities at home, we could be in for another goal-filled affair. The odds of 4.18 for a Brentford win represent fantastic value for a team in such good form. Palace are favorites by reputation rather than recent results, and that's exactly where we underdog lovers find our value!

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📝 Match Preview

Palace's Home Woes Meet Brentford's Away Power
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.68
Expected Value:+9.2%

In the grand tapestry of the Premier League, two forces of equal points yet different momentum converge. Crystal Palace, sitting tenth with 13 points, welcomes Brentford, eleventh with the same tally. But numbers, you see, tell only part of the story. The home side, hmm, struggles in their own domain. A mere 20% win rate in their last five home encounters, with goals flowing at just 1.20 per game. Recent form shows a decline - goals scored trending downward, points following the same path. Yet they possess the power to surprise, having vanquished Liverpool twice in recent memory, both 2-1 victories that speak to their potential. Brentford, ah, they arrive with different energy. Their away form, strong it is - 60% win rate on the road, with 2.20 goals per game flowing from their boots. Recent victories over Liverpool (3-2) and Manchester United (3-1) demonstrate their attacking prowess. The trends, they improve - goals scored rising, points climbing upward. When these two have met, tight battles usually follow. Eight encounters: Palace one victory, five draws, two Brentford wins. But the last two meetings, Brentford prevailed 2-1 on both occasions. Importantly, in six of their eight clashes, both teams found the net. The goal expectancy speaks of 2.80 total goals, with Brentford favored to score 1.70 to Palace's 1.10. Palace averages 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game recently. Brentford averages 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams, you see, have shown they can score and concede. In football, as in life, balance is key. Here, the balance of attack and defense suggests both will score. Palace, despite home struggles, finds ways to score. Brentford, despite occasional defensive lapses, scores freely. The pattern of their meetings reinforces this wisdom. Key Points: • Brentford boasts 60% away win rate vs Palace's 20% home win rate • Both teams score in 50% of Palace's recent games and 60% of Brentford's • 6 of 8 head-to-head meetings saw both teams score • Brentford scores 2.20 away goals vs Palace's 1.20 home goals • Expected total goals: 2.80 The force of both teams scoring, strong it is in this matchup. Value, you will find in acknowledging both sides' attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.

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📝 Match Preview

London Derby: Both Teams To Score?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.68
Expected Value:+9.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this London derby between Crystal Palace and Brentford. Both sides are neck and neck in the table on 13 points each, so we're in for a proper scrap at Selhurst Park. Palace have been a bit of a mixed bag lately, haven't they? They had that brilliant 3-0 win at Liverpool in the League Cup - top drawer stuff - but then followed it up with a 1-0 loss to Arsenal and surprisingly got turned over 0-1 at home by AEK Larnaca. That 3-3 draw with Bournemouth at the Palace tells you everything you need to know about their defensive vulnerabilities - they can score but they're also a bit leaky at the back. Their home form's been shaky, with only one win in their last five on their own patch. Brentford, on the other hand, are absolutely flying! They've been banging in goals for fun - 5-0 at Grimsby, 3-2 against Liverpool at home, 2-0 at West Ham. They're averaging 2 goals per game and look dangerous every time they go forward. Their away form's been decent too, winning 3 of their last 5 on the road and scoring 2.2 goals per game away from home. When these two have met in the past, it's been tight as a drum. Out of 8 meetings, there's only been 1 win for Palace, 5 draws, and 2 for Brentford. But here's the stat that catches my eye - both teams have scored in 6 of those 8 meetings. That's a pattern I like. The stats show Brentford are more clinical in front of goal - better shot accuracy and they're making their chances count. Palace might have more possession but they're not turning it into goals as effectively. Both teams are coming into this off the back of midweek cup action, so fatigue could play a part, but Brentford have had an extra day's rest which might just give them the edge. Key Points: - Both teams level on 13 points in the Premier League table - Palace's home form: only 1 win in last 5 at Selhurst Park - Brentford scoring 2.2 goals per game away from home - Both teams have scored in 6 of 8 previous meetings - Palace conceding in 4 of their last 5 home matches - Brentford averaging 2 goals per game overall this season Given Palace's defensive issues at home and Brentford's attacking firepower, plus the history of both teams finding the net in their meetings, I'm backing both teams to score here. The stats and recent form all point towards goals at both ends in this London derby.

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