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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

14'
Douglas Luiz🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Yates
34'
Casemiro⚽
Normal Goal → B. Fernandes
48'
M. Gibbs-White⚽
Normal Goal → R. Yates
50'
N. Savona⚽
Normal Goal
62'
Dan Ndoye🟨
Yellow Card
68'
D. Dalot🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Dorgu
77'
L. Yoro🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Mazraoui
78'
Igor Jesus🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Awoniyi
81'
A. Diallo⚽
Normal Goal
85'
Noussair Mazraoui🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
C. Hudson-Odoi🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Sangare

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal6
17Total Shots18
6Blocked Shots5
11Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox11
17Fouls0
8Corner Kicks5
2Offsides1
41Ball Possession59
1Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
343Total passes514
257Passes accurate434
75Passes %84
1.92expected_goals1.15
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Mr CertaintyWon

United's Attack vs Forest's Defence: BTTS Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
68%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+10.2%

This Premier League clash presents a clear mismatch in form and quality, with Manchester United arriving at the City Ground in stark contrast to Nottingham Forest's struggles. The visitors sit 6th in the table with 16 points from 9 games, while Forest languish in 18th position…

PajimonLost

United to Feast on Struggling Forest

The pickManchester United win

Chance
65%
Odds
2.16
Model EV
+40.4%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where one team brought the meat and the other brought... well, nothing! Nottingham Forest are in a proper pickle, sitting 18th in the league with only 5 points from 9 games. They've been leaking goals like a sieve, conceding 2 per game…

The Big "O"Won

Goal Fest Expected at City Ground

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.79
Model EV
+7.4%

Alright, let's talk about what really matters - goals, goals, and more goals! This match has all the ingredients for a proper thriller, and The Big O is getting excited just looking at the numbers. Nottingham Forest have been about as solid as a chocolate teapot defensively…

Umery UnderdogLost

Forest Ready to Bark Against United

The pickNottingham Forest win

Chance
30%
Odds
3.50
Model EV
+5.0%

Oh, what a delightful opportunity we have here! Everyone will be looking at the league table and seeing Manchester United sitting pretty in 6th place, while our little Nottingham Forest pups are struggling down in 18th. But that's exactly where the value hides, my friends! Let's…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Forest's Dark Path vs United's Rising Force

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Hmmm, much to ponder in this encounter. The Force flows weakly through Nottingham Forest, who find themselves adrift at the bottom of the Premier League table. With but 5 points from 9 games, their journey grows darker still. Recent form tells a tale of struggle - only one…

Value VinnyWon

Forest vs United: Goal-Fest Value on the Cards

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
61%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+5.5%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Nottingham Forest are in dire straits - 18th in the table with just 5 points from 9 games, and their recent form reads like a horror story: 1 win, 2 draws, 7 losses in their last 10. They're leaking goals at an…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nottingham Forest

1W 2D 7L0.50 pts/game

Manchester United

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Nottingham Forest at home vs Manchester United away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+65Manchester United
Venue edge
+17Manchester United
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nottingham Forest versus Manchester United: long term Elo, before the match
Nottingham ForestHomeRatingManchester UnitedAway
Strength
1,534Overall1,599
1,526Match venue1,543
1,526At home1,623
1,516Away1,543
Attack & defence
1,471Attack1,535
1,538Defence1,563
1,463Home attack1,545
1,504Away attack1,493
1,562Home defence1,567
1,500Away defence1,562
Match profile
1,625Goal environment1,900
1,522Home goals1,712
1,603Away goals1,688
1,507Possession1,500
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,486
1,500Set-piece defence1,487
1,537Close games1,576
1,525Winning margin1,607

Match venue compares Nottingham Forest at home with Manchester United away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26Matz SelsG
3Neco WilliamsD
8Elliot AndersonM
7Callum Hudson-OdoiM
19Igor JesusF
5MurilloD
12Douglas LuizM
10Morgan Gibbs-WhiteM
31Nikola MilenkovićD
14Dan NdoyeM
37Nicolò SavonaD

Manchester UnitedManchester United1:1

Starting XI

31Senne LammensG
23Luke ShawD
2Diogo DalotM
10Matheus CunhaF
30Benjamin ŠeškoF
4Matthijs de LigtD
8Bruno FernandesM
19Bryan MbeumoF
15Leny YoroD
18CasemiroM
16Amad DialloM