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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Crystal Palace vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

60'
Carlos Baleba🟨
Yellow Card
63'
Georginio Rutter
Penalty cancelled
65'
Georginio Rutter🟨
Yellow Card
66'
A. Wharton🔄
Substitution 1 → Y. Pino
75'
G. Rutter🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Kostoulas
75'
C. Baleba🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Veltman
83'
D. Kamada🔄
Substitution 2 → W. Hughes
85'
D. Welbeck🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Tzimas
85'
D. Gomez🔄
Substitution 4 → M. De Cuyper
90+1'
Jefferson Lerma🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Jan Paul van Hecke🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Joël Veltman🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
10Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots3
8Shots insidebox5
2Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls12
4Corner Kicks8
2Offsides1
42Ball Possession58
1Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
367Total passes499
267Passes accurate419
73Passes %84
0.74expected_goals0.38
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

PajimonLost

Palace vs Brighton: Both Teams to Score?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and look at this cracking matchup! Crystal Palace and Brighton are neck and neck in the table, just one point separating these two sides. Palace sitting pretty in 9th with 16 points, while Brighton are right behind them in 10th with 15…

Umery UnderdogLost

Brighton Ready to Bark at Selhurst Park

The pickBrighton win

Chance
35%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+8.5%

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here! Two teams sitting pretty in mid-table, but I've got my eye on one particular underdog that might just surprise everyone. Let me tell you why Brighton could be the little puppy that bites back! Crystal Palace have been quite…

Value VinnyLost

Palace vs Brighton: BTTS Value Bet Analysis

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
75%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+21.5%

Let's cut through the noise and hunt for value in this south coast derby. The bookies have got this one wrong, and I'm here to exploit it. Both sides arrive in identical form (1.70 PPG over last 10), but the story's in the details. Palace have been solid defensively at home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Crystal Palace

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Brighton

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Crystal Palace at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+24Crystal Palace
Venue edge
+39Crystal Palace
Rating period
Match snapshot
Crystal Palace versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
Crystal PalaceHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,670Overall1,646
1,589Match venue1,550
1,589At home1,637
1,582Away1,550
Attack & defence
1,557Attack1,617
1,642Defence1,558
1,516Home attack1,569
1,516Away attack1,577
1,602Home defence1,577
1,627Away defence1,525
Match profile
1,580Goal environment1,697
1,472Home goals1,572
1,608Away goals1,625
1,485Possession1,497
Specialist ratings
1,483Set-piece attack1,518
1,483Set-piece defence1,518
1,543Close games1,602
1,705Winning margin1,659

Match venue compares Crystal Palace at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace1:1

Starting XI

1Dean HendersonG
23Jaydee CanvotD
3Tyrick MitchellM
18Daichi KamadaF
14Jean-Philippe MatetaF
5Maxence LacroixD
8Jefferson LermaM
7Ismaïla SarrF
26Chris RichardsD
20Adam WhartonM
2Daniel MuñozM

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1Bart VerbruggenG
24Ferdi KadıoğluD
26Yasin AyariM
25Diego GómezM
18Danny WelbeckF
5Lewis DunkD
17Carlos BalebaM
10Georginio RutterM
6Jan Paul van HeckeD
11Yankuba MintehM
27Mats WiefferD