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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Nottingham Forest vs Leeds

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time3:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

13'
L. Nmecha⚽
Normal Goal → B. Aaronson
15'
I. Sangare⚽
Normal Goal
33'
Ibrahim Sangaré🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Murillo🟨
Yellow Card
59'
Igor Jesus🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Awoniyi
59'
N. Dominguez🔄
Substitution 2 → O. Hutchinson
59'
I. Sangare🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Yates
68'
M. Gibbs-White⚽
Normal Goal → O. Hutchinson
71'
Sean Longstaff🟨
Yellow Card
74'
B. Aaronson🔄
Substitution 1 → D. James
74'
S. Longstaff🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Piroe
74'
L. Nmecha🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Calvert-Lewin
82'
J. Bijol🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Struijk
82'
G. Gudmundsson🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Harrison
88'
M. Gibbs-White🔄
Substitution 4 → Morato
90'
E. Anderson
Penalty

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
2Shots off Goal5
14Total Shots10
6Blocked Shots2
10Shots insidebox5
4Shots outsidebox5
10Fouls11
6Corner Kicks4
2Offsides1
46Ball Possession54
2Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
347Total passes424
276Passes accurate343
80Passes %81
2.47expected_goals0.69
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Battle of the Struggling Forces

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
53%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+6.0%

In the grand theater of football, two teams find themselves at the crossroads of destiny. Nottingham Forest, rooted at the bottom of the Premier League with but 6 points from 10 games, face Leeds, who hover precariously in 16th place with 11 points. The Force of form appears…

The Big "O"Won

Bottom-Table Battle Set For Goal Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
55%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+10.0%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm rubbing my hands together for this one! When you've got two teams struggling at the wrong end of the table, you know what that means - desperate times call for desperate measures, and that usually means GOALS! Nottingham Forest are rock…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nottingham Forest

1W 4D 5L0.70 pts/game

Leeds

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Nottingham Forest at home vs Leeds away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+84Nottingham Forest
Venue edge
+106Nottingham Forest
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nottingham Forest versus Leeds: long term Elo, before the match
Nottingham ForestHomeRatingLeedsAway
Strength
1,537Overall1,453
1,526Match venue1,420
1,526At home1,508
1,516Away1,420
Attack & defence
1,480Attack1,474
1,533Defence1,466
1,472Home attack1,481
1,504Away attack1,474
1,554Home defence1,498
1,500Away defence1,449
Match profile
1,630Goal environment1,730
1,527Home goals1,570
1,603Away goals1,660
1,505Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,503Set-piece attack1,516
1,503Set-piece defence1,516
1,539Close games1,487
1,529Winning margin1,435

Match venue compares Nottingham Forest at home with Leeds away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26Matz SelsG
3Neco WilliamsD
8Elliot AndersonM
16Nicolás DomínguezM
19Igor JesusF
5MurilloD
6Ibrahim SangaréM
10Morgan Gibbs-WhiteM
31Nikola MilenkovićD
14Dan NdoyeM
37Nicolò SavonaD

LeedsLeeds1:1

Starting XI

1Lucas PerriG
3Gabriel GudmundssonD
4Ethan AmpaduM
19Noah OkaforM
14Lukas NmechaF
15Jaka BijolD
18Anton StachM
6Joe RodonD
8Sean LongstaffM
2Jayden BogleD
11Brenden AaronsonM