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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Nottingham Forest vs Brighton

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

44'
Mats Wieffer🟨
Yellow Card
45'
M. De Cuyper⚽
Normal Goal
46'
N. DominguezπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ C. Hudson-Odoi
46'
D. NdoyeπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ O. Hutchinson
56'
G. RutterπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ J. Hinshelwood
65'
D. WelbeckπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. Tzimas
74'
I. SangareπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ R. Yates
75'
Igor JesusπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ A. Kalimuendo
84'
Y. MintehπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ B. Gruda
84'
M. De CuyperπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. Baleba
84'
D. GomezπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ J. Veltman
85'
M. Gibbs-WhiteπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ J. McAtee
88'
S. Tzimas⚽
Normal Goal

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal5
19Total Shots17
10Blocked Shots6
13Shots insidebox11
6Shots outsidebox6
11Fouls10
9Corner Kicks2
1Offsides0
51Ball Possession49
0Yellow Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
460Total passes453
383Passes accurate375
83Passes %83
0.71expected_goals1.53
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

Mr SimpleLost

Forest vs Brighton: Goals Galore on the Cards?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
62%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+18.4%

Right then, let's have a proper gander at this Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Brighton. On paper, there's a right old gap between these two - Forest are down in 16th spot with just 12 points, while Brighton are sitting pretty in 6th with 19 points. But…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nottingham Forest

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Brighton

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Nottingham Forest at home vs Brighton away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match Β· within Premier League

Overall edge
+89Brighton
Venue edge
+17Brighton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nottingham Forest versus Brighton: long term Elo, before the match
Nottingham ForestHomeRatingBrightonAway
Strength
1,572Overall1,662
1,535Match venue1,552
1,535At home1,645
1,537Away1,552
Attack & defence
1,513Attack1,606
1,555Defence1,577
1,486Home attack1,573
1,525Away attack1,563
1,556Home defence1,578
1,521Away defence1,539
Match profile
1,637Goal environment1,690
1,532Home goals1,573
1,605Away goals1,617
1,499Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,503Set-piece attack1,526
1,503Set-piece defence1,525
1,539Close games1,612
1,584Winning margin1,677

Match venue compares Nottingham Forest at home with Brighton away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest1:1

Starting XI

26M. SelsG
3N. WilliamsD
8E. AndersonM
16N. DominguezM
19Igor JesusF
4MoratoD
6I. SangareM
10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
31N. MilenkovicD
14D. NdoyeM
37N. SavonaD

BrightonBrighton1:1

Starting XI

1B. VerbruggenG
24F. KadiogluD
26Y. AyariM
29M. De CuyperM
18D. WelbeckF
5L. DunkD
25D. GomezM
10G. RutterM
6J. P. van HeckeD
11Y. MintehM
27M. WiefferD