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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Newcastle vs Tottenham

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Full time2:2HT 0–0

Match Timeline

23'
Cristian Romero🟨
Yellow Card
46'
S. Tonali🔄
Substitution 1 → Bruno Guimaraes
56'
Rodrigo Bentancur🟨
Yellow Card
66'
H. Barnes🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Gordon
66'
J. Murphy🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Elanga
71'
Bruno Guimaraes⚽
Normal Goal → N. Woltemade
77'
L. Bergvall🔄
Substitution 1 → X. Simons
77'
R. Kolo Muani🔄
Substitution 2 → Richarlison
77'
B. Johnson🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Tel
78'
C. Romero⚽
Normal Goal → M. Kudus
83'
Dan Burn
Penalty confirmed
86'
Richarlison🟨
Yellow Card
86'
A. Gordon
Penalty
87'
P. M. Sarr🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Gray
87'
M. Kudus🔄
Substitution 5 → W. Odobert
90'
C. Romero⚽
Normal Goal
90+3'
L. Miley🔄
Substitution 4 → F. Schar

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal1
19Total Shots8
7Blocked Shots5
13Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox1
5Fouls12
11Corner Kicks8
3Offsides1
53Ball Possession47
0Yellow Cards3
0Goalkeeper Saves4
440Total passes388
377Passes accurate313
86Passes %81
2.04expected_goals0.75
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Newcastle to Dominate Tottenham at Home

The pickNewcastle win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Listen up boet! This one's looking like a proper braai - Newcastle are firing on all cylinders at home while Tottenham are struggling worse than a bakkie with a flat tire. Let me break it down for you. Newcastle have been absolutely lethal at home this season - 100% win rate in…

Value VinnyLost

Newcastle Home Advantage Creates Clear Value

The pickNewcastle win

Chance
72%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+29.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Newcastle have been absolutely dominant at home this season - a perfect 100% win rate in their last five home fixtures, averaging 2.20 goals scored while conceding just 0.40. That's not just good; that's…

Mr SimpleLost

Magpies Flying High at Home vs Struggling Spurs

The pickNewcastle win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Tuesday night tussle between Newcastle and Tottenham. On paper, you might think it's a close one - Newcastle sitting 14th with 15 points, Tottenham 10th with 18. But dig a bit deeper, and it's a completely different story. Newcastle…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Newcastle

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

Tottenham

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Newcastle at home vs Tottenham away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+129Newcastle
Venue edge
+128Newcastle
Rating period
Match snapshot
Newcastle versus Tottenham: long term Elo, before the match
NewcastleHomeRatingTottenhamAway
Strength
1,650Overall1,521
1,694Match venue1,566
1,694At home1,517
1,548Away1,566
Attack & defence
1,580Attack1,568
1,610Defence1,546
1,633Home attack1,550
1,510Away attack1,596
1,633Home defence1,529
1,554Away defence1,557
Match profile
1,923Goal environment2,278
1,693Home goals1,835
1,730Away goals1,943
1,498Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,501Set-piece attack1,500
1,501Set-piece defence1,500
1,593Close games1,427
1,671Winning margin1,556

Match venue compares Newcastle at home with Tottenham away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NewcastleNewcastle1:1

Starting XI

32Aaron RamsdaleG
3Lewis HallD
7JoelintonM
11Harvey BarnesF
33Dan BurnD
8Sandro TonaliM
27Nick WoltemadeF
12Malick ThiawD
67Lewis MileyM
23Jacob MurphyF
21Valentino LivramentoD

TottenhamTottenham1:1

Starting XI

1Guglielmo VicarioG
13Destiny UdogieD
29Pape Matar SarrM
22Brennan JohnsonM
39Randal Kolo MuaniF
4Kevin DansoD
30Rodrigo BentancurM
15Lucas BergvallM
17Cristian RomeroD
20Mohammed KudusM
23Pedro PorroD